2012 Ireland - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts
This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Ireland’s telecommunications market. The report analyses the mobile, Internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media sectors. Subjects include:
Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
Facts, figures and statistics;
Industry and regulatory issues;
Major players, revenues, subscribers, ARPU, MoU;
Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
Mobile voice and data markets;
Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
Convergence and digital media;
3G subscriber and mobile ARPU forecasts to 2015;
Broadband market forecasts for selective years to 2020.
Next Generational Broadband Taskforce set up for broadband roadmap; government pursues ‘NewEra’ National Recovery Programme; Ka-band spotbeam technology available to Digiweb Tooway, eircom and SBI satellite; dramatic fall in number of WiFi hotspots and access points; Tesco Mobile profit turnaround; regulator preparing 130MHz of sub-1GHz spectrum for mobile broadband; Meteor and O2 sign Ireland’s first network sharing deal; O2 launches MVNO; SMS traffic showed recovering growth in 2011; mobile broadband subscriptions growing nearly 10% annually; Vodafone set to increase investment by 20% in 2012; Vodafone fined for roaming data cap breaches; mobile retail revenue falls 1.2% in Q3 2011; mobile ARPU continues to slide; RTÉ initiates Saorview DTT service; coverage to be supplemented by satellite TV Saorsat; Magnet Networks launches free web TV; government’s NewEra broadband plans to support connectivity; eircom planning IPTV service in mid-2012; Eircom’s Next Generation Ethernet wholesale service opened in 600 locations; revised NRF comes into play; 14 operators use the service; government promotes NewEra National Recovery Programme requiring 90% FttC connectivity; eircom reports falling revenue in 2011; eircom puts itself up for sale to help manage €3.75 debt pile; regulator and operator data to September 2011; market developments to early 2012.
Researcher:- Henry Lancaster Current publication date:- February 2012 ( 11th Edition)
Eircom succumbs to Ireland’s economic pressures
BuddeComm’s annual publication, Ireland - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media markets in Ireland.
The poor economic climate has deeply affected the Irish telecom market since the second half of 2008. The government in 2009 underwrote some €50 billion worth of toxic debt accumulated by the three major banks. Mounting debts, compounded by low corporate tax and reduced income tax, obliged the government to accept up to €90 billion as a bailout from the EU and IMF in late 2010, while a four-year economic plan was devised aimed at driving down the country’s deficit from 12% to 3% of GDP by the end of 2015 by cutting €15 billion off state spending. Ireland’s last three budgets have already cut public spending by up to €14 billion. In early 2011 a new coalition government was formed between Fine Gael and Labour to help push through a revised economic programme.
The government’s indebtedness has made it difficult to honour its former pledges of public money to upgrade national telecoms networks, and so it has had to lean increasingly on the cash-strapped private sector. The telecom sector has also been affected by reduced consumer spend on all but essential services. While mobile and broadband services are considered a ‘safe’ revenue stream for operators, there is little extravagance among consumers, and so operators have faced reduced revenue and with it the cash to invest in networks, infrastructure and upgrades.
Over the past six years or so changes in telecom sector revenue have mirrored economic output, and as the current recession has deepened both GDP and telecom revenue have declined. Nevertheless, the contribution of the telecom sector to GDP has grown during the last three years, suggesting that the sector is moderately healthier than other sectors of the economy.
Ireland’s mobile penetration is on a par with the EU average, having grown at one of the fastest rates in the EU in recent years. The country also has an above average level of data revenue as a percentage of total mobile revenue Although blended ARPU has continued to fall steadily, it remains among the highest in the EU. Despite economic constraints ARPU should remain stable towards the end of 2012 as increased mobile data traffic outweighs a shift to prepaid usage among consumers.
Growth in the number of broadband subscriptions has slowed in recent quarters and is largely propped up by the mobile broadband sector. DSL remains the dominant platform, though a gradual shift to FttX networks will see this dominance decline in coming years. The cable sector has been supported by UPC’s investment in DOCSIS 3.0 technology, which provides considerably higher data rates than is currently possible through DSL.
Eircom’s dominance in the broadband market is gradually slipping, representing about 65% of subscriptions by the beginning of 2012. Greater efforts by the government and regulator have led to higher broadband penetration in Ireland, though the country still ranks near the bottom of OECD countries. In the EU it is ranked above only Greece. The slow process of LLU is a major reason for Ireland’s poor position: competitors via LLU provide only about 9% of all DSL accesses.
Key telecom parameters – 2010; 2012
Subscribers to telecoms services:
Fixed broadband subscribers (million)
Fixed-line telephony (million)
Mobile broadband subscribers (thousand)
Mobile phone (million)
Penetration by telecom service:
Mobile SIM penetration
Ireland’s FttX networks have developed slowly as a result of eircom’s financial constraints. The cost of extending network builds beyond certain exchanges in the main towns remain prohibitive and so further developments during the next few years will be restricted. The absence of a regulatory mechanism to encourage network construction and investment has added to the sector’s difficulties.
The MVNO market remains underdeveloped, with few operators involved. In early 2012 an existing MNO, O2, launch its own low-cost service targeted at the youth market.
The regulator’s final decision on ASO will see the process completed in three phases during the first four months of 2012. Released digital dividend spectrum will be auctioned as part of the government’s efforts to raise €700 million, so fulfilling financial conditions reached with the EU and IMF.
The chaotic DTTV market remains in limbo. The failure of Boxer (awarded three national DTTV multiplexes) as well as the One Vision consortium was compounded by the refusal of the third bidder for the DTTV service, the Easy TV consortium (comprising RTÉ and Liberty Global), to negotiate with the Broadcasting Authority of Ireland (BAI). The BAI has ruled out introducing commercial DTTV until after analogue TV services are switched off at the end of 2012, with services not to be launched until 2013. all three groups which contested the 2008 DTT contest have withdrawn from the process.
This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in Ireland. It provides further information on:
Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
The impact of the global economic crisis;
Telecoms operators – privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards;
3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE;
Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;
Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;
ARPU statistics and forecasts.
Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.
Table of Contents
1. Key Statistics
2. Telecommunications Market
2.1 Overview of Ireland’s telecom market
3. Regulatory Environment
3.2 Revised NFR
3.3 Regulatory authority
3.3.1 Commission for Communications Regulation (ComReg)
3.4 Telecom sector liberalisation in Ireland
3.4.1 Privatisation of eircom
3.4.4 Fibre access
3.5 Number Portability (NP)
3.6 Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
4. Fixed Network Operators
4.2 Operator market shares
4.3.1 Going into 2012
4.4 BT Ireland
4.5 Smart Telecom
4.7 Other operators
5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
5.1 National telecom network
5.2 Structural separation issues
5.3 Next Generation Networks (NGNs)
5.4.1 Submarine cable networks
5.4.2 Satellite networks
6. Broadband Market
6.1.1 Broadband statistics
6.1.2 National Development Plan to 2013
6.1.3 Promoting broadband
6.1.4 Government networks
6.1.5 Other providers
6.1.6 Regional infrastructure
6.1.7 Wholesale bitstream
6.2 Cable modems
6.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
6.3.1 Alternative operators
6.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
6.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL)
6.6 Mobile broadband
6.7 Wireless broadband
6.7.1 1.7GHz band
6.7.2 10.5GHz band
6.7.3 3.5GHz band
6.7.4 Other spectrum
6.7.6 National Fixed Wireless Point to Multipoint Licences (FWPMA)
6.7.7 Other developments
6.7.8 Other bands
6.7.10 Worldwide Interoperability of Microwave Access (WiMAX)
As you know, I have resigned from the Labor Ministry and have decided not to re-contest the seat of Charlton at the next election – both for personal reasons.
Before leaving Parliament, I particularly wish to record my thanks to you for your generous and constructive participation in the deliberations that generated significant economic policy reforms for the Australian community. Continuous economic transformation is a key challenge that faces all Governments.
The development of sound public policy should always be contestable. Ultimately, good and equitable outcomes are not concessions to any particular interest group, but the careful balancing of interests to create the greatest possible benefit for the nation. You have contributed to that, and I sincerely thank you for it.
Greg Combet, Former Minister for Climate Change, Industry and Innovation