2012 Norway - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Publication Overview

This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Norway’s telecommunications market. The report analyses the mobile, internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media sectors. Subjects include:

  • Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
  • Facts, figures and statistics;
  • Industry and regulatory issues;
  • Infrastructure;
  • Major Players, Revenues, Subscribers, ARPU, MoU;
  • Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
  • Mobile Voice and Data Markets;
  • Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
  • Convergence and Digital Media;
  • 3G subscriber and mobile ARPU forecasts to 2015;
  • Broadband market forecasts for selective years to 2020.

Key developments:

Broadband revenue growth slows in 2011; fibre-based broadband worth NOK1.445 billion; Telenor purchases two local fibre providers; Ventelo restructures business divisions; Altibox launches mobile broadband; broadband growth slows to 3% in line with higher penetration; Accenture awarded five-year contract to build an electronic health record system; SMS traffic falls for the first time through smartphone messaging alternatives; mobile network traffic growth slows; TeliaSonera contracts Huawei and Ericsson to expand LTE network; Tele2 buys out minority shareholders in Network Norway; MTRs set to 2013; MNOs set up m-commerce joint venture; regulator issues 2GHz spectrum auction rules; Telenor launches LTE network, expects 90% population coverage by 2015; regulator’s market data for 2011, telcos’ operating and financial data to September 2012; market developments to October 2012. 

Companies covered in this report include:

Telenor Group, NextGenTel, Lyse, NetCom, Nordisk Mobiltelefon; ViaSat, Canal Digital, Get, TeliaSonera, Tele2, BaneTele; Telenor Mobil, Mobile Norway, Teletopia.

Researcher:- Henry Lancaster
Current publication date:- October 2012 (11th Edition) 

Executive Summary

Norway’s MNOs prepare investment strategies for spectrum auctions

BuddeComm’s biannual publication, Norway - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media markets in one of Eastern Europe’s more progressive countries. The report includes the regulator’s market data for 2011, smart grid updates; telcos’ operating and financial data to September 2012; market developments to October 2012.

Telecom market overview

Mobile services now make up more than half of telecom revenue and about two-thirds of voice traffic. Fixed-line traffic fell 12% in 2011 as increasingly communicate via mobile networks or different types of social media. Revenue for fixed telephony fell sharply in 2011, while broadband revenue growth has fallen steadily during the last few years in line with the slowdown in the growth of new broadband subscribers as the market penetration increases.

Mobile market

The mobile sector is attracting a significant portion of telecom investment as operators continue to upgrade networks for LTE. An imminent auction for spectrum in the 2GHz band will further extend the availability of LTE in rural areas and help the government fulfil its ‘Norway Digital’ programme for broadband. MNOs have focussed on mobile data services, which are set to develop swiftly in 2013 as LTE services become a dominant feature of the mobile landscape.

Key telecom parameters – 2010; 2012

Sector

2010

2012 (e)

Subscribers to telecoms services (million):

Fixed broadband

1.72

2.15

Fixed-line telephony

1.65

1.40

Mobile phone

5.36

5.54

Mobile broadband

5.65

5.82

Market penetration by sector:

Fixed broadband

36%

41%

Fixed-telephony

66%

55%

Mobile (SIM)

117%

123%

(Source: BuddeComm)

Market Highlights

  • MNOs during 2013 will be able to take advantage of spectrum in the 2GHz band which has been set aside for mobile broadband based on LTE. This development will significantly enhance network capabilities and allow operators to extend their services to rural areas with lower capex.
  • Smart grid infrastructure is developing rapidly, with a view to replacing all electricity, gas and water meters with smart meters by early 2017.
  • The strong growth in VDSL connections during 2011 is set to continue into 2013, though VDSL still makes up a small proportion of the declining DSL subscriber base. 

This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in Norway. It provides further information on:

  • Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
  • The impact of the global economic crisis;
  • Telecoms operators – privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
  • Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards;
  • 3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE;
  • Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;
  • Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;
  • ARPU statistics and forecasts.

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Key Statistics
  • 2. Telecommunications Market
    • 2.1 Overview of Norway’s telecom market
  • 3. Regulatory Environment
    • 3.1 History
    • 3.2 Regulatory authority
      • 3.2.1 Norwegian Post and Telecommunications Authority (NPT)
    • 3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Norway
      • 3.3.1 Privatisation of Telenor
      • 3.3.2 Interconnect
      • 3.3.3 Access
      • 3.3.4 Number portability (NP)
      • 3.3.5 Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
  • 4. Fixed Network Operators
    • 4.1 Overview of operators
    • 4.2 Telenor
    • 4.3 TeliaSonera
    • 4.4 Tele2
    • 4.5 BaneTele
  • 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
    • 5.1 National telecom network
    • 5.2 IP migration
    • 5.3 International infrastructure
      • 5.3.1 Submarine cable networks
      • 5.3.2 Satellite networks
    • 5.4 Smart grids
    • 5.5 Wholesaling
  • 6. Broadband Market
    • 6.1 Overview
      • 6.1.1 Broadband statistics
      • 6.1.2 Government support
    • 6.2 Cable modems
    • 6.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
      • 6.3.1 Overview
      • 6.3.2 Telenor
      • 6.3.3 NextGenTel
      • 6.3.4 Other DSL developments
    • 6.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
      • 6.4.1 Overview
      • 6.4.2 Utilities
      • 6.4.3 Telenor
    • 6.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL)
    • 6.6 Wireless broadband
      • 6.6.1 Overview
      • 6.6.2 Wireless broadband 2.3GHz band
      • 6.6.3 Wireless LANs
      • 6.6.4 WiFi
      • 6.6.5 WiMAX
      • 6.6.6 Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)
      • 6.6.7 Mobile broadband
      • 6.6.8 Internet via satellite
    • 6.7 E-Health
  • 7. Digital Media
    • 7.1 Overview of digital media
      • 7.1.1 Key general trends
      • 7.1.2 Business models
      • 7.1.3 Regulatory issues
      • 7.1.4 VoIP
    • 7.2 Digital TV
      • 7.2.1 Free-to-Air (FTA) TV
      • 7.2.2 Broadband (IPTV)
      • 7.2.3 Cable TV (CATV)
      • 7.2.4 Satellite TV
      • 7.2.5 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
  • 8. Mobile Communications
    • 8.1 Overview of Norway’s mobile market
      • 8.1.1 Mobile statistics
      • 8.1.2 Operator market shares
    • 8.2 Regulatory issues
      • 8.2.1 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions
      • 8.2.2 Roaming
      • 8.2.3 Number portability
      • 8.2.4 Mobile termination rates (MTRs)
    • 8.3 Mobile technologies
      • 8.3.1 Analogue
      • 8.3.2 Digital
      • 8.3.3 Third Generation (3G) mobile
    • 8.4 Major mobile operators
      • 8.4.1 Telenor Mobil
      • 8.4.2 NetCom
      • 8.4.3 Mobile Norway
      • 8.4.4 Teletopia
      • 8.4.5 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
    • 8.5 Mobile voice services
      • 8.5.1 Prepaid
    • 8.6 Mobile messaging
      • 8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
      • 8.6.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
    • 8.7 Mobile data services
      • 8.7.1 Overview
      • 8.7.2 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
      • 8.7.3 High-Speed Packet Access (HSPA)
      • 8.7.4 Enhanced data for GSM evolution (EDGE)
      • 8.7.5 Long-term Evolution (LTE)
      • 8.7.6 Mobile TV
      • 8.7.7 Femtocells
      • 8.7.8 TETRA (TErrestrial Trunked RAdio)
      • 8.7.9 Machine-to-Machine (M2M)
    • 8.8 Mobile content and applications
      • 8.8.1 Location-based services
      • 8.8.2 M-commerce
  • 9. Forecasts
    • 9.1 Forecasts – broadband subscribers – 2009 - 2012; 2020
      • 9.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
      • 9.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
    • 9.2 Forecasts - Mobile
      • 9.2.1 Forecasts – mobile ARPU - 2009 - 2010; 2015
      • 9.2.2 Forecasts – UMTS subscribers – 2009 - 2010; 2015
  • 10. Glossary of Abbreviations
  • Table 1 – Country statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 2 – Telecom revenue and investment statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 3 – Telephone network statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 4 – Internet user statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 5 – Broadband statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 6 – Mobile statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 7 – National telecommunications authority
  • Table 8 – Total telecom revenue – 2004 - 2013
  • Table 9 – Fixed-line traffic in minutes – 2004 - 2013
  • Table 10 – Fixed-line turnover in residential / business sectors – 2004 - 2013
  • Table 11 – Revenue by sector – 2003 - 2012
  • Table 12 – Proportion of turnover by sector – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 13 – Number of telecom providers by sector – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 14 – Voice lines by type – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 15 – CPS and resale subscribers – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 16 – Operators’ share of fixed-line traffic – 20067- 2011
  • Table 17 – Share of fixed-telephony revenue by operator – 2002 - 2011
  • Table 18 – Telenor fixed-line financial data (Norway) – 2008 - 2012
  • Table 19 – Telenor Group financial data – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 20 – Telenor fixed subscribers – 2009 – 2012
  • Table 21 – TeliaSonera (Norway) revenue – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 22 – TeliaSonera subscriber statistics – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 23 –Tele2 subscribers by sector – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 24 – Tele2 financial data by sector – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 25 – Fixed lines in service and penetration – 1995; 1997; 1999 - 2013
  • Table 26 – Fixed subscriptions – VoIP, cable – 2001 - 2012
  • Table 27 – Fixed lines – PSTN/ISDN – 2000 - 2011
  • Table 28 – Telenor wholesale lines – PSTN, DSL, LLU – 2004 - 2012
  • Table 29 – Broadband market revenue – 2003 - 2012
  • Table 30 – Internet users and penetration rate – 1995 - 2012
  • Table 31 – Residential fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 1999 - 2012
  • Table 32 – Broadband market share by technology – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 33 – Broadband household penetration – 2000 - 2013
  • Table 34 – Broadband penetration by technology – 2004 - 2012
  • Table 35 – Get financial data (historic) – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 36 – Cable subscribers – 1999 - 2013
  • Table 37 – ADSL subscribers – 2000 - 2012
  • Table 38 – Telenor retail broadband subscribers and local loops – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 39 – NextGenTel broadband revenue – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 40 – NextGenTel broadband ARPU – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 41 – NextGenTel broadband subscribers – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 42 – Fibre subscribers – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 43 – WLAN subscribers (historic) – 2000 - 2007
  • Table 44 – Mobile broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 45 – Mobile broadband data traffic and revenue – 2006 - 2013
  • Table 46 – Nordisk Mobiltelefon mobile broadband subscribers – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 47 – Market share of mobile broadband subscribers by provider – 2010 - 2011
  • Table 48 – VoIP share of traffic by sector – 2006 - 2010
  • Table 49 – VoIP revenue and subscribers – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 50 – VoIP traffic and subscriber market share by operator – 2011
  • Table 51 – VoIP traffic and market share – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 52 – Telenor VoIP subscribers – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 53 – NextGenTel VoIP subscribers – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 54 – Broadband telephony subscribers – VoIP, cable – 2001 - 2012
  • Table 55 – Proportion of households with VoIP – 2003 - 2012
  • Table 56 – Share of pay TV subscribers by operator – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 57 – Broadcasting revenue – 2007 - 2013
  • Table 58 – Broadcasting revenue by sector – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 59 – Proportion of broadcasting revenue by sector – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 60 – Share of TV reception by type – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 61 – Pay TV subscribers by type – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 62 – IPTV subscribers – 2008 - 2013
  • Table 63 – IPTV market share of subscribers by main operators – 2010 - 2011
  • Table 64 – CATV subscribers – 2009 - 2013
  • Table 65 – Telenor cable subscribers (Norway) – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 66 – Cable TV market share of subscribers by operator – 2010 - 2011
  • Table 67 – Satellite TV revenue – 2007 - 2013
  • Table 68 – Satellite TV subscribers – 2007 - 2013
  • Table 69 – Canal Digital satellite subscribers – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 70 – Canal Digital DTH financial data – 2009 - 2012
  • Table 71 – ViaSat DTH subscriber statistics (Nordics) – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 72 – ViaSat revenue (Nordics) – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 73 – DTTV revenue – 2007 - 2013
  • Table 74 – DTTV (pay) subscribers – 2009 - 2013
  • Table 75 – Mobile revenue – 2002 - 2013
  • Table 76 – Mobile revenue by service – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 77 – Mobile revenue per subscriber and per minute – 2001 - 2012
  • Table 78 – Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change – Jun 2012
  • Table 79 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1995; 1997; 1999 - 2013
  • Table 80 – Mobile traffic – 2004 - 2013
  • Table 81 – Mobile calls made – 2010 - 2013
  • Table 82 – Market share of subscribers by provider – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 83 – Revenue market share by provider – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 84 – European roaming charges – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 85 – Average mobile number portings (historic) – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 86 – Nordisk Mobiltelefon financial data – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 87 – Nordisk Mobiltelefon subscribers (Norway) – 2006 - 2010
  • Table 88 – Telenor Mobil – subscribers, prepaid, SMS and market share – 2000 - 2012
  • Table 89 – Telenor Mobil financial data – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 90 – Telenor Mobil ARPU: blended, contract and prepaid – 2004 - 2012
  • Table 91 – NetCom subscribers – 2002 - 2012
  • Table 92 – NetCom ARPU: blended, contract and prepaid – 2002 - 2012
  • Table 93 – NetCom revenue – 2004 - 2012
  • Table 94 – Mobile Norway (Tele2) subscribers by sector – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 95 – Mobile Norway (Tele2) financial data by sector – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 96 – Prepaid share of mobile subscribers – 1999; 2005 - 2013
  • Table 97 – Prepaid and contract subscribers –2005 - 2011
  • Table 98 – Telenor Mobile (Norway) contract and prepaid subscribers – 2001 - 2012
  • Table 99 – Annual SMS sent – 1999 - 2013
  • Table 100 – Revenue per SMS sent – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 101 – MMS messages sent and annual change – 2004 - 2013
  • Table 102 – Mobile broadband market share by subscribers – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 103 – Mobile data traffic – 2008 - 2012
  • Table 104 – Mobile data revenue – 2006 - 2013
  • Table 105 – M2M SIM cards in use – 2007 - 2013
  • Table 106 – Forecast broadband subscribers – higher market growth scenario – 2010 - 2012; 2020
  • Table 107 – Forecast broadband penetration – higher market growth scenario – 2007 - 2012; 2020
  • Table 108 – Forecast broadband subscribers – lower market growth scenario – 2010 - 2012; 2020
  • Table 109 – Forecast broadband penetration – lower market growth scenario – 2007 - 2012; 2020
  • Table 110 – Forecast mobile ARPU – 2009 - 2010; 2015
  • Table 111 – Forecast UMTS subscriber growth – 2009 - 2010; 2015
  • Chart 1 – Revenue by sector – 2003 – 2012
  • Chart 2 – Proportion of turnover by sector – 2005 – 2012
  • Chart 3 – Telenor Group financial data – 2007 – 2012
  • Chart 4 – Telenor fixed subscribers – 2009 – 2012
  • Chart 5 – TeliaSonera (Norway) revenue – 2006 – 2012
  • Chart 6 – TeliaSonera subscriber statistics – 2005 – 2012
  • Chart 7 – Tele2 subscribers by sector – 2007 - 2012
  • Chart 8 – Mobile Norway (Tele2) financial data by sector – 2007 - 2012
  • Chart 9 – Telenor wholesale lines – PSTN, DSL, LLU – 2004 – 2012
  • Chart 10 – Internet users and penetration rate – 1995 – 2012
  • Chart 11 – Total fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 1999 – 2012
  • Chart 12 – Broadband market share by technology – 2006 – 2012
  • Chart 13 - Telenor retail broadband subscribers and local loops – 2005 - 2012
  • Chart 14 – VoIP revenue and subscribers – 2006 – 2012
  • Chart 15 – VoIP traffic and market share – 2005 – 2012
  • Chart 16 – Broadcasting revenue share by sector– 2009 - 2011
  • Chart 17 – Share of TV reception by type – 2007 – 2011
  • Chart 18 – Pay TV subscribers by type – 2007 – 2011
  • Chart 19 – Canal Digital DTH financial data – 2009 – 2012
  • Chart 20 – ViaSat DTH subscriber statistics (Nordics) – 2007 – 2012
  • Chart 21 – ViaSat revenue (Nordics) – 2006 – 2012
  • Chart 22 – Mobile revenue by service – 2008 – 2011
  • Chart 23 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2002 - 2013
  • Chart 24 – Telenor Mobil financial data – 2005 – 2012
  • Chart 25 – Telenor Mobil ARPU: blended, contract and prepaid – 2004 – 2012
  • Chart 26 – NetCom and ARPU: blended, contract and prepaid – 2002 – 2012
  • Chart 27 – Mobile Norway (Tele2) subscribers by sector – 2007 - 2012
  • Chart 28 – Mobile Norway (Tele2) financial data by sector – 2007 - 2012
  • Chart 29 – Prepaid and contract subscribers –2005 – 2011
  • Exhibit 1 – Overview of digital media
  • Exhibit 2 – 3G beauty contest licence results in Norway – 2000; 2003; 2007

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