Last updated: 14 Apr 2010 Update History
Report Status: Archived
Report Pages: 225
Analyst: Henry Lancaster
Publication Overview
This report covers developments among Europe’s mobile network operators, assessing their strengths and strategies in a market characterised by increasing competition from MVNOs and resellers.
The countries covered in this report include: Albania, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macedonia (FYROM), Malta, Moldova, Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine and United Kingdom.
Researcher:- Henry Lancaster, Paul Kwon
Current publication date:- April 2010 (6th Edition)
Next publication date:- April 2011
Executive Summary
Most of Europe’s mobile markets are saturated, with only France in early 2010 having mobile penetration below 100%. Continuing growth has largely shifted to the 3G sector - stimulated by emerging technologies such HSPA and LTE - as subscribers migrate from GSM networks. Average mobile (SIM card) penetration across Europe reached about 125% by early 2010 while still sustaining subscriber growth of between 5% and 8%, though some of the more saturated markets have lower growth of only 2-3%.
Operators had hoped that the introduction of 3G would increase ARPU but this has not yet been the case. It is likely that overall data ARPU will fall for the next two to three years at least - the increase in data ARPU for some operators will be insufficient to counteract the effect of falling voice revenues. Growth in the overall market will stagnate through to 2011 as operators reduce prices in the face of competition from MVNOs and resellers, as continuing regulatory measures reduce roaming and interconnection revenue.
As for mobile Value Added Services (VAS), these markets have been artificially stymied because of the high charges that apply to them, and because mass popular use of such services could easily lead to network congestion. These restrictions are being addressed rapidly by ongoing investment in network upgrades and new business models which encourage mobile data use.
Year |
Voice |
SMS/MMS |
Internet access |
2007 |
87% |
11% |
2% |
2008 |
83% |
13% |
4% |
2009 (e) |
78% |
15% |
7% |
2010 (e) |
71% |
18% |
11% |
(Source: BuddeComm based on EC and industry data)
Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.
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