Tajikistan - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

Executive summary

Tajikistan's mobile sector continues on a strong growth path

Of all the former Soviet republics, Tajikistan’s telecommunications infrastructure was arguably the least developed. With a telecom network that was near total collapse, the government had the daunting task of bringing it up to modern standards. Despite the launch of 4G/LTE services, the overall the telecom sector has continued to struggle. Tajikistan still has one of the lowest fixed-line penetrations in the Asian region and one of the lowest broadband levels of broadband penetration.

Tajikistan’s mobile sector has been on a strong growth path for over a decade. It continues to be the standout feature of the country’s telecom industry. It has experienced relatively strong growth over the last five years. However, as the market has moved closer to a saturation phase there has been an inevitable slowing in the growth rate. Moderate growth is predicted over the next five years to 2022. The market will be constrained from higher growth due to strong local competition and a further maturing market.

Fixed broadband penetration in Tajikstan remains extremely low mainly due to a limited number of fixed lines as well as the dominance of the mobile platform. Market penetration has only grown marginally over the last five years from a very small base. Over the next five years to 2022 growth is expected to continue but overall market penetration will remain extremely low. However, an expanding internet user population is a positive sign for the country’s future. This has been helped by the increasingly widespread presence of mobile broadband services.

Tajikistan has seen a strong increase in mobile broadband penetration over the past four years, however the mobile broadband market is still at an early stage of development and penetration remains relatively low compared to other Asian nations. Very strong growth is predicted over the next five years to 2022. The mobile broadband market will be driven by a rising level of mobile subscribers, increasingly faster speeds offered by the mobile operators as they roll out their 4G networks and improving tariffs due to strong competition.

Key developments:

  • Despite the launch of 4G/LTE services, the overall the telecom sector has continued to struggle.
  • Fixed broadband penetration in Tajikstan remains extremely low mainly due to a limited number of fixed lines as well as the dominance of the mobile platform.
  • Very strong growth is predicted over the next five years to 2022 in the mobile broadband segment
  • Telia Company sold its 60% holding in Tcell to the Aga Khan Fund for Economic Development (AKFED).
  • MegaFon was reportedly considering withdrawing from the Tajikistan mobile sector over concerns at the country’s erratic taxation system.
  • Table of Contents

    • 1. Executive summary
    • 2. Key statistics
    • 3. Country overview
    • 4. Telecommunications market
      • 4.1 Market Overview and Analysis
      • 4.2 Historical overview
    • 5. Regulatory environment
      • 5.1 Historical overview
        • 5.1.1 Law on Electrical Communication
        • 5.1.2 Privatisation of Tajiktelecom
        • 5.1.3 Censorship
      • 5.2 Law on Electrical Communication
      • 5.3 Regulatory authority
      • 5.4 Interconnect
      • 5.5 Access
      • 5.6 SIM Registration
    • 6. Fixed network operators
      • 6.1 Tajiktelecom
      • 6.2 Internet Service Providers (ISPs)
    • 7. Telecommunications infrastructure
      • 7.1 Introduction
      • 7.2 Fixed Line Statistics
      • 7.3 Next Generation Networks (NGNs)
      • 7.4 International infrastructure
    • 8. Fixed broadband market
      • 8.1 Introduction
      • 8.2 Fixed Broadband statistics and Forecast
      • 8.3 Fixed-line broadband technologies
        • 8.3.1 WiMAX
    • 9. Mobile Market
      • 9.1 Background
      • 9.2 Mobile statistics and Forecast
      • 9.3 Mobile Broadband Statistics and Forecast
    • 10. Mobile infrastructure
      • 10.1 Digital networks
        • 10.1.1 3G
        • 10.1.2 4G / LTE
    • 11. Major mobile operators
      • 11.1 Operator Statistics
      • 11.2 Babilon Mobile
      • 11.3 Tcell (Indigo-Somoncom)
        • 11.3.1 Indigo Tajikistan
        • 11.3.2 Somoncom
      • 11.4 Tacom / Beeline
      • 11.5 TK Mobile
      • 11.6 MegaFon
      • 11.7 M-Teko
      • 11.8 Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MVNO) service
    • 12. Digital economy
      • 12.1 e-Government
        • 12.1.1 Introduction
        • 12.1.2 Local Developments
      • 12.2 e-Education
        • 12.2.1 Introduction
        • 12.2.2 Local Developments
    • 13. Digital media
      • 13.1 Communications: VoIP, messaging, conferencing
        • 13.1.1 VoIP
      • 13.2 Music
        • 13.2.1 Introduction
        • 13.2.2 Local Developments
    • 14. Related reports
    • Table 1 – Country statistics Tajikistan – 2017 (e)
    • Table 2 – Telephone network statistics – 2017 (e)
    • Table 3 – Internet user statistics – 2017 (e)
    • Table 4 – Broadband statistics – 2017 (e)
    • Table 5 – Mobile statistics – 2017 (e)
    • Table 6 – National telecommunications authorities
    • Table 7 – Tajikistan’s GDP real growth rate – 2003 - 2017
    • Table 8– Key Metrics - Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) - 2017 - 2022
    • Table 9 – Fixed Line Subscriptions and Penetration – 1995 - 2017
    • Table 10 – International internet bandwidth – 2005 - 2017
    • Table 11 – Fixed Broadband Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2007 - 2022
    • Table 12 – Internet users and Penetration – 2008 - 2017
    • Table 13 – Households with internet access – 2005 - 2017
    • Table 14 – Percentage of Population Covered by Type of Mobile Network
    • Table 15 – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2007 - 2022
    • Table 16 – Historic - Mobile subscribers and annual change – 1996 - 2009
    • Table 17 – Mobile Broadband Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2011 - 2022
    • Table 18 – Historical - 3G mobile subscribers by operator – 2009
    • Table 19 – Mobile operators – systems and launch dates
    • Table 20 – Mobile subscribers by operator and market share – 2017
    • Table 21 – Historic - Babilon Mobile subscribers – 2009 - 2012
    • Table 22 – Tcell mobile subscribers – 2009 - 2017
    • Table 23 – Tacom (Beeline) mobile subscribers – 2009; 2011 - 2017
    • Table 24 – Historic - Tacom (Beeline) - mobile ARPU – 2011 - 2015
    • Table 25 – Historic - Tacom (Beeline) - mobile broadband subscribers – 2011 - 2015
    • Chart 1 – Mobile, Mobile Broadband & Fixed Broadband Penetration – 2017; 2022
    • Chart 2 - Fixed Line Subscriptions and Penetration – 2007 - 2017
    • Chart 3 – Fixed Broadband Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2007 - 2022
    • Chart 4 – Internet Users and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2007 - 2017
    • Chart 5 – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2007 - 2022
    • Chart 6 – Mobile Broadband Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2011 - 2022

    Related Reports

Focus Report Profile

Technologies

Broadband Fixed
Internet
Mobile Communications (voice and infrastructure)
Strategies & Analyses (Industry & Markets)
Telecoms Infrastructure

Number of pages 37

Status Current

Last updated 22 Nov 2017
Update History

Analyst: Phil Harpur

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