Virus impact over each market - telecom operators, government agencies and regulators' responses - revised forecasts for the next 5 years.
Last updated: 18 Mar 2009 Update History
Report Status: Archived
Report Pages: 174
Analyst: Stephen McNamara
This report covers developments among
The countries covered in this report include: Albania, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macedonia (FYROM), Malta, Moldova, Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine and United Kingdom.
Researcher:- Henry Lancaster
Current publication date:- March 2009 (5th Edition)
Next publication date:- Jan 2010
Price competition will continue to erode average voice revenue in coming years, while regulatory measures on mobile termination rates and voice roaming will further reduce overall operators’ revenue by many millions of Euro. This will be exacerbated by the anticipated regulation of mobile data roaming. Operators have responded by focussing CAPEX on network upgrades and encouraging consumers to take up high-end mobile data services to shore up overall ARPU. Yet during the next few years considerable revenue opportunities will be derived from the growing application stores developed for the iPhone and Android platforms and by manufacturers such as Nokia. Although mobile operators risk having their networks become dumb pipes, they nevertheless earn much needed revenue by giving content providers network access.
Average mobile penetration in
Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.
The following notes provide some background to our scenario forecasting methodology:
· This report includes what we term scenario forecasts. By describing long-range scenarios we identify a band within which we expect market growth to occur. The associated text describes what we see as the most likely growth trend within this band.
· The projections shown in the tables in this report are based on our own historical information, as well as on telecommunication sector statistics from official and non-official, national and international sources. We assume a possible deviation of 15-20% around this data.
· All statistics for GDP, revenue, etc are shown in US$, in order to maintain consistency within and between markets. At the same time we acknowledge that this can introduce some irregularities.
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