Publication Date: March 2024
Report Pages: 81
Analyst: Sebastien De Rosbo
The nation of Tajikistan has had to struggle through a further two years of economic hardship following the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. This has included receiving millions of dollars in foreign aid and loans just to maintain liquidity in a country that is already one of the most impoverished in the region. The strain on financial resources inevitably means a continuation of the absence of any meaningful investment or development programs for telecommunications infrastructure, beyond the occasional symbolic and superficial pronouncements from the government for the sector to ‘do better’.
The fixed-line telephony and fixed broadband markets continue to languish far behind the mobile sector in terms of teledensity and penetration. With only around 6,000 fixed broadband customers (0.07% penetration), there would appear to be massive growth potential but the limited fixed-line infrastructure in the country suggests there’s little likelihood of that occurring any time soon.
The size of Tajikistan’s mobile market dwarfs the fixed-line segment, with an estimated penetration rate of nearly 120%. With a number of private sector companies active in the mobile market, so too has there been more commitment to investment in network upgrades and expansion. Three MNOs – MegaFon, Tcell, and ZET Mobile – have all launched commercial 5G services, initially in areas of the capital city Dushanbe. The move towards higher-speed mobile services should further underpin the growth in the nascent mobile broadband market, which is still estimated to be at a relatively low penetration level of 42% (at least relative to most other Asian nations) but is predicted to enjoy a strong compound annual growth rate of more than 8% for at least the next five years.
This report includes the regulator's latest market data, Telecom Maturity Index charts and analyses, assessment of the global impact of Covid-19 on the telecoms sector, and other recent market developments.
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