2011 Denmark - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Publication Overview

This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Denmark’s telecoms market. The report analyses the mobile, internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media sectors. Subjects include:

  • Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
  • Facts, figures and statistics;
  • Industry and regulatory issues;
  • Infrastructure;
  • Major Players, Revenues, Subscribers, ARPU, MoU;
  • Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
  • Mobile Voice and Data Markets;
  • Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
  • Convergence and Digital Media;
  • 3G subscriber and mobile ARPU forecasts to 2015;
  • Broadband market forecasts for selective years to 2020.

Key developments:

Stofa buys cable interests of Canal Digital; VoIP accounts for 37% of all fixed telephony subscriptions; TeliaSonera provides 75% LTE coverage; regulator prepares for mid-2012 800MHz spectrum auction; continuing slide in number of PSTN lines; telecom regulator abolished, with tasks reassigned to other agencies; TeliaSonera and Telenor sign network infrastructure sharing deal; TDC develops MVNO interests; mobile data traffic growth; MTRs reduced; 3 Denmark shows 21% jump in subscriber base in 2011; MNOs develop NFC-based mobile wallet; continuing growth in fibre network roll-outs; regulator’s H1 2011 market data update; telcos’ operating and financial data to end-2011; market developments into 2012.

Companies mentioned in this report include:

TDC, Telenor Denmark, 3 Denmark, Lycamobile, Tele2, YouSee, Stofa, Danish Broadcasting Corporation, TeliaSonera, Canal Digital Denmark, TRE-FOR, NRGI. Clearwire, ButlerNetworks, ECI Telecom, Nordisk Mobiltelefon, FastTV, DLG Tele.

Reseacher:- Henry Lancaster
Current publication date:- April 2012 (10th Edition)

Executive Summary

FttH network reach expected to grow by a third in 2012

BuddeComm’s half-yearly publication, Denmark - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecoms and digital media sectors in one of Europe’s more progressive markets. The report includes the regulator’s market data for the first half of 2011, data from its ‘Broadband Survey 2011’ report, telcos’ operating and financial data to end-2011, and market developments into 2012.

Telecom sector background

Denmark’s competitive telecom sector has been stimulated by the government’s efforts to develop wide-scale FttH services capable of 1Gb/s by 2020. The excellent fixed-line platform is complemented by regulatory measures to allow MNOs to refarm spectrum for 3G and 4G use, while an imminent auction for 800MHz spectrum will further push mobile broadband connectivity in coming years. Fixed-line telephony penetration is low, and continues to fall as consumers adopt VoIP and mobile alternatives. Overall revenue has been affected by the poor economic climate, being stagnant since 2008. This has also affected investment among telcos, which have concentrated on expanding their mobile and fibre-based networks, and securing spectrum.

Broadband sector

Denmark’s broadband penetration is among the highest in the world. DSL accounts for more than half of all lines though this lead will diminish steadily in coming years as consumers are migrated to alternative FttH networks. The cable sector, which reaches two-thirds of premises, is likely to be resilient as a result of network upgrades by the dominant players YouSee, Stofa and Dansk Kabel. Fibre is the fastest developing sector, with the number of reached premises expected to grow by a third in 2012. By the end of 2012 more than half of all premises will be able to access 100Mb/s services.

Mobile sector

The mature mobile market in coming years will be focussed on the data sector. MNOs have expanded HSPA and LTE capabilities using the recently auctioned 2.6GHz band, while an auction later in 2012 will make 800MHz frequencies available. MNOs have also begun marketing LTE-compatible smartphones and tablets, enabling consumers to move away from dongles. Mobile data will represent a growing proportion of revenue in coming years, offsetting declining voice revenue.

Key telecom parameters – 2010; 2013

Sector

2010

2013 (e)

Subscribers by sector (million):

Fixed broadband subscribers

2.15

2.49

Mobile broadband (dedicated cards)

0.79

0.98

Mobile phone

7.72

9.25

Fixed-line telephony

1.79

1.35

Penetration by sector:

Broadband

38%

48%

Mobile

136%

147%

Fixed-line

32%

25%

(Source: BuddeComm)

Market Highlights

  • Licensees for spectrum the 800MHz band must provide mobile broadband services of at least 10Mb/s. Spectrum will be available from the beginning of 2013 with coverage obligations to be fulfilled by 2015.
  • The cable sector has been consolidated to two main players: TDC’s YouSee and Stofa. These operators now enjoyed greater scale to invest in DOCSIS3.0 technology and so retain customers in areas where FttH is being rolled out.
  • The government has continued with measures to facilitate municipal access to fibre infrastructure in a bid to ensure that 80% households have a 50Mb/s service by 2013, and that 1Gb/s services are widely available by 2020. Sympathetic regulatory treatment will propel the fibre sector in coming years, with Denmark expected to have among the more concentrated FttH networks in Europe within the next decade. In 2012, the reach of FttX networks is expected to increase by at least 35%.

This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in Denmark. It provides further information on:

  • Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
  • The impact of the global economic crisis;
  • Telecoms operators – privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
  • Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards in 2012;
  • 3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE;
  • Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;
  • Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;
  • ARPU statistics and forecasts.

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Key Statistics
  • 2. Telecommunications Market
    • 2.1 Overview of Denmark’s telecom market
  • 3. Regulatory Environment
    • 3.1 History
      • 3.1.1 Revised NFR
    • 3.2 Regulatory authority
      • 3.2.1 National IT and Telecom Agency (NTA)
    • 3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Denmark
      • 3.3.1 Privatisation of Tele Danmark
      • 3.3.2 Interconnect
      • 3.3.3 Access
      • 3.3.4 Number portability (NP)
      • 3.3.5 Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
  • 4. Fixed Network Operators in Denmark
    • 4.1 Overview of operators
    • 4.2 TDC
      • 4.2.1 Company restructure
    • 4.3 Telenor Denmark
    • 4.4 TeliaSonera Denmark
  • 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
    • 5.1 National telecom network
    • 5.2 Alternative networks
    • 5.3 International
      • 5.3.1 Submarine cable networks
      • 5.3.2 Satellite networks
  • 6. Broadband Market
    • 6.1 Overview
      • 6.1.1 Regulatory issues
      • 6.1.2 Government support
      • 6.1.3 Broadband statistics
    • 6.2 Cable modems
    • 6.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
      • 6.3.1 Very High Data Rate DSL (VDSL)
    • 6.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
      • 6.4.1 Community networks
      • 6.4.2 TDC
    • 6.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL)
    • 6.6 Wireless broadband
      • 6.6.1 WiMAX
      • 6.6.2 Satellite
      • 6.6.3 Mobile broadband
  • 7. Digital Media
    • 7.1 Overview of digital media
    • 7.2 Key general trends
    • 7.3 Digital media
      • 7.3.1 Business models – bundled services
    • 7.4 Regulatory issues
      • 7.4.1 Overview
      • 7.4.2 Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP)
    • 7.5 Digital TV
      • 7.5.1 Broadband (IPTV)
      • 7.5.2 Video-on-Demand (VoD)
      • 7.5.3 VoIP
      • 7.5.4 Cable TV
      • 7.5.5 Satellite-based digital pay TV developments
      • 7.5.6 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
  • 8. Mobile Communications
    • 8.1 Overview of Denmark’s mobile market
      • 8.1.1 Mobile statistics
      • 8.1.2 Operator market shares
    • 8.2 Regulatory issues
      • 8.2.1 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions
      • 8.2.2 Roaming
      • 8.2.3 Mobile number portability
      • 8.2.4 Mobile termination rates (MTRs)
      • 8.2.5 Network sharing
    • 8.3 Mobile technologies
      • 8.3.1 Digital
      • 8.3.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile
    • 8.4 Major mobile operators
      • 8.4.1 TDC
      • 8.4.2 Telenor Denmark
      • 8.4.3 Telia Danmark
      • 8.4.4 3 Denmark
      • 8.4.5 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
    • 8.5 Mobile voice services
      • 8.5.1 Prepaid
    • 8.6 Mobile Messaging
      • 8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
      • 8.6.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
    • 8.7 Mobile data services
      • 8.7.1 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
      • 8.7.2 High-Speed Packet Access (HSPA)
      • 8.7.3 Long-term evolution (LTE)
      • 8.7.4 Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA)
      • 8.7.5 Mobile TV
      • 8.7.6 TETRA (TErrestrial Trunked RAdio)
      • 8.7.7 Femtocells
      • 8.7.8 Near Field Communications
  • 9. Forecasts
    • 9.1 Broadband subscribers – 2007 - 2012; 2020
      • 9.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
      • 9.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
    • 9.2 Notes on scenario forecasts
    • 9.3 Mobile ARPU - 2005 - 2010; 2015
    • 9.4 UMTS subscribers – 2006 - 2010; 2015
  • 10. Glossary of Abbreviations
  • Table 1 – Country statistics Denmark – 2011 (e)
  • Table 2 – Telephone network statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 3 – Internet user statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 4 – Broadband statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 5 – Mobile statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 6 – National telecommunications authority
  • Table 7 – Telecom revenue by sector – 2004 - 2012
  • Table 8 – Telecom investment – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 9 – Penetration of telecoms services, by sector – 2003 - 2012
  • Table 10 – Fixed-line numbers ported per year – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 11 – Carrier PreSelection registrations – 2005 - 2011
  • Table 12 – Carrier selection market share by operator – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 13 – Outgoing fixed-line traffic by type – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 14 – Fixed network and ISDN lines – 2003 - 2011
  • Table 15 – TDC Group financial data – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 16 – TDC (consumer) revenue by sector – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 17 – TDC (business) revenue by sector – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 18 – TDC domestic subscribers per sector – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 19 – Telenor Denmark fixed-line revenue – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 20 – Telenor Denmark subscribers – DSL, VoIP, telephony and mobile – 2005 – 2011
  • Table 21 – TeliaSonera Denmark subscribers by sector – 2005 - 2011
  • Table 22 – TeliaSonera (Denmark) revenue by sector – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 23 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1999 - 2012
  • Table 24 – Internet users and penetration rate – 1996 - 2013
  • Table 25 – Total internet subscribers and penetration rate – 2004 - 2013
  • Table 26 – Dial-up internet subscribers – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 27 – Broadband penetration by technology – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 28 – Total fixed-line broadband subscribers by sector – 2001 - 2013
  • Table 29 – Total fixed-line broadband penetration – 2001 - 2013
  • Table 30 – Broadband access speeds by proportion of premises – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 31 – Broadband subscribers by alternative technologies – 2007 – 2011
  • Table 32 – Broadband subscribers by data speed – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 33 – YouSee subscribers by sector – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 34 – YouSee revenue by sector – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 35 – YouSee revenue by sector – 2007 – 2011
  • Table 36 – YouSee financial data – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 37 – Cable broadband service provider market shares by operator – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 38 – Cable broadband subscribers by operator – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 39 – TDC broadband subscribers – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 40 – DSL subscribers by access type– 2006 - 2011
  • Table 41 – TeliaSonera Denmark broadband subscribers and ARPU – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 42 – Telenor Denmark broadband subscribers – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 43 – DSL market share by operator – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 44 – DSL subscribers by operator – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 45 – Proportion of DSL subscriptions by access type – 2004 - 2010
  • Table 46 – Fibre broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2013
  • Table 47 – Fibre broadband subscribers by operator – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 48 – Wireless broadband subscribers by type – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 49 – WiMAX subscribers by operator – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 50 – Mobile broadband subscribers by type – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 51 – TDC mobile broadband subscribers – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 52 – Triple play subscribers – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 53 – Triple play subscribers by operator – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 54 – Bundled service subscribers – 2008 - 2012
  • Table 55 – TDC bundled service subscribers – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 56 – IPTV subscriptions by type – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 57 – IPTV subscribers by operator – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 58 – TDC TV subscribers (consumer) – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 59 – TDC VoD subscribers (consumer) – 2008 - 2010
  • Table 60 – VoIP subscribers and traffic in minutes – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 61 – VoIP penetration – 2007 - 2013
  • Table 62 – TDC VoIP subscribers – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 63 – Telia Denmark VoIP subscribers – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 64 – Telenor VoIP subscribers – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 65 – YouSee financial data – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 66 – YouSee cable TV subscribers – 2003 - 2011
  • Table 67 – Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change – 2011
  • Table 68 – Mobile subscribers by operator (regulator data) – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 69 – Mobile subscribers and penetration – 1999 - 2013
  • Table 70 – Mobile traffic in minutes – 2005 - 2013
  • Table 71 – Mobile services revenue – 2001 - 2013
  • Table 72 – Market share of subscribers by operator (regulator data) – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 73 – European roaming charges – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 74 – Annual mobile numbers ported (regulator data) – 2003 - 2011
  • Table 75 – TDC domestic subscribers (retail, wholesale and Telmore) – 2003 - 2011
  • Table 76 – TDC mobile services revenue – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 77 – Telenor Denmark mobile subscribers, proportion prepaid – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 78 – Telenor Denmark ARPU – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 79 – Telenor Denmark revenue – 2005 - 2011
  • Table 80 – Telenor Denmark revenue – 2005 – 2011
  • Table 81 – Telenor Denmark EBITDA, op. profit – 2005 - 2011
  • Table 82 – TeliaSonera (Denmark) mobile subscribers – 2005 - 2011
  • Table 83 – TeliaSonera (Denmark) mobile ARPU – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 84 – TeliaSonera (Denmark) mobile financial data – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 85 – 3 Denmark subscribers – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 86 – 3 Denmark revenue and growth by sector – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 87 – 3 Denmark annualised monthly ARPU and data proportion – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 88 – Prepaid subscriptions and percentage of subscribers – 1999 - 2011
  • Table 89 – Total SMS sent – 2003 - 2012
  • Table 90 – Average number of SMS sent per subscriber – 2004 - 2012
  • Table 91 – Service provider proportion of SMS messages sent – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 92 – Total MMS sent – 2003 - 2013
  • Table 93 – Service provider proportion of MMS messages sent – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 94 – Mobile data traffic – 2007 - 2013
  • Table 95 – Dedicated mobile data subscriptions – 2008 - 2012
  • Table 96 – TETRA subscribers by operator – 2006 - 2007
  • Table 97 – Forecast broadband subscribers – higher market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Table 98 – Forecast broadband subscribers – lower market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Table 99 – Forecast mobile ARPU – 2005 - 2010; 2015
  • Table 100 – Forecast UMTS subscribers – 2006 - 2010; 2015
  • Chart 1 – Outgoing fixed-line traffic by type – 2006 – 2012
  • Chart 2 – TDC Group financial data – 2007 – 2011
  • Chart 3 – Telenor Denmark subscribers – DSL, VoIP, telephony and mobile – 2005 – 2011
  • Chart 4 – TeliaSonera Denmark subscribers by sector – 2005 – 2011
  • Chart 5 – TeliaSonera (Denmark) revenue by sector – 2006 – 2011
  • Chart 6 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2002 – 2012
  • Chart 7 – Internet users and penetration rate – 2003 – 2013
  • Chart 8 – Total internet subscribers and penetration rate – 2004 – 2013
  • Chart 9 – Total fixed-line broadband subscribers by sector; penetration – 2003 – 2013
  • Chart 10 – YouSee subscribers by sector – 2007 – 2011
  • Chart 11 – YouSee financial data – 2007 – 2011
  • Chart 12 – TDC DSL subscribers – 2008 – 2011
  • Chart 13 – Fibre broadband subscribers – 2005 – 2013
  • Chart 14 – Wireless broadband subscribers by type – 2006 – 2011
  • Chart 15 – IPTV subscriptions by type – 2007 – 2011
  • Chart 16 – YouSee financial data – 2004 – 2011
  • Chart 17 – Mobile subscribers and penetration – 2003 – 2013
  • Chart 18 – TDC domestic subscribers (retail, wholesale and Telmore) – 2003 – 2011
  • Chart 19 – TDC mobile services revenue – 2007 – 2011
  • Chart 20 – Telenor Denmark mobile subscribers, proportion prepaid – 2004 – 2011
  • Chart 21 – Telenor Denmark ARPU – 2004 – 2011
  • Chart 22 – Telenor Denmark EBITDA, op. profit – 2005 – 2011
  • Chart 23 – TeliaSonera (Denmark) mobile subscribers – 2005 – 2011
  • Chart 24 – Prepaid subscriptions and percentage of subscribers – 2001 – 2011
  • Exhibit 1 – EU – The New Regulatory Framework (NRF)
  • Exhibit 2 – Access and the local loop
  • Exhibit 3 – Overview of digital media
  • Exhibit 4 – Denmark’s 3G licensing results – 2001
  • Exhibit 5 – SMS and MMS roaming charges – 2010
  • Exhibit 6 – Premium SMS market overview – 2011

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