2013 Lithuania - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Publication Overview

This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Lithuania’s telecommunications market. The report analyses the mobile, internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media sectors. Subjects include:

  • Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
  • Facts, figures and statistics;
  • Industry and regulatory issues;
  • Infrastructure;
  • Major Players, Revenues, Subscribers, ARPU, MoU;
  • Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
  • Mobile Voice and Data Markets;
  • Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
  • Convergence and Digital Media;
  • 3G subscriber and mobile ARPU forecasts to 2015;
  • Broadband market forecasts for selective years to 2020.

Key developments:

Regulator consults on use of sub-GHz spectrum for mobile services; mobile revenue continues to fall; Omnitel expands LTE network in 2012; 2012 spectrum auction results in 2.6GHz band; Lithuanian FttH penetration among world’s highest; government develops RAIN project extending fibre backbone to rural areas; TEO fibre networks reaches 66% of the population; regulator’s market data for 2012; telcos’ financial and operating data to Q1 2013; market developments to May 2013.

Companies covered in this report include:

Omnitel, Bité Lithuania, Tele2 Lithuania.

Researcher:- Henry Lancaster
Current publication date:- June 2013 (12th Edition)

Executive Summary

Lithuanian fibre reaches two-thirds of the population

BuddeComm’s annual publication, Lithuania - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media sectors of one of Eastern Europe’s more advanced telecom markets. The report includes the regulator’s market data for 2012, telcos’ financial and operating data to Q1 2013 and market developments to May 2013.

Telecom market overview

The telecoms market has seen falling revenue in recent years as the economy continues to recover from the mauling experienced in 2008/9. Lower revenue from fixed and mobile telephony is partly offset by increases from the cable TV sector. Nevertheless, investment in fibre and mobile infrastructure has placed the country as one of the regional leaders for fibre infrastructure, with the regulator promoting access to networks in a bid to encourage competition and prevent any one operator developing a monopoly for fibre infrastructure. The incumbent TEO remains the dominant player in DSL access, and has made great strides to gain market share from altnets in fibre networks.

Mobile market

Lithuania’s mobile sector forms by far the largest part of the telecom market by revenue. Served by three MNOs, two of which have significant interests across the Baltics and Scandinavia, the market also has a few MVNOs and resellers, though their collective market share has fallen steadily during the last three years. Strong competition has driven growth, particularly in mobile data services. With one of the highest mobile penetration rates in Europe, operators have focussed on HSPA and LTE networks to deliver services to customers and so increase revenue and APU. The regulator has consulted on its programme to use additional frequencies for mobile voice and data services, which would help extend the reach of broadband to rural areas.

Key telecom parameters – 2010; 2013

Sector

2010

2013 (e)

Subscribers by sector (million):

Fixed broadband subscribers

0.68

0.79

Mobile broadband

0.19

0.32

Mobile phone

4.89

5.0

Fixed-line telephony

0.75

0.65

Penetration by sector:

Fixed broadband

21%

26%

Mobile

151%

170%

Fixed-line

23%

20%

(Source: BuddeComm)

Market Highlights

  • In the fourth quarter of 2012 investment in network infrastructure fell 4.2% quarter-on-quarter and fell 26.2% year-on-year. Most investment has gone to fiber broadband and 4G networks.
  • Number portings now account for more than 12% of all fixed-lines in service.
  • The share of fixed-voice lines held by altnets is approaching 11%, compared to less than 2% a decade ago.
  • TEO was late to invest in fibre, and given that the cost of access to its own infrastructure through LLU was relatively high cablecos were encouraged to invest in their own shared networks. As a result, altnets accounted for 99.5% of all fibre connections in 2005, though this has been reduced to 61%.
  • All three MNOs have been awarded spectrum in the 2500MHz-2560MHz and 2620MHz-2680MHz bands, with coverage requirements including having to reach 50% network coverage to five cities by 2015 and 50% to 15 cities by 2017.

This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in Lithuania. It provides further information on:

  • Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
  • The impact of the global economic crisis;
  • Telecoms operators – privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
  • Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards;
  • 3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE;
  • Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;
  • Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;
  • ARPU statistics and forecasts.

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Key Statistics
  • 2. Telecommunications Market
    • 2.1 Overview of Lithuania’s telecom market
  • 3. Regulatory Environment
    • 3.1 Background
      • 3.1.1 EU regulatory framework
      • 3.1.2 Revised NFR
    • 3.2 Regulatory authority
      • 3.2.1 Communications Regulatory Authority (RRT)
    • 3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Lithuania
      • 3.3.1 Privatisation
      • 3.3.2 Interconnect
      • 3.3.3 Access
      • 3.3.4 Carrier selection and Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
      • 3.3.5 Number portability (NP)
  • 4. Fixed Network Market
    • 4.1 Market overview
    • 4.2 Lietuvos Telekomas (TEO)
  • 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
    • 5.1 National telecom network
      • 5.1.1 TEO
      • 5.1.2 Alternative operators
    • 5.2 International infrastructure
    • 5.3 Wholesaling
  • 6. Broadband Market
    • 6.1 Overview
      • 6.1.1 Fixed broadband statistics
    • 6.2 Cable modems
    • 6.3 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
    • 6.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
      • 6.4.1 Infrastructure sharing
    • 6.5 Wireless broadband
      • 6.5.1 Market overview
      • 6.5.2 WiFi
      • 6.5.3 WiMAX
      • 6.5.4 Mobile broadband
  • 7. Digital Media and Digital Economy
    • 7.1 Digital media
      • 7.1.1 Bundled services
      • 7.1.2 Overview of media convergence
      • 7.1.3 Overview of broadcasting market
      • 7.1.4 Digital TV
    • 7.2 Digital Economy
      • 7.2.1 Lithuania’s emerging internet society
      • 7.2.2 E-government
      • 7.2.3 E-health
  • 8. Mobile Communications
    • 8.1 Overview of Lithuania’s mobile market
      • 8.1.1 Mobile statistics
    • 8.2 Regulatory issues
      • 8.2.1 GSM licences
      • 8.2.2 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
      • 8.2.3 Third GSM licence awarded
      • 8.2.4 2.6GHz spectrum
      • 8.2.5 790-860MHz spectrum
      • 8.2.6 Significant Market Power (SMP)
      • 8.2.7 Mobile Termination Rates (MTR)
    • 8.3 Mobile technologies
      • 8.3.1 Third Generation (3G)
    • 8.4 Major mobile operators
      • 8.4.1 Overview of operators
      • 8.4.2 Omnitel
      • 8.4.3 Bité
      • 8.4.4 Tele2
    • 8.5 Mobile voice services
      • 8.5.1 Prepaid cards
    • 8.6 Mobile messaging
      • 8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
      • 8.6.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
    • 8.7 Mobile data services
      • 8.7.1 Overview
      • 8.7.2 General Packet Radio Services (GPRS)
      • 8.7.3 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
      • 8.7.4 High-speed Packet Access (HSPA)
      • 8.7.5 Long-term Evolution (LTE)
    • 8.8 Mobile content and applications
      • 8.8.1 Portals
      • 8.8.2 Machine-t0-Machine (M2M)
      • 8.8.3 Mobile TV
  • 9. Forecasts
    • 9.1 Broadband subscribers – 2010 - 2013; 2020
      • 9.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
      • 9.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
      • 9.1.3 Notes on scenario forecasts
      • Table 1 – Country statistics Lithuania – 2012 (e)
      • Table 2 – Telecom revenue and investment statistics – 2012
      • Table 3 – Telephone network statistics – 2012
      • Table 4 – Internet user statistics – 2012
      • Table 5 – Fixed broadband statistics – 2012
      • Table 6 – Mobile statistics – 2012
      • Table 7 – National telecommunications authority
      • Table 8 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 9 – Telecom investment annual growth – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 10 – Telecom revenue market share by operator – 2010 - 2012
      • Table 11 – Telecom revenue market share by sector – 2011 - 2012
      • Table 12 – Call termination charges – 2010 - 2012
      • Table 13 – CS and CPS lines – 2008 - 2012
      • Table 14 – Accumulative fixed number portings – 2004 - 2011
      • Table 15 – Market share of fixed-lines and revenue, alternative operators – 2003 - 2012
      • Table 16 – Fixed-lines by operator – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 17 – Fixed-telephony retail and wholesale revenue – 2010 - 2011
      • Table 18 – TEO group financial data – 2006 - 2013
      • Table 19 – TEO group financial data – 2006 - 2013
      • Table 20 – TEO Group revenue by sector – 2009 - 2013
      • Table 21 – Historical - Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1995 - 2004
      • Table 22 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2005 - 2013
      • Table 23 – TEO – fixed-line subscribers – 2005 - 2013
      • Table 24 – Total international internet bandwidth – 2000 - 2012
      • Table 25 – Dark fibre lines – 2008 - 2012
      • Table 26 – Internet users and penetration rates – 1999 - 2013
      • Table 27 – Proportion of fixed-line broadband connections by access type – 2009 - 2012
      • Table 28 – ISP market share by subscribers – 2009 - 2012
      • Table 29 – Internet services market revenue – 2006 - 2014
      • Table 30 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 31 – Internet access market share by access type – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 32 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2001 - 2014
      • Table 33 – Total internet subscribers – 2006 - 2014
      • Table 34 – Internet ARPU – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 35 – Broadband data rates as proportion of subscribers – 2009 - 2012
      • Table 36 – Cable broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2014
      • Table 37 – TEO fixed broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2013
      • Table 38 – ADSL subscribers – 2006 - 2014
      • Table 39 – Fibre connections by operator – 2006 - 2011
      • Table 40 – FttH/FttB subscribers – 2008 - 2013
      • Table 41 – TEO FttX subscribers – 2006 - 2013
      • Table 42 – TEO WiFi subscribers – 2007 - 2013
      • Table 43 – WiFi subscribers – 2011 - 2012
      • Table 44 – WiMAX subscribers – 2011 - 2012
      • Table 45 – Mobile broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 46 – Subscribers to bundled services, by offer – 2008 - 2012
      • Table 47 – Subscribers to bundled services – 2010 - 2012
      • Table 48 – Broadcasting revenue – 2005 - 2012
      • Table 49 – Pay TV subscribers – 2008 - 2012
      • Table 50 – Pay TV market share by platform – 2009 - 2012
      • Table 51 – Digital TV subscribers by access method – 2009 - 2012
      • Table 52 – Digital TV market share by access method – 2008 - 2012
      • Table 53 – TEO IPTV subscribers – 2006 - 2013
      • Table 54 – Cable TV and MMDS subscribers – 1997 - 2012
      • Table 55 – Satellite TV revenue – 2011 - 2012
      • Table 56 – DTTV revenue – 2011 - 2012
      • Table 57 – TEO DTTV subscribers – 2008 - 2013
      • Table 58 – Proportion of population making online purchases – 2005 - 2013
      • Table 59 – Uptake of e-government services by businesses – 2004 - 2011
      • Table 60 – Uptake of e-government services by individuals – 2004 - 2011
      • Table 61 – Historical - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1998 - 2004
      • Table 62 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2005 - 2014
      • Table 63 – Proportion of mobile market revenue by service – 2009 - 2011
      • Table 64 – Revenue from roaming services – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 65 – Mobile market revenue, MNOs and resellers – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 66 – MVNO share of subscribers and revenue – 2003 - 2012
      • Table 67 – Proportion of mobile service revenue to total telecom sector revenue – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 68 – 3G subscriber market share per operator – 2009 - 2012
      • Table 69 – Number of 3G subscribers – 2007 - 2012
      • Table 70 – Market share per operator by revenue – 2009 - 2012
      • Table 71 – Market share per operator by subscribers – 2009 - 2012
      • Table 72 – Base stations in use – 2006 - 2011
      • Table 73 – Accumulative mobile number portings – 2004 - 2012
      • Table 74 – Omnitel subscribers – 2007 - 2013
      • Table 75 – Omnitel annualised ARPU – 2005 - 2013
      • Table 76 – Omnitel MOU and churn – 2005 - 2013
      • Table 77 – Omnitel financial data – 2005 - 2013
      • Table 78 – Bité mobile subscribers by type – 2007 - 2012
      • Table 79 – Bité annualised ARPU – 2007 - 2009
      • Table 80 – Bité Lithuania financial data – 2009 - 2013
      • Table 81 – Tele2 mobile financial data – 2008 - 2013
      • Table 82 – Tele2 mobile subscribers – 2007 - 2013
      • Table 83 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2002 - 2012
      • Table 84 – Prepaid subscribers – 2010 - 2012
      • Table 85 – Total SMS messages sent – 2004 - 2012
      • Table 86 – Total MMS messages sent – 2004 - 2012
      • Table 87 – Mobile data sent on 3G networks (quarterly comparison) – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 88 – Mobile data sent on 3G networks (by year) – 2006 - 2012
      • Table 89 – GPRS, EDGE and UMTS subscribers – 2004 - 2012
      • Table 90 – Mobile data subscriber market share per operator – 2009 - 2012
      • Table 91 – Mobile data revenue – 2010 - 2012
      • Table 92 – HSPA subscribers – 2007 - 2012
      • Table 93 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
      • Table 94 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – lower growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
      • Chart 1 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2005 - 2012
      • Chart 2 – Telecom investment and annual growth – 2006 - 2012
      • Chart 3 – Internet access market share by access type – 2006 - 2012
      • Chart 4 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2001 - 2014
      • Chart 5 – Broadband data rates as proportion of subscribers – 2009 – 2012
      • Chart 6 – TEO fixed broadband subscribers, total and DSL – 2005 - 2013
      • Chart 7 – TEO FttX subscribers; annual growth – 2006 - 2013
      • Chart 8 – Mobile broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2006 - 2012
      • Chart 9 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2005 - 2014
      • Chart 10 – Revenue from roaming services – 2006 - 2012
      • Chart 11 – Mobile market revenue, MNOs and resellers – 2006 - 2012
      • Chart 12 – Number of 3G subscribers – 2007 - 2012
      • Chart 13 – Omnitel annualised ARPU – 2005 - 2013
      • Chart 14 – Omnitel financial data – 2008 - 2013
      • Chart 15 – Bité financial data – 2009 - 2013
      • Chart 16 – Tele2 mobile financial data – 2008 - 2013
      • Chart 17 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2002 - 2012
      • Exhibit 1 – EU – The New Regulatory Framework (NRF)
      • Exhibit 2 – Access, the local loop and unbundling – an overview
      • Exhibit 3 – The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) annual E-readiness criteria
      • Exhibit 4 – 2G spectrum awarded

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