Virus impact over each market - telecom operators, government agencies and regulators' responses - revised forecasts for the next 5 years.
Last updated: 21 Apr 2020 Update History
Report Pages: 90
Analyst: Sebastien De Rosbo
After the oil sector, the telecommunications industry is the largest sector in Azerbaijan, and a major contributor to the country’s economy.
Fixed-line broadband market penetration has grown slightly over the last five years. Over the next five years to 2023 growth is expected to continue to grow slightly.
In 2018 AzQtel (SAZZ) launched commercial services on its new TD-LTE broadband network.
Mobile subscriber growth has been down slightly in the Azerbaijan mobile market over the past five years. AzQtel (SAZZ) announced it will build the country’s first ‘Pre-5G’ network operating on the TD-LTE standard. Mobile subscriber growth is expected to grow slowly over the next five years to 2023.
Mobile broadband subscribers have grown very rapidly over the past five years supported by widespread rollouts of 4G infrastructure and the release of a growing range of mobile broadband packages by the major mobile operators.
Moderate growth is predicted over the next five years to 2023. The mobile broadband market will be driven by increasingly faster speeds offered by the mobile operators as they roll out their 4G and 5G networks and falling prices due to growing competition.
BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus in 2020 is having a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure. Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.
On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.
Although it is challenging to predict and interpret the long-term impacts of the crisis as it develops, these have been acknowledged in the industry forecasts contained in this report.
The report also covers the responses of the telecom operators as well as government agencies and regulators as they react to the crisis to ensure that citizens can continue to make optimum use of telecom services. This can be reflected in subsidy schemes and the promotion of tele-health and tele-education, among other solutions.
Aztelekom; AzQtel (SAZZ); AzEuroTel; Azercell; Bakcell; Azerfon; Catel; BakTelekom (BTRIB); Eurasiacom; Fintur; Vimpelcom (Beeline).
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