Indonesia - Mobile Infrastructure, Broadband, Operators - Statistics and Analyses

Synopsis

Indonesia’s mobile market has displayed very strong over the last five years and particularly during 2016 to 2018. Growing use of mobile broadband has been a significant driver of this strong growth. The market has seen a strong increase in subscribers from the market leader Telkomsel, supported by very strong growth from XL Axiata and Indosat Ooredoo.

Industry consolidation is possible towards 2019 as intense data competition may force smaller and unprofitable mobile operators to be pushed out of the market. Industry consolidation is more likely to have a positive impact on the local telco sector as it will reduce the overcapacity in the market and bring more stability to data tariffs.

Mobile subscriber growth is expected to be relatively low over the next five years to 2022 as the market further matures in a highly competitive market. The market will be driven by the uptake of both 4G and 5G services.

Indonesia has seen a very rapid increase in mobile broadband penetration over the past five years. However the mobile broadband market is still at a relatively early stage of development. Strong growth is predicted over the next five years to 2022.

Key developments:

Telkomsel and Huawei held a live demo of 5G technology in Jakarta, which they claim is capable of producing data speeds of up to 70Gbps.
Industry consolidation is possible as intense data competition may force smaller mobile operators to be pushed out of the market.
Strong growth is predicted over the next five years to 2022 for the mobile broadband segment.

Companies mentioned in this report include:

PT Telkom; PT Indosat; PT Satelindo; Smart Telecom, PT Bakrie Telecom, Temasek;

1. Synopsis
2. Market Overview and analysis
3. Mobile statistics
- 3.1 Mobile Subscriber Statistics and Forecasts
- 3.2 Mobile data
  - 3.2.1 Mobile TV
  - 3.2.2 Smartphones
- 3.3 Mobile Broadband Statistics and Forecast
4. Regulatory issues
- 4.1 Near Field Communication (NFC)
- 4.2 Spectrum
- 4.3 MNP
5. Mobile infrastructure
- 5.1 Digital networks
  - 5.1.1 4G/ LTE
  - 5.1.2 5G
- 5.2 Other infrastructure developments
  - 5.2.1 WLL
  - 5.2.2 VoLTE
  - 5.2.3 MIMO
- 5.3 IoT and M2M networks
  - 5.3.1 M2M
6. Major mobile operators
- 6.1 Operator Statistics
- 6.2 XL Axiata
- 6.3 Telkomsel
- 6.4 Indosat Ooredoo
- 6.5 PT Hutchison 3 Indonesia
- 6.6 PT SmartFren Telecom (SmartFren)
- 6.7 PT Bakrie Telecom (BTEL)
- 6.8 Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia (STI) / (Net1)
- 6.9 Internux (Bolt!)
7. Mobile content and applications
- 7.1 m-TV
8. Related reports

Table 1 – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2007 - 2022
Table 2 – Historic - Mobile subscribers – 1995 - 2006
Table 3 – Mobile Broadband Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2009 - 2022
Table 4 – Historic - Frequency spectrum overview - major mobile operators – September 2015
Table 5 – Historical - Fixed-wireless (WLL) subscribers – 2003; 2007 - 2015
Table 6 – Major mobile operators by System
Table 7 – Mobile subscribers and market share by operator – 2017
Table 8 – XL Axiata mobile subscribers – 2005 - 2017
Table 9 – Telkomsel mobile subscribers – 1999 - 2017
Table 10 – Telkomsel’s mobile broadband subscribers – 2011 - 2016
Table 11 – PT Indosat – revenue and contribution by market segment – 2015 - 2016
Table 12 – Indosat Ooredoo - mobile subscribers – 2005 - 2017
Table 13 – PT Indosat - postpaid and prepaid mobile subscribers (million)– 2015 - 2016
Table 14 – PT Indosat ARPU (IDR thousand/month ) – 2011 – 2017
Table 15 – 3 Indonesia subscribers – 2007 - 2017
Table 16 – SmartFren subscribers – 2010 - 2017
Table 17 – Bakrie Telecom subscribers – 2004 - 2017
Table 18 – Internux (Bolt!) – Mobile Subscribers – 2014 - 2017

Chart 1 – Mobile Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2007 - 2022
Chart 2 – Mobile Broadband Subscribers and Penetration (with Forecast) – 2007 - 2022

Exhibit 1 – Major shareholders in PT Indosat

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Technologies

Broadcasting
Mobile & Wireless Broadband and Media
Mobile Communications (voice and infrastructure)
Strategies & Analyses (Industry & Markets)

Number of pages 29

Status Current

Last updated 28 Mar 2018
Update History

Analyst: Phil Harpur

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