Virus impact over each market - telecom operators, government agencies and regulators' responses - revised forecasts for the next 5 years.
This report provides revenue, revenue growth statistics and analysis for the Australian telecommunications market by major service between 2000 and 2015, as well as market forecasts for 2016. The total telecoms service market is segmented according to telecommunications service – local access, mobile and broadband revenues.
Detailed revenue and forecasting statistics and analyses are also included separately for the wholesale, mobile and broadband markets, with estimates for 2015. In common with previous years, revenue for Public Switched Telephone Network (PSTN, fixed-line voice and local access) services continue to decline for all telcos. This reflects changing consumer habits. On the one hand, operators are switching their legacy PSTN infrastructure to VoIP, while consumers are also making fewer fixed-line calls in preference to mobile calls and calls through platforms such as Skype. As the NBN progresses, the majority of voice traffic will be IP-based. Fixed-line broadband on the copper network will also decline gradually as fibre and fixed-wireless broadband services become more widely available, though the Coalition’s multi-technology NBN architecture, with its emphasis on VDSL with Fibre-to-the Node (FttN), will make greater use of copper than did Labour’s plan for a national Fibre-to-the-Premises(FttP) network.
While fixed-line telephony traffic and revenue is declining, the mobile broadband market is growing steadily. Though far outpaced by mobile data traffic, mobile data revenue is becoming a significant revenue stream for providers. While mobile voice remains the dominant source of revenue for Mobile Network Operators (MNOs), it will soon be overtaken by mobile data revenue. In time, much of the voice traffic will be data packet via technologies such as Voice over Long-term Evolution (VoLTE). Data traffic caused network constraints on 3G networks over the last couple of years, since the infrastructure was not designed for the rapid increase of traffic, and so MNOs have had to invest in network upgrades to ensure that customers receive a reliable service.
The release of spectrum for LTE mobile broadband use, as well as and increased uptake by consumers and businesses, is easing helping to offset the decline in revenue from fixed-line services, though as user uptake increases so will the amount of bandwidth consumed. This requires additional investment among operators in spectrum assets and in upgraded mobile infrastructure.
Additional revenue, analysis and forecasting segmented by major telco providers can be found in a separate report: Australia - Revenue Statistics, Analysis and Forecasting (by provider) – 2000 - 2014.
Australian IT spending forecast to grow 2.1% in 2015, reaching $78 billion; ARPU continues to fall; DSL growth slows as fibre broadband subscriptions increase rapidly; mobile data traffic increasing in line with upgraded networks, National Broadband Network (NBN) developments; wholesale revenue.
Vodafone, 3, VHA, Optus, Telstra.
Paul, May I congratulate you on a very successful and enjoyable afternoon with the Minister. In providing the roundtable discussions between government and industry, it highlighted the strong interest by stakeholders in Broadband and its implementation but it also presented us with other issues and opportunities that we need to address.
Dominic Schipano, CITT
BuddeComm's strategic business reports contain a combination of both primary and secondary research statistics, analyses written by our senior analysts supported by a network of experts, industry contacts and researchers from around the world as well as our own scenario forecasts.
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