2013 Slovenia - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Publication Overview

This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Slovenia’s telecommunications market. The report analyses the mobile, internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media sectors. Subjects include:

  • Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
  • Facts, figures and statistics;
  • Industry and regulatory issues;
  • Infrastructure;
  • Major Players, Revenues, Subscribers, ARPU, MoU;
  • Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
  • Mobile Voice and Data Markets;
  • Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
  • Convergence and Digital Media;
  • 3G subscriber and mobile ARPU forecasts to 2015;
  • Broadband market forecasts for selective years to 2020.

Key developments:

Mobitel merges with parent company; Si.Mobil HSPA+ with 90% population coverage; Debitel launches fixed broadband offers; mid-2013 auction releases much needed spectrum for LTE; government broadband program targets extending FttH to 90% of the population by 2020; RTV Slovenia signs 10-year contract with Eutelsat; sharp rise in VoIP connections as PSTN declines; telecoms sector investment recovers from economic downturn; government confirms aim to sell stake in Telekom Slovenije; regulator’s 2012 market report; telcos’ operating and financial data to Q1 2013; market developments to mid-2013.

Companies covered in this report include:

Telekom Slovenije, Telemach, Amis Telekom, Serbia Broadband, Tuštelekom, Si.Mobil, Mobitel, Tušmobil, T-2, debitel.

Researcher:- Henry Lancaster
Current publication date:- July 2013 (12th Edition)

Executive Summary

Auctions in 2013 and 2014 address spectrum shortfall for LTE

BuddeComm’s annual publication, Slovenia- Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media sectors of one of Europe’s markets. The report includes the regulator’s 2012 market report, telcos’ financial and operating data to Q1 2013 and market developments to mid-2013.

Economic background

Slovenia joined the EU in 2004 and adopted the euro three years later. The country lagged behind its peers in privatising state enterprises, and the state still controls about half of economic output. The global financial crisis negatively impacted Slovenia’s economy, exacerbated by its reliance on exports, particularly to its main trading partners Germany and Italy. The economy contracted by 8% in real terms during 2009, and though GDP grew 1.4% in 2010 is has since faltered, shrinking by 0.2% in 2011 and worsening to an expected 1% fall for 2012 before showing slight recovery in 2013. The government hopes to cut the budget deficit to the EU-approved maximum of 3% of GDP by 2015, from 7.9% anticipated for 2013. The government is aiming to sell of its interest in 15 concerns, including the dominant telco Telekom Slovenije in a bid to avoid an EU-funded bailout.

Telecom market overview

Telecom market revenue has fallen steadily since the high point of 2008. The market remains dominated by Telekom Slovenije though its lead in all sectors is gradually falling. In the FttH sector the market leader is T2: its advantage is partly due to its own network build, but also the result of regulated access to Telekom Slovenije’s network. In the fixed-telephony market the incumbent retains a high market share compared to the EU average, though the collapsing number of PSTN lines is eroding this share as customers migrate to VoIP. The IPTV sector is particularly strong, with the country having the highest IPTV penetration in the EU. 

Identified risks for telcos include subdued growth prospects and the continuing difficulty in accessing finance. The economic crisis initially affected the construction of fibre networks, leading to the main operators largely halting their investment and programs in 2009. To stimulate the sector, the regulator complemented its unbundling copper infrastructure measures to include unbundling the fibre loop as well. Investment has since grown, largely channelled to fibre networks and upgrading mobile networks with HSPA and LTE technologies. The auction of spectrum in mid-2013, a precursor to a larger auction expected in 2014, was aimed at addressing the shortfall in available frequencies for MNOs to develop their LTE plans.

Key telecom penetration parameters – 2010; 2013

Penetration by sector:

2010

2013 (e)

Fixed broadband

26%

29%

Mobile

103%

109%

Fixed-line

44%

35%

(Source: BuddeComm)

Market Highlights

  • Telekom Slovenije contract to Ericsson to multi-band LTE and VoLTE services will extend LTE provision to major cities in Slovenia by 2014.
  • The number of SMS sent in the first quarter of 2013 grew 27% year-on-year, largely due to the large number of messages bundled with mobile plans, as well as the perception that an SMS message is a cheaper way to communicate than voice calls.
  • Telekom Slovenije, Si.Mobil and Tušmobil were awarded licences for additional frequencies in the 1800MHz and 2100MHz bands in mid-2013. Suitable for LTE-based services, the allocations addressed the shortfall in available spectrum which had thus far held back commercial LTE launches.
  • Telekom Slovenije offers FttH services, providing speeds of up to 1Gb/s. The operator aims to reach 70% household coverage with FttH by 2015. Priority for FttH deployments is given to new buildings and regions where demand for high transfer speeds is highest.
  • In terms of operators, Telekom Slovenije has seen its market share of broadband subscribers fall steadily in the face of competition, to about 38% by mid-2013 compared to 45% in 2009. The other major players include T-2, Telemach and Amis.
  • The state’s sale of the incumbent operator was rekindled in mid-2013. The government needs to raise about €3 billion annually in debt issuance to manage its finances and avoid an EU-funded bailout.

This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in Slovenia. It provides further information on:

  • Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
  • The impact of the global economic crisis;
  • Telecoms operators – privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
  • Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards;
  • 3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE;
  • Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;
  • Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;
  • ARPU statistics and forecasts.

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Key Statistics
  • 2. Telecommunications Market
    • 2.1 Overview of Slovenia’s telecom market
  • 3. Regulatory Environment
    • 3.1 History
      • 3.1.1 EU Regulatory Framework
      • 3.1.2 Revised NFR
    • 3.2 Regulatory authority
      • 3.2.1 Post and Electronic Communications Agency (APEK)
    • 3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Slovenia
      • 3.3.1 Privatisation of Telekom Slovenije
      • 3.3.2 Interconnection
      • 3.3.3 Access
      • 3.3.4 Number portability
      • 3.3.5 Carrier selection and carrier preselection
  • 4. Fixed Network Operators
    • 4.1 Overview of operators
    • 4.2 Telekom Slovenije
    • 4.3 Amis Telekom
    • 4.4 T-2
  • 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
    • 5.1 Telekom Slovenije
    • 5.2 Alternative operators
    • 5.3 Wholesaling
  • 6. Broadband Market
    • 6.1 Slovenia’s emerging internet society
    • 6.2 Strategy
    • 6.3 Legislation
    • 6.4 Identification and authorisation
    • 6.5 E-government
      • 6.5.1 Infrastructure
    • 6.6 E-health
    • 6.7 Fixed broadband market
      • 6.7.1 Overview
      • 6.7.2 Fixed broadband statistics
      • 6.7.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
      • 6.7.4 Cable modems
      • 6.7.5 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH)
      • 6.7.6 Wireless broadband
      • 6.7.7 Mobile broadband
  • 7. Digital Media
    • 7.1 Overview of digital media market
    • 7.2 Regulatory environment
    • 7.3 Digital TV
      • 7.3.1 Broadband TV (IPTV)
      • 7.3.2 Cable TV (CATV)
      • 7.3.3 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
      • 7.3.4 Satellite-based digital pay TV developments
  • 8. Mobile Communications
    • 8.1 Overview of Slovenia’s mobile market
      • 8.1.1 Mobile statistics
    • 8.2 Regulatory issues
      • 8.2.1 GSM licences
      • 8.2.2 First 3G licence awarded
      • 8.2.3 Tender for additional 3G licences
      • 8.2.4 Sub 1GHz spectrum
      • 8.2.5 1800MHz and 2100MHz
      • 8.2.6 Mobile Number Portability
      • 8.2.7 Mobile Termination Rates (MTR)
      • 8.2.8 Roaming
    • 8.3 Mobile technologies
      • 8.3.1 Digital
      • 8.3.2 Third generation mobile
    • 8.4 Major mobile operators
      • 8.4.1 Mobitel
      • 8.4.2 Si.Mobil
      • 8.4.3 Tušmobil
      • 8.4.4 T-2
      • 8.4.5 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
    • 8.5 Mobile voice services
      • 8.5.1 Prepaid
    • 8.6 Mobile data services
      • 8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS) / Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
      • 8.6.2 Push-to-Talk (PTT)
      • 8.6.3 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS) / Enhanced Data Rates for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
      • 8.6.4 High Speed Packet Access (HSPA)
      • 8.6.5 Long-term Evolution (LTE)
      • 8.6.6 Mobile TV
    • 8.7 Mobile content and applications
  • 9. Forecasts
    • 9.1 Forecasts – fixed broadband subscribers to 2020
      • 9.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher fixed broadband subscriber growth
      • 9.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower fixed broadband subscriber growth
      • Table 1 – Country statistics – 2012 (e)
      • Table 2 – Telephone network statistics – March 2013
      • Table 3 – Internet user and subscriber statistics – 2012
      • Table 4 – Broadband subscriber statistics – March 2013
      • Table 5 – Mobile statistics – March 2013
      • Table 6 – National telecommunications authority
      • Table 7 – Telecom market revenue growth – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 8 – Fixed-line and mobile voice traffic – 2005 - 2013
      • Table 9 – Telekom Slovenije interconnection rates – 2006 - 2009
      • Table 10 – Fixed-line number portings – 2009 – 2011
      • Table 11 – Market share of PSTN and VoIP lines – 2010 - 2013
      • Table 12 – VoIP connections – 2008 – 2013
      • Table 13 – Telekom Slovenije market share of telecom services– 2010 – 2012
      • Table 14 – Telekom Slovenije Group financial data – 2007 – 2013
      • Table 15 – Telekom Slovenije Group revenue by sector – 2011 – 2013
      • Table 16 – Telekom Slovenije domestic broadband, mobile and fixed-telephony subscribers – 2009 - 2013
      • Table 17 – Telekom Slovenije Group broadband and mobile subscribers – 2009 - 2013
      • Table 18 – Wholesale access lines by type – 2009 – 2011
      • Table 19 – Proportion of fixed broadband accesses by data rates – 2010 - 2013
      • Table 20 – Internet users, subscribers and penetration rates – 1998 - 2012
      • Table 21 – Fixed broadband market share by access type – 2007 - 2013
      • Table 22 – Fixed broadband lines by access type – 2007 - 2013
      • Table 23 – Wholesale broadband subscribers by access type – 2008 - 2012
      • Table 24 – Fixed broadband penetration – 2001 - 2013
      • Table 25 – Market share of fixed broadband subscribers by operator – 2011 - 2013
      • Table 26 – Internet penetration by platform – 2007 - 2012
      • Table 27 – Telekom Slovenije broadband subscribers – 2001 - 2013
      • Table 28 – DSL subscribers – 2007 - 2014
      • Table 29 – Market share of DSL subscribers by operator – 2010 - 2013
      • Table 30 – Cable broadband subscribers – 2007 - 2014
      • Table 31 – FttH subscribers – 2006 - 2014
      • Table 32 – Market share of FttH subscribers by operator– 2010 - 2013
      • Table 33 – Mobile broadband subscribers by access type – 2011 - 2013
      • Table 34 – Share of mobile broadband subscribers by operator – 2012 - 2013
      • Table 35- Si.Mobil mobile broadband subscribers – 2009 - 2013
      • Table 36 – Proportion of TV subscribers by platform – 2010 - 2013
      • Table 37 – Bundled services subscribers by sector – 2009 - 2012
      • Table 38 – TV providers and genre – 2013
      • Table 39 – Market share of IPTV providers – 2006 - 2013
      • Table 40 – SiOL IPTV subscribers – 2006 – 2012
      • Table 41 – Historic - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1997 - 2004
      • Table 42 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2005- 2013
      • Table 43 – Operator market share by subscribers – 2009 - 2013
      • Table 44 – Mobile number portings – 2009 – 2011
      • Table 45 – Mobile Termination Rates – 2007 – 2010; 2013
      • Table 46 – European roaming charges – 2007 - 2014
      • Table 47 – Mobitel subscribers – 2008 - 2013
      • Table 48 – Si.Mobil financial data – 2004 – 2013
      • Table 49 – Si.Mobil prepaid, postpaid & blended monthly ARPU – 2004 – 2013
      • Table 50 – Si.Mobil mobile data ARPU – 2007 - 2010
      • Table 51 – Si.Mobil Minutes of Use (MOU) – 2007 – 2013
      • Table 52 – Si.Mobil subscribers – 2007 - 2013
      • Table 53 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2000 - 2013
      • Table 54 – Mobitel prepaid subscribers – 2005 - 2010
      • Table 55 – Si.Mobil prepaid subscribers – 2004 - 2013
      • Table 56 – Total SMS messages sent – 2005 - 2013
      • Table 57 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
      • Table 58 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – lower growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
      • Chart 1 – Fixed-line and mobile voice traffic – 2005 – 2013
      • Chart 2 – VoIP connections – 2008 – 2013
      • Chart 3 – Telekom Slovenije Group financial data – 2007 – 2013
      • Chart 4 – Fixed broadband market share by access type – 2007 – 2013
      • Chart 5 – Fixed broadband lines by access type – 2007 – 2013
      • Chart 6 – Wholesale broadband subscribers by access type – 2008 – 2012
      • Chart 7 – Bundles services subscribers by sector – 2009 – 2012
      • Chart 8 – Market share of IPTV providers – 2006 – 2013
      • Chart 9 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2003 – 2013
      • Chart 10 – Si.Mobil financial data – 2004 – 2013
      • Chart 11 – Si.Mobil prepaid, postpaid & blended monthly ARPU – 2004 – 2013
      • Chart 12 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2000 – 2013
      • Exhibit 1 – The EU regulatory framework for communications
      • Exhibit 2 – Access, the local loop and unbundling – an overview
      • Exhibit 3 – 2G spectrum awarded in Slovenia

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