Indonesia - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

Publication Overview

This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Indonesia’s telecommunications market. The report analyses the Telecoms Infrastructure, mobile, fixed broadband, Digital Media and Digital Economy sectors. Subjects include:

  • Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
  • Regional market comparisons
  • Telecoms Maturity Index
  • Data centres and smart Infrastructure;
  • Major players, revenues, subscribers, ARPU;
  • Broadband (FTTH, DSL);
  • Internet of Things, 5G developments
  • Mobile, broadband and mobile broadband forecasts to 2023.

Researcher:- Phil Harpur
Current publication date:- June 2019 (25th Edition)

Executive Summary

Indonesia lags in fixed broadband but makes good progress in the wireless segment

Indonesia still faces some big challenges if it is to successfully continue the building of the telecommunications infrastructure required to support a large population spread over what is a uniquely complex geography. Continued progress in the development of the telecom sector will need further government action on restructuring the industry.

Compared to other Asian nations, Indonesia has very low fixed line and fixed broadband penetration, high mobile penetration and moderate mobile broadband penetration.

The Indonesian data centre market has experienced significant growth over the past two decades. In particular growth has been very strong over the past few years, as Indonesia seeks to bridge the gap with its more advanced neighbours such as Singapore and Malaysia. Indonesia is attracting investments from hyperscale cloud providers such as Google, Alibaba and Amazon, reflecting a growing interest in Indonesia as an alternative to Singapore, for cloud and data centre services.

The construction of a broadband network in the eastern part of the country under the Palapa Ring Project II, has been completed. The project was the second part of a project designed to link Indonesian cities through an integrated fibre optic network.

Fixed broadband penetration in Indonesia remains relatively low mainly due to a limited number of fixed lines and the dominance of the mobile platform.

However, the fixed broadband market has grown strongly over the past five years from a very small base. In addition, a number of FTTH launches have recently occurred as Indonesia finally sees some momentum in the rollout of FTTH services.

Over the next five years to 2023 strong growth is expected to continue in the fixed broadband market driven by the FTTH market.

A large number of mobile operators compete for revenues in the Indonesian market. All the major mobile operators are well advanced in the deployment of their 4G LTE networks, as the market moves towards 5G. Telkomsel and Huawei held a live demo of 5G technology in Jakarta, while Telkomsel also confirmed plans to test 5G technology at the Asian Games.

Industry consolidation is possible towards 2020 as intense data competition may force smaller and unprofitable mobile operators to be pushed out of the market.

Mobile subscriber growth is expected to be relatively low over the next five years to 2023 as the market further matures in a highly competitive market. The market will be driven by the uptake of both 4G and 5G services. Smartfren selected ZTE of China to collaborate on the development of 5G technology in the country.

Indonesia has seen a very rapid increase in mobile broadband penetration over the past five years driven by a rising level of mobile broadband users. However, the mobile broadband market is still at a relatively early stage of development. Strong growth is predicted over the next five years to 2023.

 

Key Developments

  • Industry consolidation is possible as intense data competition may force smaller mobile operators to be pushed out of the market.
  • Strong growth is predicted over the next five years to 2023 for the mobile broadband segment.
  • Smartfren selected ZTE of China to collaborate on the development of 5G technology in the country.
  • Strong growth is expected to continue driven by the FTTH market over the next five years to 2023.
  • The construction of a broadband network in the eastern part of the country has been completed.

Key companies mentioned in this report:

PT Telkom; PT Indosat; PT Satelindo; Smart Telecom, PT Bakrie Telecom, Temasek, TelkomNet, Telkomsel.

Phil Harpur
June 2019

Table of Contents

  • Key statistics

    • Country overview
  • Telecommunications market

    • Market overview and analysis
    • Historical overview
    • Regional Asian Market Comparison
  • Regulatory environment

    • Historic overview
      • Telecommunications Law 1989
      • Telecommunications Law 2000
      • Ministry of Communication and Informatics (MoCI)
      • Foreign ownership
      • Anti-monopoly case
    • Access
  • Fixed network operators

    • PT Telkom Indonesia
    • Indosat Ooredoo
    • PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia (Telkom)
  • Telecommunications infrastructure

    • Introduction
    • Fixed line statistics
    • NGN, fibre networks
      • Palapa Ring Project
      • High-Speed Broadband (HSBB) project
      • TITO (Trade In Trade Off) Access Modernization Project
      • Other developments
    • International infrastructure
      • International gateway exchanges
      • Submarine cable networks
      • Satellite networks
    • Data centres
      • Market overview
      • Market drivers and restraints
      • Major data centre providers
    • Smart infrastructure
      • Smart cities and IoT
  • Broadband market

    • Market overview and analysis
    • Fixed broadband service providers
      • TelkomNet
      • LinkNet
      • MNC Kabel Mediacom
      • Biznet Networks
      • XL Axiata
      • MyRepublic (Indonesia)
    • Fixed line broadband technologies
      • Fibre-to-the-Home (FTTH)
      • Fixed wireless (WiFi and WiMAX)
  • Digital media

    • Videostreaming / IPTV
  • Mobile communications

    • Market overview and analysis
    • Mobile statistics
      • Mobile subscriber statistics and forecasts
      • Mobile data
      • Mobile Broadband statistics and forecast
    • Regulatory issues
      • Near Field Communication (NFC)
      • Spectrum
      • MNP
    • Mobile infrastructure
      • Digital networks
      • Other infrastructure developments
      • IoT and M2M networks
    • Major mobile operators
      • Operator statistics
      • XL Axiata
      • Telkomsel
      • Indosat Ooredoo
      • PT Hutchison 3 Indonesia
      • PT SmartFren Telecom (SmartFren)
      • PT Bakrie Telecom (BTEL)
      • Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia (STI) / (Net1)
      • Internux (Bolt!)
    • Mobile content and applications
      • m-TV

List of Tables

  • Table 1 – Top level country statistics and telco authorities – 2018 (e)
  • Table 2 – Percentage of population covered by type of mobile network
  • Table 3 – Key Metrics - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) - 2018 – 2023
  • Table 4 – PT Telkom – Revenue and EBITDA – 2012 – 2017
  • Table 5 – Fixed lines and penetration – 2012 – 2018
  • Table 6 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration (with forecast) – 2005 – 2023
  • Table 7 – Historic - DSL subscribers – 2001 – 2015
  • Table 8 – Internet penetration – 2007 – 2018
  • Table 9 – Historic - Internet users – 1998 – 2006
  • Table 10 – Total international internet bandwidth – 2005 – 2017
  • Table 11 – PT Telkom’s fixed broadband subscribers – 2004 – 2018
  • Table 12 – Mobile subscribers and penetration (with forecast) – 2007 – 2023
  • Table 13 – Historic - Mobile subscribers – 1995 – 2006
  • Table 14 – Mobile broadband subscribers and penetration (with forecast) – 2009 – 2023
  • Table 15 – Historic - Frequency spectrum overview - major mobile operators
  • Table 17 – Major mobile operators by system
  • Table 18– Mobile subscribers and market share by operator – 2018
  • Table 19 – XL Axiata mobile subscribers – 2007 – 2018
  • Table 20 – XL Axiata ARPU – 2017 – 2018
  • Table 21 – Telkomsel mobile subscribers – 2007 – 2018
  • Table 22 – Indosat Ooredoo - mobile subscribers – 2007 - 2018
  • Table 23 – PT Indosat - postpaid and prepaid mobile subscribers (million)– 2015 – 2018
  • Table 24 – PT Indosat ARPU– 2017 – 2018
  • Table 25 – 3 Indonesia subscribers – 2007 – 2018
  • Table 26 – SmartFren mobile subscribers – 2010 – 2018
  • Table 27 – Bakrie Telecom subscribers – 2007 – 2018
  • Table 28 – Internux (Bolt!) – Mobile subscribers – 2014 – 2018

List of Charts

  • Chart 1 – Mobile, mobile broadband & fixed broadband penetration – 2018; 2023
  • Chart 2 – Asian Telecoms Maturity Index by Market Category – 2017
  • Chart 3 – Asian Telecoms Maturity Index – South East Asia – 2017
  • Chart 4 – Asian Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per Capita – 2017
  • Chart 5 – Fixed Broadband vs Mobile Penetration – South East Asia – 2017
  • Chart 6 – Fixed Broadband vs Mobile Penetration – Top Ten Countries in Asia by Population – 2017
  • Chart 7 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration (with forecast) – 2008 – 2023
  • Chart 8 – Mobile subscribers and penetration (with forecast) – 2007 – 2023
  • Chart 9 – Mobile broadband subscribers and penetration (with forecast) – 2009 – 2023

List of Exhibits

  • Exhibit 1 – Key Market Characteristics by Market Segment
  • Exhibit 2 – South East Asia -Telecoms Markets- Country Snapshot
  • Exhibit 3 – PT Telkom – major shareholder groups
  • Exhibit 4 – Major shareholder categories in PT Telkom
  • Exhibit 5 – Palapa Ring Project – specification of rings
  • Exhibit 6 – Indonesian satellites
  • Exhibit 7 – Major shareholders in PT Indosat

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