Luxembourg Telecoms Market Report

Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

Publication Date: December 2023

Report Pages: 196

Analyst: Henry Lancaster

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Summary
Table Of Contents

Luxembourg’s MNOs extend 5G services following spectrum auction

Luxembourg has a small telecom sector dominated by state-owned POST Luxembourg. The Covid-19 pandemic has caused variable effects on overall sector revenue, with gains in the fixed-line segment though a significant drop in the mobile segment as travel restrictions reduced roaming revenue. There remains some pressure from regulatory measures, though no further reductions to fixed and mobile interconnection tariffs have been imposed through to 2024.

POST Luxembourg is extending the footprint of its 1Gb/s service in line with a government program to make Luxembourg the first fully fibred country in Europe. By early 2021 about 72% of premises could access such a service.

Investment in infrastructure is geared towards fulfilling these ambitions. Although the level of investment as a proportion of revenue has fallen in recent years, largely as a response to the completion of major projects, there was an increase in investment in 2020, partly due to the spectrum auction held during the year, as also to the continuing shift by POST Luxembourg to an all-IP platform and the rollout of fibre infrastructure.

High mobile penetration has slowed subscriber growth in the mobile market since 2005, though a recent law requiring SIM card registration has not had an adverse effect on the number of mobile subscribers despite network operators deactivating unregistered cards.

BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus continues to have a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year, the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure.

Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.

On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.

Although it is challenging to predict and interpret the long-term impacts of the crisis as it develops, these have been acknowledged in the industry forecasts contained in this report.

The report also covers the responses of the telecom operators as well as government agencies and regulators as they react to the crisis to ensure that citizens can continue to make optimum use of telecom services. This can be reflected in subsidy schemes and the promotion of tele-health and tele-education, among other solutions.

Key developments:

Regulator completes multi-spectrum auction for 5G, ditches plan to assign 26GHz band for 5G following lack of interest;
POST Luxembourg extends G.fast services, upgrades network with XGS-PON technology to provide symmetrical 10Gb/s service;
POST Group reports 0.3% revenue growth in 2020, reflecting the effects of the pandemic;
Report update includes the regulator’s market data to December 2020, State Statistics Office market data updates, telcos’ financial and operating data to Q1 2021, Telecom Maturity Index charts and analyses, assessment of the global impact of Covid-19 on the telecoms sector, recent market developments.

Companies mentioned in this report:

POST Luxembourg, Cegecom, Tango, Telecom Luxembourg

Key statistics
Regional European Market Comparison

Europe Telecom Maturity Index by tier

Market Leaders
Market Challengers
Market Emergents

TMI versus GDP
Mobile and mobile broadband penetration
Fixed versus mobile broadband penetration

Country overview
Covid-19 and its impact on the telecom sector

Economic considerations and responses
Subscribers
Infrastructure

Telecommunications market

Market analysis

Regulatory environment

Historical overview
Legislation
Regulatory authorities
Fixed-line developments

Interconnect
Access
Number Portability (NP)
Carrier PreSelection
European Electronic Communications Code

Mobile network developments

Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions
Mobile Termination Rate (MTR)
Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
Roaming
Bundling
SIM card registration

Mobile market

Market analysis
Mobile statistics
Mobile infrastructure

5G
4G (LTE)
3G
Other infrastructure developments

Mobile data

Short Message Service (SMS)
Multimedia Messaging Service

Mobile broadband
Major mobile operators

POST Luxembourg
Proximus Luxembourg
Orange Luxembourg

MVNOs
Mobile content and applications

m-payments

Fixed-line broadband market

Market analysis
Government support
Broadband statistics
Fixed-line broadband technologies

Hybrid Fibre Coax (HFC) networks
Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) networks
Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP) networks

Other fixed broadband services

Wireless Local Loop (WLL)
WLAN/Wi-Fi/WiMAX
Internet via satellite

Fixed network operators

Introduction
POST Luxembourg

Data centres
Cloud

Cegecom
Proximus Luxembourg
Telecom Luxembourg

Telecommunications infrastructure

Overview of the national telecom network
International infrastructure

Appendix – Historic data
Glossary of abbreviations
Related reports

List of Tables

Table 1 – Top Level Country Statistics and Telco Authorities - Luxembourg – 2021 (e)
Table 2 – Development of fixed and mobile sector revenue (€ million) – 2011 – 2020
Table 3 – Development of telecom revenue by service (€ million) – 2010 – 2020
Table 4 – Decline in investment as proportion of revenue by sector – 2011 – 2019
Table 5 – Decline in telecom investment by sector (€ million) – 2011 – 2019
Table 6 – Development of telecom revenue by incumbent telcos and altnets (€ million) – 2011 – 2019
Table 7 – Development of telecom ARPU by service (€/subscriber/month) – 2011 – 2019
Table 8 – Development of fixed-line interconnection revenue – 2012 – 2019
Table 9 – Development of interconnection traffic by type – 2012 – 2019
Table 10 – Increase in monthly Local Loop Unbundling fees – 2018 – 2021
Table 11 – Increase in the number of unbundled lines – 2011 – 2020
Table 12 – Resale and bitstream lines – 2012 – 2020
Table 13 – Change in the number of annual fixed numbers ported – 2011 – 2019
Table 14 – Change in mobile termination revenue – 2009 – 2020
Table 15 – Decline in the number of annual mobile numbers ported – 2011 – 2019
Table 16 – Development of mobile roaming revenue – 2009 – 2020
Table 17 – Increase in roaming out traffic – 2009 – 2020
Table 18 – Growth in the number of mobile connections (incl. M2M) and penetration – 2011 – 2020
Table 19 – Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration – 2011 – 2026
Table 20 – Development of mobile services revenue by type (€ million) – 2011 – 2020
Table 21 – Growth in mobile traffic by sector (million minutes) – 2011 – 2020
Table 22 – Development of in mobile ARPU – 2011 – 2019
Table 23 – Change in mobile market share of subscribers by operator – 2011 – 2019
Table 24 – Change in the number of prepaid and contract subscribers – 2011 – 2020
Table 25 – Change in the number of M2M connections – 2010 – 2020
Table 26 – Decline in SMS message traffic – 2011 – 2020
Table 27 – Change in MMS traffic – 2011 – 2018
Table 28 – Growth in the number of mobile broadband subscribers and penetration – 2011 – 2026
Table 29 – Growth in mobile data traffic – 2009 – 2020
Table 30 – POST Luxembourg’s mobile coverage by platform – 2012 – 2020
Table 31 – Change in the number of POST Luxembourg’s mobile subscribers – 2011 – 2020
Table 32 – Development of Tango’s revenue – 2009 – 2021
Table 33 – Change in the number of Tango’s mobile subscribers – 2010 – 2021
Table 34 – Growth in the number of Orange Luxembourg/Belgium subscribers – 2011 – 2021
Table 35 – Development o Orange Luxembourg/Belgium revenue – 2013 – 2021
Table 36 – Development of Orange Luxembourg’s mobile subscribers – 2014 – 2021
Table 37 – Development of Orange Luxembourg’s financial data (€ million) – 2014 – 2021
Table 38 – Growth in the number of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration – 2011 – 2026
Table 39 – Change in the number of fixed broadband connections by speed – 2010 – 2020
Table 40 – Change in the proportion of broadband subscribers by data rate – 2011 – 2020
Table 41 – Proportion of premises having access to broadband by data rate – 2014 – 2020
Table 42 – Change in the number of fixed broadband subscribers by platform – 2011 – 2020
Table 43 – Annual broadband subscriber growth – 2011 – 2020
Table 44 – Change in the market share of broadband subscribers by operator – 2011 – 2020
Table 45 – Development of broadband coverage by fixed-line technology – 2012 – 2019
Table 46 – Growth in the number of superfast broadband lines by platform – 2010 – 2018
Table 47 – Growth in the number of superfast broadband lines by type (100Mb/s) – 2018 – 2019
Table 48 – Change in the number of standard and superfast broadband connections – 2010 – 2020
Table 49 – Development of broadband and super-fast broadband population penetration – 2011 – 2020
Table 50 – DOCSIS3.0 (FttLA) broadband accessible households – 2012 – 2018
Table 51 – Change in the number of cable broadband connections by type – 2010 – 2018
Table 52 – Change in the number of cable broadband connections by type (100Mb/s) – 2018 – 2019
Table 53 – Change in the number of DSL and VDSL connections – 2010 – 2018
Table 54 – Change in the number of DSL and VDSL connections (100Mb/s) – 2018 – 2019
Table 55 – VDSL accessible households – 2012 – 2018
Table 56 – Growth in the number of FttP connections – 2010 – 2020
Table 57 – Growth in the number of fibre accessible households – 2012 – 2018
Table 58 – POST Luxembourg’s FttP connections – 2010 – 2018
Table 59 – Decline in fixed-line traffic by type (Million minutes) – 2011 – 2020
Table 60 – Development of altnets’ fixed-lines and market share – 2011 – 2019
Table 61 – Development of POST Group’s financial data (€ million) – 2011 – 2020
Table 62 – Development of POST Group’s capex – 2013 – 2020
Table 63 – Development of POST Group’s fixed-line network length (km) – 2017 – 2020
Table 64 – Decline in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2011 – 2026
Table 65 – Change in the number of PSTN/ISDN and VoBB lines in service – 2011 – 2020
Table 66 – VoBB lines in service by type – 2017 – 2020
Table 67 – Historic - Telecom revenue by sector (€ million) – 2003 – 2010
Table 68 – Historic - Fixed-line traffic by type (million minutes) – 2004 – 2010
Table 69 – Historic - Telecom investment by sector (€ million) – 2004 – 2010
Table 70 – Historic - Telecom revenue by incumbent telcos and altnets (€ million) – 2003 – 2010
Table 71 – Historic - Unbundled lines – 2004 – 2010
Table 72 – Historic - Annual fixed numbers ported – 2003 – 2010
Table 73 – Historic - Mobile (SIM/M2M) connections and penetration – 1999 – 2010
Table 74 – Historic - Mobile services revenue (€ million) – 2004 – 2010
Table 75 – Historic - Mobile traffic by sector (Million minutes) – 2005 – 2010
Table 76 – Historic - Mobile ARPU – 2005 – 2010
Table 77 – Historic - Prepaid and contract subscribers – 2005 – 2010
Table 78 – Historic - SMS message traffic – 2004 – 2010
Table 79 – Historic - POST Luxembourg mobile subscribers – 2004 – 2010
Table 80 – Historic - Annual broadband subscriber growth – 2004 – 2010
Table 81 – Historic - Broadband market revenue – 2003 – 2016
Table 82 – Historic - Internet users and penetration rate – 1995 – 2015
Table 83 – Historic - Broadband subscribers by platform – 2001 – 2010
Table 84 – Historic - Broadband coverage by mobile technology – 2012 – 2016
Table 85 – Historic - POST Luxembourg’s DSL subscribers – 2003 – 2013
Table 86 – Historic - POST Luxembourg’s VDSL connections – 2011 – 2015
Table 87 – Historic - POST Luxembourg’s broadband coverage by platform – 2012 – 2015
Table 88 – Historic - Fixed-services revenue by type (€ million) – 2003 – 2015
Table 89 – Historic - Altnet fixed-lines and market share – 2004 – 2010
Table 90 – Historic - POST Luxembourg telecom revenue – 2003 – 2011
Table 91 – Historic - Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1995 – 2010
Table 92 – Historic - Development of telecom ARPU by service (€/subscriber/month) – 2006 – 2010
Table 93 – Historic - Decline in the number of annual mobile numbers ported – 2006 – 2010
Table 94 – Historic - Change in mobile market share of subscribers by operator – 2007 – 2010
Table 95 – Historic - Growth in the number of Orange Luxembourg/Belgium subscribers – 2007 – 2010
Table 96 – Historic - Change in the market share of broadband subscribers by operator – 2006 – 2010
Table 97 – Historic - Development of POST Group’s financial data (€ million) – 2008 – 2010

List of Charts

Chart 1 – Europe Telecoms Maturity Index – Market Leaders (top tier)
Chart 2 – Europe Telecoms Maturity Index – Market Challengers (middle tier)
Chart 3 – Europe Telecoms Maturity Index – Market Emergents (bottom tier)
Chart 4 – Overall view - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per Capita
Chart 5 – Europe - mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
Chart 6 – Scandinavia and Baltics – mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
Chart 7 – Northern Europe – mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
Chart 8 – Southern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
Chart 9 – Eastern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
Chart 10 – Scandinavia and Baltics fixed and mobile broadband penetration
Chart 11 – Northern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration
Chart 12 – Southern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration
Chart 13 – Eastern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration
Chart 14 – Development of fixed and mobile sector revenue – 2011 – 2020
Chart 15 – Development of telecom revenue by service – 2010 – 2020
Chart 16 – Decline in investment as proportion of revenue by sector – 2011 – 2019
Chart 17 – Decline in telecom investment by sector – 2011 – 2019
Chart 18 – Development of telecom revenue by incumbent telcos and altnets – 2011 – 2019
Chart 19 – Development of telecom ARPU by service – 2011 – 2019
Chart 20 – Development of fixed-line interconnection revenue – 2012 – 2019
Chart 21 – Increase in the number of unbundled lines – 2011 – 2020
Chart 22 – Change in the number of annual fixed numbers ported – 2011 – 2019
Chart 23 – Change in mobile termination revenue – 2009 – 2020
Chart 24 – Decline in the number of annual mobile numbers ported – 2011 – 2019
Chart 25 – Development of mobile roaming revenue – 2009 – 2020
Chart 26 – Increase in roaming out traffic – 2009 – 2020
Chart 27 – Growth in the number of mobile connections (incl. M2M) and penetration – 2011 – 2020
Chart 28 – Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration – 2011 – 2026
Chart 29 – Development of mobile services revenue by type – 2011 – 2020
Chart 30 – Growth in mobile traffic by sector – 2011 – 2020
Chart 31 – Development of in mobile ARPU – 2011 – 2019
Chart 32 – Change in mobile market share of subscribers by operator – 2011 – 2019
Chart 33 – Change in the number of prepaid and contract subscribers – 2011 – 2020
Chart 34 – Change in the number of M2M subscriptions – 2010 – 2020
Chart 35 – Decline in SMS message traffic – 2011 – 2020
Chart 36 – Growth in the number of mobile broadband subscribers and penetration – 2011 – 2026
Chart 37 – Growth in mobile data traffic – 2009 – 2020
Chart 38 – Change in the number of POST Luxembourg’s mobile subscribers – 2011 – 2020
Chart 39 – Development of Tango’s revenue – 2009 – 2021
Chart 40 – Change in the number of Tango’s mobile subscribers – 2010 – 2021
Chart 41 – Growth in the number of Orange Luxembourg/Belgium subscribers – 2011 – 2021
Chart 42 – Development of Orange Luxembourg’s mobile subscribers – 2014 – 2021
Chart 43 – Development of Orange Luxembourg’s financial data – 2014 – 2021
Chart 44 – Growth in the number of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration – 2011 – 2026
Chart 45 – Change in the number of fixed broadband connections by speed – 2010 – 2020
Chart 46 – Change in the proportion of broadband subscribers by data rate – 2011 – 2020
Chart 47 – Change in the number of fixed broadband subscribers by platform – 2011 – 2020
Chart 48 – Change in the market share of broadband subscribers by operator – 2011 – 2020
Chart 49 – Development of broadband coverage by fixed-line technology – 2012 – 2019
Chart 50 – Growth in the number of superfast broadband lines by type – 2010 – 2018
Chart 51 – Change in the number of standard and superfast broadband connections – 2010 – 2020
Chart 52 – Development of broadband and super-fast broadband population penetration – 2011 – 2020
Chart 53 – Change in the number of cable broadband connections by type – 2010 – 2018
Chart 54 – Change in the number of DSL and VDSL connections – 2010 – 2018
Chart 55 – Decline in fixed-line traffic by type – 2011 – 2020
Chart 56 – Development of altnets’ fixed-lines and market share – 2011 – 2019
Chart 57 – Development of POST Group’s financial data – 2011 – 2020
Chart 58 – Development of POST Group’s capex – 2013 – 2020
Chart 59 – Development of POST Group’s fixed-line network length (km) – 2017 – 2020
Chart 60 – Decline in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2011 – 2026
Chart 61 – Change in the number of PSTN/ISDN and VoBB lines in service – 2011 – 2020

List of Exhibits

Exhibit 1 – Generalised Market Characteristics by Market Segment
Exhibit 2 – Access and the local loop
Exhibit 3 – Spectrum auction results – July 2020
Exhibit 4 – Mobile and fixed termination rates (€ cent/minute) – 2020 - 2024

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Luxembourg Telecoms Market Report

Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

Purchase this Report

Luxembourg’s MNOs extend 5G services following spectrum auction

Key developments:

Companies mentioned in this report:

Key statistics

Regional European Market Comparison

Country overview

Covid-19 and its impact on the telecom sector

Telecommunications market

Regulatory environment

Mobile market

Fixed-line broadband market

Fixed network operators

Telecommunications infrastructure

Appendix – Historic data

Glossary of abbreviations

Related reports

Purchase this Report

Share this Report

TMT Intelligence

A platform to scale your intelligence tasks

Research Methodology

Hot Topics

News & Views