Armenia - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

Executive summary

Mobile broadband penetration in Armenia to reach over 50%

The Armenian telecom market continues to attempt to put an effective national telecommunications service in place. With its relatively small population and low GDP per capita, it does not offer a hugely lucrative market opportunity. However, the government and the operators have been systematically building telecom networks and offering services.

The number of fixed lines Armenia levelled off by 2012 and started a slow decline in the period from 2013 to 2017, driven by strong growth in the mobile broadband segment.

The fixed broadband has grown strongly over past decade from a small base but still remains low by international comparisons. There has been a steady increase in penetration has increased from 2008 to 2016. Further strong growth is predicted over the next five years to 2021.

After a run of strong growth in mobile subscribers in particular, the market in Armenia experienced a major slowdown triggered by the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2009. There has been some strong overall recovery since then, although growth has been somewhat erratic. By 2017 there had been considerable improvement in both the economy and the country’s telecom market.

Mobile broadband subscribers have grown strongly over the past five years supported by widespread rollouts of 4G infrastructure and the release of a growing range of mobile broadband packages by the major mobile operators.

Growth has been relatively flat in the mobile market over the past five years with penetration actually declining slight over the past two years. Mobile subscriber growth is expected to remain fairly flat over the next five years to 2021. The Orange Group signed an agreement with Ucom to sell 100% of its mobile subsidiary Orange Armenia. The sale to Ucom effectively created a new converged player able to offer a range of fixed and mobile services.

Key developments:

ArmenTel announced the nationwide launch of a modernised fixed-wireless 450MHz telephony network.
Ucom revealed plans to invest AMD16.6 billion to complete the modernisation of its networks in 2017
The Orange Group signed an agreement with Ucom to sell 100% of its mobile subsidiary Orange Armenia.
The sale to Ucom effectively created a new converged player able to offer a range of fixed and mobile services.

Companies mentioned in this report

ArmenTel, ArmenTel (Beeline), Orange, Orange Armenia, Ucom, GNC-Alfa, VivaCell-MTS, MTS, Sistema, VimpelCom, TeliaSonera.

1. Executive summary
2. Key statistics
- 2.1 Country overview
3. Telecommunications market
- 3.1 Market Overview and Analysis
- 3.2 Historical Overview
4. Regulatory environment
- 4.1 Historical overview
- 4.2 Regulatory authority
- 4.3 ArmenTel monopoly - background
- 4.4 Regulatory developments
  - 4.4.1 Information availability related to Fixed Line Networks
  - 4.4.2 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
  - 4.4.3 ISPs and internet billing
  - 4.4.4 Sale of Orange Armenia to Ucom
  - 4.4.5 Spectrum
5. Telecommunications infrastructure
- 5.1 National telecom network
- 5.2 Fixed-line statistics
- 5.3 Nagorno-Karabakh
- 5.4 International Infrastructure
6. Fixed-network operators in Armenia
- 6.1 ArmenTel (Beeline)
- 6.2 Ucom
- 6.3 Cornet-AM
- 6.4 GNC-ALFA
7. Fixed-Line broadband market
- 7.1 Background
- 7.2 Broadband statistics
- 7.3 Forecasts – broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
  - 7.3.1 Notes on scenario forecasts
- 7.4 Fixed-line broadband technologies
  - 7.4.1 Digital Subscriber Line (DSL)
  - 7.4.2 Fibre to the Premises (FttP)
  - 7.4.3 Fixed wireless broadband
- 7.5 National Broadband Network (NBN)
- 7.6 Fixed Broadband Service Providers
  - 7.6.1 Overview
  - 7.6.2 ArmenTel (Beeline)
  - 7.6.3 Ucom
  - 7.6.4 GNC-Alfa
  - 7.6.5 Armenian Datacom Company (ADC)
8. Mobile market
- 8.1 Market Overview
- 8.2 Background
- 8.3 Mobile statistics
- 8.4 Mobile Broadband
- 8.5 Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
- 8.6 Mobile infrastructure
  - 8.6.1 3G
  - 8.6.2 4G / LTE
9. Major mobile operators
- 9.1 Operator Statistics
- 9.2 ArmenTel (Beeline)
- 9.3 VivaCell-MTS (K-Telecom)
- 9.4 U!com (formerly Orange Armenia)
10. Digital Economy
- 10.1 e-Education
- 10.2 e-Government
11. Digital Media
- 11.1 Communications: VoIP, messaging, conferencing
  - 11.1.1 VoIP
12. Related reports

Table 1– Country statistics Armenia – 2016
Table 2 – Telephone network statistics – 2016
Table 3 – Broadband statistics – 2016
Table 4 – Mobile statistics – 2016
Table 5 – National telecommunications authorities
Table 6 – Armenia’s GDP real growth rate – 2006 - 2017
Table 7 – Historical - Fixed lines in service, annual change and teledensity – 1991 - 2004
Table 8 – Fixed lines in service, annual change and penetration –2005 - 2016
Table 9 – Historical - Internet users – 1994; 2000 - 2004
Table 10 – Internet users and penetration – 2005 - 2016
Table 11 – Historical - Internet subscribers – 2000 - 2004
Table 12 – Fixed broadband subscribers – 2003 - 2016
Table 13 – Households with internet access – 2005 - 2016
Table 14 – International internet bandwidth – 2001 - 2016
Table 15 – Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration rates – 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 16 – DSL subscribers – 2010 - 2016
Table 17 – Fibre to the Premises (FttP) subscribers – 2010 - 2016
Table 18 – ArmenTel (Beeline) fixed broadband subscribers – 2009 - 2016
Table 19 – ArmenTel (Beeline) fixed broadband ARPU – 2011 - 2015
Table 20 – Ucom - broadband subscribers – 2012 - 2015
Table 21 – Historical - Mobile subscribers – 1996 - 2004
Table 22 – Mobile subscribers, penetration and annual growth – 2005 - 2017
Table 23 – Mobile broadband subscribers – 2009 - 2016
Table 24 – Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates – 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 25 – Mobile operators and systems
Table 26 – Mobile operators – subscribers and market share – 2016
Table 27 – ArmenTel (Beeline) mobile subscribers – 2007 - 2016
Table 28 – Historical - ArmenTel (Beeline) mobile broadband subscribers – 2011 - 2015
Table 29 – VivaCell-MTS mobile subscribers – 2007 – 2016
Table 30 – U!Com (Orange Armenia) - mobile subscribers – 2009 – 2016
Table 31 – UCOM (Orange Armenia) - mobile broadband subscribers – 2009 - 2015
Table 32 – Key broadcasting statistics – 2015
Table 33 – Historic - VoIP subscribers – 2011 - 2014

Chart 1 – Fixed lines in service, annual change and teledensity - 2005 - 2016
Chart 2 - Fixed broadband subscribers - 2006 - 2016
Chart 3 - Mobile subscribers, annual growth and penetration - 2005 - 2017

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Number of pages 36

Status Current

Last updated 12 May 2017
Update History

Analyst: Phil Harpur

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