Indonesia - Mobile Infrastructure, Broadband, Operators - Statistics and Analyses

Synopsis

A large number of mobile operators (seven) compete for revenues in the Indonesian market. All the major mobile operators are well advanced in the deployment of their 4G LTE networks, as the market moves towards 5G. Telkomsel and Huawei held a live demo of 5G technology in Jakarta, while Telkomsel also confirmed plans to test 5G technology at the Asian Games.

Indonesia’s mobile market has displayed very strong growth for the five years up to 2016. However up to 2019, growth has subsided. Growing use of mobile broadband has been a significant driver of this strong growth.

Industry consolidation is possible towards 2020 as intense data competition may force smaller and unprofitable mobile operators to be pushed out of the market.

Mobile subscriber growth is expected to be relatively low over the next five years to 2023 as the market further matures in a highly competitive market. The market will be driven by the uptake of both 4G and 5G services.

Indonesia has seen a very rapid increase in mobile broadband penetration over the past five years driven by a rising level of mobile broadband users. However, the mobile broadband market is still at a relatively early stage of development. Strong growth is predicted over the next five years to 2023.

Key developments:

Telkomsel hasconfirmed plans to test 5G technology at the Asian Games.
Industry consolidation is possible as intense data competition may force smaller mobile operators to be pushed out of the market.
Strong growth is predicted over the next five years to 2023 for the mobile broadband segment.

Companies mentioned in this report include:

PT Telkom; PT Indosat; PT Satelindo; Smart Telecom, PT Bakrie Telecom, Temasek.

Table of Contents

1. Synopsis
2. Market Overview and analysis
3. Mobile statistics
- 3.1 Mobile Subscriber Statistics and Forecasts
- 3.2 Mobile data
  - 3.2.1 Smartphones
- 3.3 Mobile Broadband Statistics and Forecast
4. Regulatory issues
- 4.1 Near Field Communication (NFC)
- 4.2 Spectrum
- 4.3 MNP
5. Mobile infrastructure
- 5.1 Digital networks
  - 5.1.1 4G/ LTE
  - 5.1.2 5G
- 5.2 Other infrastructure developments
  - 5.2.1 WLL
  - 5.2.2 VoLTE
  - 5.2.3 MIMO
- 5.3 IoT and M2M networks
  - 5.3.1 M2M
6. Major mobile operators
- 6.1 Operator Statistics
- 6.2 XL Axiata
- 6.3 Telkomsel
- 6.4 Indosat Ooredoo
- 6.5 PT Hutchison 3 Indonesia
- 6.6 PT SmartFren Telecom (SmartFren)
- 6.7 PT Bakrie Telecom (BTEL)
- 6.8 Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia (STI) / (Net1)
- 6.9 Internux (Bolt!)
7. Mobile content and applications
- 7.1 m-TV
8. Related reports

Table 1 – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2007 – 2023
Table 2 – Historic - Mobile subscribers – 1995 – 2006
Table 3 – Mobile Broadband Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2009 – 2023
Table 4 – Historic - Frequency spectrum overview - major mobile operators – September 2015
Table 6 – Historical - Fixed-wireless (WLL) subscribers – 2003; 2007 – 2015
Table 7 – Major mobile operators by System
Table 8– Mobile subscribers and market share by operator – 2018
Table 9 – XL Axiata mobile subscribers – 2005 – 2018
Table 10 – XL Axiata ARPU – 2017 – 2018
Table 11 – Telkomsel mobile subscribers – 1999 – 2018
Table 12 – Indosat Ooredoo - mobile subscribers – 2005 - 2018
Table 13 – PT Indosat - postpaid and prepaid mobile subscribers (million)– 2015 – 2018
Table 14 – PT Indosat ARPU– 2017 – 2018
Table 15 – 3 Indonesia subscribers – 2007 – 2017
Table 16 – SmartFren mobile subscribers – 2010 – 2018
Table 17 – Bakrie Telecom subscribers – 2004 – 2018
Table 18 – Internux (Bolt!) – Mobile Subscribers – 2014 – 2018

Chart 1 – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2007 – 2023
Chart 2 – Mobile Broadband Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2009 – 2023

Exhibit 1 – Major shareholders in PT Indosat

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Focus Report Profile

Technologies

Broadcasting
Mobile & Wireless Broadband and Media
Mobile Communications (voice and infrastructure)
Strategies & Analyses (Industry & Markets)

Number of pages 57

Status Current

Last updated 7 Feb 2019
Update History

Analyst: Phil Harpur

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