Egypt - Mobile Infrastructure, Operators and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

Synopsis

Egypt has been at the forefront of developments in mobile technology in Africa, being among the first countries in the region to launch third generation (3G) mobile services, in 2007. There is effective competition between the MNOs Etisalat Misr, Vodafone Egypt and Mobinil. The record price paid for the third licence in 2006 was an indication of the potential seen in the Egyptian mobile market. SIM card penetration has increased rapidly since then, approaching 118% by the end of 2015. The government in late 2014 set in train the process to provide a unified telecom licence which would enable the incumbent Telecom Egypt to launch mobile services. The company would then not have to rely on an MVNO model to provide mobile voice and data services, and it has looked at selling its 45% stake in Vodafone Egypt. As part of the unified license terms, MNOs would be able to will gain access to Telecom Egypt’s fixed-line infrastructure, and so begin to develop bundled services including fixed-voice and broadband. The strongest growth is currently in mobile broadband, which offers the network operators new revenue streams in an environment of falling ARPU. Licences to provide services based on LTE technologies are expected to be awarded in 2016.

Despite the good prospects for the sector, the political crisis and civil unrest in the country have been detrimental, given that investment has fallen and the economy has suffered from the collapse of the tourism sector.

This report outlines the major developments in the market, with relevant statistics and profiles of the companies involved, including 3G mobile broadband growth and ARPU trends for the major mobile operators. It also contains an in-depth analysis of the third mobile licence valuation and market forecasts.

Key developments:

Telecom Egypt secures LTE licence; Vodafone sees subscriber recovery into 2016; Mobinil counts the cost of rebranding as Orange; Ericsson completes Evolved Packet Core (EPC) system for Mobinil; Telecom Egypt expected to receive mobile licence in mid-2016; political crisis continues to affects the telecom sector; MVNO licences issued as part of new unified licensing regime; LTE spectrum auction planned for 2016, Etisalat Misr tries again for an IPO, hoping to raise $500 million; report updates include the regulator’s market updates to July 2015, telcos’ operating data to Q2 2016, recent market developments.

Companies mentioned in this report:

Mobinil (ECMS - France Telecom/Orange, Orascom/ Global Telecom Holding); Vodafone Egypt; Etisalat Misr; Telecom Egypt; Thuraya; Iridium; Inmarsat; Alkan Communications; EgyptSat; MobiServe; Ericsson; Nokia-Siemens, Alcatel-Lucent; Huawei Technologies.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Synopsis
  • 2. Market analysis
  • 3. Mobile statistics
    • 3.1 General statistics
    • 3.2 Mobile data
      • 3.2.1 SMS
      • 3.2.2 MMS
    • 3.3 Mobile broadband
    • 3.4 Forecasts – mobile subscribers - 2015; 2017; 2020
      • 3.4.1 Notes on scenario forecasts
  • 4. Regulatory issues
    • 4.1 Third mobile licence
    • 4.2 Fourth mobile licence
    • 4.3 MVNO licences
    • 4.4 International gateways
    • 4.5 Mobile Termination Rates (MTR)
    • 4.6 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
    • 4.7 SIM card registration
  • 5. LTE spectrum auction – 2016
    • 5.1 GPS ban
    • 5.2 Foreign ownership
    • 5.3 Infrastructure sharing
  • 6. Mobile infrastructure
    • 6.1 Digital networks
      • 6.1.1 Long-term Evolution (LTE)
    • 6.2 Other infrastructure developments
      • 6.2.1 WAP
      • 6.2.2 GPRS and EDGE
      • 6.2.3 CDMA2000 1x EV-DO
      • 6.2.4 Mobile satellite
    • 6.3 Mobile VoIP
  • 7. Major mobile operators
    • 7.1 Mobinil (ECMS)
      • 7.1.1 Shareholder structure and dispute
      • 7.1.2 Network development
      • 7.1.3 Services
      • 7.1.4 ARPU and usage
    • 7.2 Vodafone Egypt
      • 7.2.1 Shareholder structure
      • 7.2.2 Services
      • 7.2.3 ARPU and usage
    • 7.3 Etisalat Misr
  • 8. Mobile content and applications
    • 8.1 Mobile TV
    • 8.2 Mobile banking
  • 9. Mobile handsets
  • 10. Related reports
  • Table 1 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2000 - 2016
  • Table 2 – Mobile market share of subscribers – 2014 - 2015
  • Table 3 – Active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration – 2009 - 2015
  • Table 4 – Dedicated mobile broadband subscribers and penetration – 2009 - 2015
  • Table 5 – Forecast – mobile subscribers in Egypt – 2015; 2018
  • Table 6 – Mobile termination rates (MTR) in Egypt – 2013
  • Table 7 – Mobinil subscribers – 2000 - 2015
  • Table 8 – Mobinil financial results (EGP) – 2002 - 2016
  • Table 9 – Mobinil financial results (€) – 2012 - 2016
  • Table 10 – Mobinil blended monthly ARPU – 2002 - 2013
  • Table 11 – Mobinil blended monthly ARPU (€) – 2012 - 2014
  • Table 12 – Vodafone Egypt financials (£) – 2013 - 2016
  • Table 13 – Vodafone Egypt mobile data traffic – 2013 - 2016
  • Table 14 – Vodafone Egypt subscribers – 2000 - 2016
  • Table 15 – Vodafone Egypt blended monthly ARPU – 2003 - 2015
  • Table 16 – Etisalat Misr financial data – 2011 - 2016
  • Table 17 – Etisalat Misr mobile subscribers – 2012 - 2015
  • Chart 1 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2002 - 2015
  • Chart 2 – Mobinil financial results (EGP) – 2002 – 2016
  • Exhibit 1 – Telecom Egypt’s mobile business: In and out and in again
  • Exhibit 2 – An analysis of Egypt’s third mobile licence valuation
  • Exhibit 3 – Vodafone Egypt’s public listing and delisting

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