Virus impact over each market - telecom operators, government agencies and regulators' responses - revised forecasts for the next 5 years.
This market report provides a comprehensive overview of
The countries covered in this report include: Albania, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macedonia (FYROM), Malta, Moldova, Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine and United Kingdom.
Researchers:- Henry Lancaster, Paul Kwon
Current publication date:- March 2009 (5th Edition)
Next publication date:- Jan 2010
During the next few years, competition among operators as well as demand for new services will be the main drivers for network upgrades, increasing overall network bandwidth to respond to growing broadband usage while maintaining the quality of service requirements associated with IPTV and VoIP services. These demands are transforming the entire network from legacy copper, and pushing fibre beyond the core and backhaul into the last mile. This change is more visible in the more competitive markets, such as those within EU.
The most important regulatory issue will remain network access for the incumbents’ competitors. Bitstream access and local loop unbundling have been effective in most markets following diligent regulatory control, but NGNs will require radically new policies as the copper networks on which these access regimes are based are retired. NGNs involve a substantial redesign of network architectures, and thus effective monitoring from national regulators will be required to prevent incumbents from developing new monopolies. In addition, in coming years regulators will be pressed to develop policies which encourage network investment, including guaranteed returns and generous wholesale pricing. The success of these measures, and of effective competition, will help determine the success of NGNs as a conduit for future media services.
Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.
The following notes provide some background to our scenario forecasting methodology:
· This report includes what we term scenario forecasts. By describing long-range scenarios we identify a band within which we expect market growth to occur. The associated text describes what we see as the most likely growth trend within this band.
· The projections shown in the tables in this report are based on our own historical information, as well as on telecommunication sector statistics from official and non-official, national and international sources. We assume a possible deviation of 15-20% around this data.
· All statistics for GDP, revenue, etc are shown in US$, in order to maintain consistency within and between markets. At the same time we acknowledge that this can introduce some irregularities.
In 2009 Paul contacted me and we engaged in the brainstorming sessions that led to the development of the UN Broadband Commission for Digital Development.
Paul is a visionary with a keen strategic approach. He is a powerful communicator, provides succinct analyses and has a complete knowledge of all the key information and communications technologies relating to broadband.
Dr Hamadoun Touré, Secretary General International Telecommunications Union (ITU) 2006-2014
BuddeComm's strategic business reports contain a combination of both primary and secondary research statistics, analyses written by our senior analysts supported by a network of experts, industry contacts and researchers from around the world as well as our own scenario forecasts.
For more details, please see:
A selection of downloadable samples from our Annual Publications catalogue.
Have the latest telecommunications industry news delivered to your inbox by subscribing to Paul's FREE weekly News & Views.