2016 Asia - Mobile Infrastructure

Publication Overview

This Asia market report covers 35 countries in North, South, South East and Central Asia. The theme of the report is mobile infrastructure and development.

The report covers developments in 3G, 4G, 5G and LTE and related government, regulatory and spectrum developments. It also updates on other mobile infrastructure developments such as 2G and mobile data infrastructure linked to that technology based on progress made in the various individual countries.

The countries covered in this report include: Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Georgia, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Laos, Macau, Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar (Burma), Nepal, North Korea, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Tajikistan, Timor Leste, Thailand, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Vietnam.

Current publication date: February 2016 (1st Edition)
Researchers:- Peter Evans, Phil Harpur

Executive Summary

Asia’s mobile markets shift rapidly to next gen services

Across Asia more than 3.8 billion mobile subscribers were being served by a large number of mobile networks heading into 2016. Whilst the overall growth rate in the region has moderated the sheer numbers remain impressive. Subscriber growth is seen to have eased to around 4%-5% per annum in recent years. Across the region many countries can claim subscriber penetrations of well over 150% by now. There has, however, been a shift away from the concentration by operators on simple subscriber growth. The emphasis has moved very much to next generation and value added services, with the operators busily upgrading networks, extending coverage and generally moving to improve service.

Not surprisingly the massive markets of China and India, with their huge populations, dominate the mobile market in Asia. By end-2015 these two countries alone accounted for over 35% and 27% overall market share in the Asia region respectively; in other words, a massive 62% combined.

Top 10 mobile markets in Asia – ranked by subscribers – 2012 and 2015

Country

2012

2015

China

1,112.1

1,350.0

India

864.7

1,000.0

Indonesia

281.2

325.0

Japan

141.1

158.0

Vietnam

131.7

142.0

Pakistan

120.1

143.0

Bangladesh

97.2

127.0

Philippines

102.0

120.0

Thailand

85.0

103.0

South Korea

53.6

59.0

(Source: BuddeComm based on industry data)

Note: Figures in italics are estimates

A good example of the way in which next generation networks have been progressively reshaping the mobile markets across the region can be found in Singapore. By July 2015 the number of mobile subscribers stood at 8.1 million for a penetration of 152%; most significantly, of these subscribers 7.9 million were signed up to 3G or 4G services. That meant that just the 3G and 4G subscribers combined represented a population penetration already well in excess of 100% by that stage. In other words, Singapore had far more mobile broadband subscriptions than population.

Importantly, 4G/LTE already has a significant presence in the Singapore market. The three mobile operators all launched a form of 4G back in 2012 and have since been rapidly expanding their coverage at a rate that effectively saw a full national presence by end-2013. By mid-2015 the number of 4G services made up 46% of the total mobile subscriber base, already almost eclipsing the 51% held by 3G. Not surprisingly 2G services had virtually disappeared.

Singapore - mobile subscribers - 2G, 3G and 4G, prepaid and postpaid – July 2015

Category

Subscribers

Percentage of total subscriber base

2G subscriptions

 

 

Postpaid

179,900

2%

Prepaid

76,500

1%

Total 2G subscribers

256,400

3%

3G subscriptions

 

0%

Postpaid

2,726,700

33%

Prepaid

1,436,100

18%

Total 3G subscribers

4,162,800

51%

4G subscriptions

 

0%

Postpaid

3,259,100

40%

Prepaid

464,600

6%

Total 4G subscribers

3,723,700

46%

Total subscribers (2G+3G+4G)

8,142,900

100%

(Source: BuddeComm based on IDA data)

As the Asian mobile market continues to grow both in bulk subscriber numbers, next generation subscribers and value added services, it remains a market based largely on voice services for the time being. As already noted some markets in Asia have moved rapidly to mobile broadband and advanced data services but the predominant service in the majority of the region’s markets is mobile voice for the moment.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Afghanistan
    • 1.1 Introduction
    • 1.2 General statistics
    • 1.3 Third Generation (3G)
      • 1.3.1 Overview
      • 1.3.2 Background
      • 1.3.3 Bidding process
      • 1.3.4 Licensing
      • 1.3.5 Service launches
    • 1.4 4G / LTE
      • 1.4.1 Overview
      • 1.4.2 Etisalat’s ‘misleading’ 4G claim
  • 2. Armenia
    • 2.1 General Statistics
    • 2.2 3G
    • 2.3 4G / LTE
  • 3. Azerbaijan
    • 3.1 General Statistics
    • 3.2 Trunk Mobile Radio (TMR)
    • 3.3 Third Generation (3G) services
      • 3.3.1 Licensing process
      • 3.3.2 Network launch
      • 3.3.3 Additional licences
    • 3.4 Fourth Generation (4G) / Long Term Evolution (LTE)
    • 3.5 Voice-over-LTE (VoLTE)
  • 4. Bangladesh
    • 4.1 Overview of Bangladesh’s mobile market
    • 4.2 General statistics
  • 5. Bhutan
    • 5.1 General Statistics
    • 5.2 4G / LTE mobile services
  • 6. Brunei Darussalam
    • 6.1 Overview of Brunei’s mobile market
    • 6.2 General Statistics
  • 7. Cambodia
    • 7.1 Overview of Cambodia’s mobile market
    • 7.2 General statistics
  • 8. China
    • 8.1 General statistics
    • 8.2 Digital networks
      • 8.2.1 PAS/PHS (Little Smart/Xiaolingtong)
      • 8.2.2 GSM
      • 8.2.3 CDMA
      • 8.2.4 Third Generation (3G) mobile
      • 8.2.5 Fourth Generation (4G) mobile
    • 8.3 Other infrastructure developments
      • 8.3.1 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
      • 8.3.2 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
      • 8.3.3 Voice over LTE (VoLTE)
      • 8.3.4 Pre-5G
      • 8.3.5 NFC
      • 8.3.6 Tower Sharing Joint Venture
    • 8.4 IoT and M2M networks
      • 8.4.1 China Mobile
      • 8.4.2 China Telecom
      • 8.4.3 China Unicom
  • 9. Georgia
    • 9.1 General Statistics
    • 9.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile
      • 9.2.1 Background and licensing
      • 9.2.2 3G mobile statistics
    • 9.3 4G / Long Term Evolution (LTE)
  • 10. Hong Kong
    • 10.1 General statistics
      • 10.1.1 3G/4G statistics
    • 10.2 Analogue networks
    • 10.3 Digital networks
      • 10.3.1 GSM, 3G, 4G, 5G
      • 10.3.2 GSM/2G
      • 10.3.3 Personal communications services (PCS)/2G
      • 10.3.4 3G and High-speed downlink packet access (HSDPA)
      • 10.3.5 CDMA
      • 10.3.6 CDMA2000
      • 10.3.7 LTE (Long-term evolution)/4G
      • 10.3.8 Hutchison Telekom (3)
    • 10.4 Other infrastructure developments
      • 10.4.1 GPRS
      • 10.4.2 EDGE
      • 10.4.3 Voice over LTE (VoLTE)
    • 10.5 IoT and M2M Networks
  • 11. India
    • 11.1 General statistics
    • 11.2 Overview
    • 11.3 GSM
    • 11.4 CDMA
      • 11.4.1 Overview
      • 11.4.2 CDMA auction – March 2013
    • 11.5 Third Generation (3G) mobile
      • 11.5.1 Background
      • 11.5.2 Licensing process
      • 11.5.3 Spectrum allocation
      • 11.5.4 Auction procedure
      • 11.5.5 Auction
      • 11.5.6 BSNL and MTNL
      • 11.5.7 Start of the roll-outs
      • 11.5.8 Developments
      • 11.5.9 3G roaming dispute - resolution
    • 11.6 Fourth Generation (4G) / Long Term Evolution (LTE)
      • 11.6.1 Overview
      • 11.6.2 Background
      • 11.6.3 Reliance Jio Infocomm
      • 11.6.4 Bharti Airtel
      • 11.6.5 Vodafone
      • 11.6.6 Idea Cellular
      • 11.6.7 BSNL
    • 11.7 Voice-over-Long Term Evolution (VoLTE)
  • 12. Indonesia
    • 12.1 General statistics
    • 12.2 Digital networks
      • 12.2.1 3G
      • 12.2.2 4G/ LTE
    • 12.3 Other infrastructure developments
      • 12.3.1 WLL
    • 12.4 IoT and M2M networks
      • 12.4.1 M2M
  • 13. Japan
    • 13.1 General statistics
    • 13.2 Digital networks
      • 13.2.1 PDC
      • 13.2.2 CDMA
      • 13.2.3 PHS
      • 13.2.4 3G
      • 13.2.5 LTE
      • 13.2.6 LTE-Advanced (LTE-A)
    • 13.3 Other infrastructure developments
      • 13.3.1 VoLTE
      • 13.3.2 NTT DoCoMo’s i-mode
    • 13.4 IoT and M2M Networks
  • 14. Kazakhstan
    • 14.1 General statistics
    • 14.2 Third Generation (3G)
    • 14.3 Fourth Generation (4G) / Long Term Evolution (LTE)
  • 15. Kyrgyzstan
    • 15.1 Overview
    • 15.2 General statistics
  • 16. Laos
    • 16.1 General statistics
    • 16.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile services
    • 16.3 Long Term Evolution (LTE) / 4G services
  • 17. Macau
    • 17.1 General statistics
    • 17.2 Analogue Networks
    • 17.3 GSM
    • 17.4 WCDMA
    • 17.5 LTE 4G
    • 17.6 Push-to-Talk (PTT)
  • 18. Malaysia
    • 18.1 General statistics
    • 18.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile
      • 18.2.1 Service launch
    • 18.3 Fourth Generation (4G) / Long Term Evolution (LTE)
    • 18.4 Fifth Generation (5G) Network Developments
  • 19. Maldives
    • 19.1 General statistics
    • 19.2 3G
    • 19.3 4G/LTE
  • 20. Mongolia
    • 20.1 Overview
    • 20.2 General statistics
    • 20.3 3G Services
  • 21. Myanmar
    • 21.1 Overview
    • 21.2 General statistics
    • 21.3 3G development
    • 21.4 4G development
  • 22. Nepal
    • 22.1 General statistics
    • 22.2 Third Generation (3G)
    • 22.3 Fourth Generation (4G) / LTE
    • 22.4 Satellite mobile
  • 23. North Korea
    • 23.1 General statistics
    • 23.2 3G
  • 24. Pakistan
    • 24.1 General statistics
    • 24.2 Third Generation (3G) licences
      • 24.2.1 Background
      • 24.2.2 Auction – April 2014
      • 24.2.3 Licensing
      • 24.2.4 Launch
    • 24.3 Fourth Generation (4G) / Long Term Evolution (LTE)
      • 24.3.1 Licensing
      • 24.3.2 Launches
      • 24.3.3 Proposed second 3G/4G auction
  • 25. Philippines
    • 25.1 General statistics
    • 25.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile
      • 25.2.1 Background
      • 25.2.2 Issuing of 3G licences
      • 25.2.3 Dispute over 3G licensing
      • 25.2.4 Rollout of 3G networks
      • 25.2.5 High-Speed Downlink Packet Access (HSDPA) networks
      • 25.2.6 Issuing of fifth 3G licence
      • 25.2.7 Further 3G auction
      • 25.2.8 Challenges to spectrum ownership
    • 25.3 Long Term Evolution (LTE) / Fourth Generation (4G) networks
      • 25.3.1 Background
      • 25.3.2 Launch of services
      • 25.3.3 Expansion and developments
  • 26. Singapore
    • 26.1 General statistics
    • 26.2 Digital networks
      • 26.2.1 GSM
      • 26.2.2 3G
      • 26.2.3 4G
      • 26.2.4 5G
    • 26.3 Other infrastructure developments
      • 26.3.1 VoLTE
      • 26.3.2 Satellite mobile
  • 27. South Korea
    • 27.1 General statistics
    • 27.2 Analogue (AMPS)
    • 27.3 Personal Communication Service (PCS)
    • 27.4 Code Division Multiple Access (CDMA)
    • 27.5 Wideband CDMA (WCDMA)
    • 27.6 LTE
    • 27.7 Voice over LTE (VoLTE)
    • 27.8 LTE-Advanced (LTE-A)
  • 28. Sri Lanka
    • 28.1 General statistics
    • 28.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile
      • 28.2.1 Background
      • 28.2.2 Licences and service launch
      • 28.2.3 Development of 3G
    • 28.3 Fourth Generation (4G) / Long Term Evolution (LTE)
    • 28.4 Satellite mobile
      • 28.4.1 MTN Networks
  • 29. Taiwan
    • 29.1 General statistics
    • 29.2 Brief intro analogue networks
    • 29.3 Digital networks
    • 29.4 Personal Handyphone Service (PHS)
    • 29.5 3G
      • 29.5.1 Background
    • 29.6 LTE
  • 30. Tajikistan
    • 30.1 General statistics
    • 30.2 3G
    • 30.3 4G / Long Term Evolution (LTE) services
  • 31. Thailand
    • 31.1 General statistics
    • 31.2 Analogue Networks
      • 31.2.1 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
    • 31.3 Digital networks
      • 31.3.1 3G
      • 31.3.2 4G / LTE
    • 31.4 Other infrastructure developments
  • 32. Timor Leste
    • 32.1 Overview of Timor-Leste’s mobile market
    • 32.2 General statistics
  • 33. Turkmenistan
    • 33.1 Overview
    • 33.2 General statistics
  • 34. Uzbekistan
    • 34.1 General statistics
    • 34.2 3G
    • 34.3 4G / LTE
  • 35. Vietnam
    • 35.1 General statistics
    • 35.2 Digital networks
      • 35.2.1 GSM and CDMA
      • 35.2.2 3G
      • 35.2.3 4G / LTE
    • 35.3 Other infrastructure developments
      • 35.3.1 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
      • 35.3.2 EDGE
      • Table 1 – Afghanistan - Mobile subscribers and annual change – 2002 - 2015
      • Table 2 – Afghanistan - 3G mobile broadband subscribers and penetration – 2013 - 2015
      • Table 3 – Armenia - Mobile subscribers – 2005 - 2015
      • Table 4 – Azerbaijan - Mobile subscribers, annual growth and penetration – 2005 - 2015
      • Table 5 – Bangladesh - Mobile subscribers – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 6 – Bhutan - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration – 2010 - 2015
      • Table 7 – Brunei Darussalam - Mobile subscribers – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 8 – Cambodia - Mobile subscribers, annual growth and penetration – 1993 - 2015
      • Table 9 – China - Mobile subscribers and annual change – 2004 - 2016
      • Table 10 – China - Little Smart (PHS) subscribers – 2002 - 2012
      • Table 11 – Georgia - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1999 - 2014
      • Table 12 – Georgia - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2005 - 2015
      • Table 13 – Georgia - 3G mobile subscribers and market share – 2008 - 2012
      • Table 14 – Hong Kong - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration – 2006 - 2016
      • Table 15 – Hong Kong - Smartphone penetration by age group – 2014
      • Table 16 – Hong Kong - 3G/4G mobile subscribers – 2005 - 2014
      • Table 17 – Overview of India’s mobile market – 2012 - 2015
      • Table 18 – India - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 19 – India - Mobile subscribers (GSM and CDMA) – 2002 - 2015
      • Table 20 – India - GSM mobile subscribers and annual change – 1997 - 2015
      • Table 21 – India - Mobile penetration in urban and rural areas – 2007; 2009 - 2015
      • Table 22 – India - GSM mobile subscribers by region/circle – 2012 – 2014
      • Table 23 – India - CDMA mobile operators, subscribers and market share – 2014
      • Table 24 – India - 3G auction (2010): Number of licences and total fees paid by operators
      • Table 25 – Indonesia - Mobile subscribers – 2004 - 2015
      • Table 26 – Indonesia - Historical 3G mobile operators and subscribers – 2013
      • Table 27 – Indonesia - Fixed-wireless (WLL) subscribers – 2003; 2007 - 2015
      • Table 28 – Indonesia - Fixed-wireless (WLL) subscribers by operator – 2013 - 2015
      • Table 29 – Japan - Mobile subscriber, annual change and penetration rate – 2004 - 2015
      • Table 30 – Kazakhstan - Mobile subscribers and annual change – 2004 - 2015
      • Table 31 – Kyrgyzstan - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration rate – 2004 - 2015
      • Table 32 – Laos - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 33 – Laos - 3G mobile subscribers – 2012 - 2014
      • Table 34 – Macau - Mobile subscribers total and prepaid and penetration rate – 2004 – 2016
      • Table 35 – Malaysia - Mobile subscribers, annual growth and penetration rate – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 36 – Malaysia - 3G mobile subscribers and market share – 2006 - 2009; 2012 - 2013
      • Table 37 – Maldives - Mobile subscribers – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 38 – Mongolia - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration – 2007 - 2017
      • Table 39 – Mongolia - 3G subscribers – 2009 - 2015
      • Table 40 – Myanmar - Mobile subscribers, penetration and annual change – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 41 – Nepal - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration rate – 2004 - 2015
      • Table 42 – North Korea - mobile subscribers – 2003; 2008 – 2017
      • Table 43 – Pakistan - Mobile subscribers – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 44 – Pakistan - 3G mobile subscribers – 2015
      • Table 45 – Philippines - Total mobile subscribers and penetration rate –2005 - 2015
      • Table 46 – Singapore - Mobile subscribers – 2004 - 2015
      • Table 47 – South Korea - Mobile subscribers – 2004 - 2016
      • Table 48 – South Korea - CDMA mobile subscribers by operator – 2002 - 2013
      • Table 49 – South Korea - WCDMA subscribers by operator – June 2013
      • Table 50 – South Korea - LTE mobile subscribers by operator – 2011 – 2014
      • Table 51 – Sri Lanka - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 52 – Sri Lanka - 3G mobile operators and subscribers – 2009; 2013
      • Table 53 – Taiwan - Mobile subscribers and penetration – 2004 - 2016
      • Table 54 –Taiwan – Mobile subscriber growth by technology (PHS, 2G, 3G, LTE) – 2003 – 2016
      • Table 55 – Tajikistan - Mobile subscribers and annual change – 2004 - 2015
      • Table 56 – Tajikistan - Historical 3G mobile subscribers by operator – 2009
      • Table 57 – Thailand - Mobile subscribers, penetration and annual growth – 2004 - 2015
      • Table 58 – Timor Leste - Mobile subscribers – 2004 - 2015
      • Table 59 – Turkmenistan - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2003 - 2015
      • Table 60 – Uzbekistan - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration rate – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 61 – Vietnam - Mobile subscribers – 2006 - 2015
      • Table 62 – Vietnam - Mobile subscribers – 2011 - 2015
      • Table 63 – Vietnam - Total 3G mobile subscribers – 2012 - 2015
      • Table 64 – Vietnam - Total 3G mobile subscribers – 2012 - 2015
      • Chart 1 - Afghanistan - Mobile subscribers and annual change - 2005 - 2015
      • Chart 2 - Armenia - Mobile subscribers, annual growth and penetration - 2005 - 2015
      • Chart 3 - Azerbaijan - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration - 2005 – 2015
      • Chart 4 – Bangladesh - mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration – 2006 - 2015
      • Chart 5 - Bhutan - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration - 2006-2015
      • Chart 6 - Brunei Darussalam - Mobile subscribers - 2006 – 2015
      • Chart 7- Cambodia - Mobile market – subscribers and penetration – 2005 - 2015
      • Chart 8 – China - Mobile market subscribers, Population Penetration, Annual Change – 2006 - 2016
      • Chart 9 - Georgia - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate - 2005 – 2015
      • Chart 10 - Georgia - 3G mobile subscribers market share - 2008 – 2012
      • Chart 11 – Hong Kong - mobile subscriber and penetration – 2006 - 2015
      • Chart 12 – Hong Kong - 3G/4G mobile subscribers – 2005 - 2014
      • Chart 13 - India - Mobile subscribers and penetration – 2006 - 2015
      • Chart 14 - India - Mobile subscribers (GSM and CDMA) - 2002-2015
      • Chart 15 - India - GSM mobile subscribers and annual change - 2005-2015
      • Chart 16 - India - Mobile penetration urban and rural - 2007; 2009-2015
      • Chart 17 - Indonesia - Mobile subscribers and penetration – 2007 - 2015
      • Chart 18 – Japan - mobile subscriber growth and population penetration – 1995 - 2015
      • Chart 19 - Kazakhstan Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration - 2000-2015
      • Chart 20 - Laos - Mobile subscribers and annual change - 2006 - 2015
      • Chart 21 - Malaysia - Mobile subscribers and penetration – 2006 – 2015
      • Chart 22 - Malaysia - 3G mobile subscribers and market share - 2006-2013
      • Chart 23 - Maldives - Mobile subscribers - 2006 - 2015
      • Chart 24 - Myanmar - Mobile subscribers and annual change - 2006 - 2015
      • Chart 25 – Nepal - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration - 2006-2015
      • Chart 26 - North Korea - mobile subscribers and penetration - 2008 - 2017
      • Chart 27 - Pakistan - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration - 2006-2015
      • Chart 28 - Philippines - Total mobile subscribers and annual growth - 2005 – 2015
      • Chart 29 - Singapore - Mobile subscribers and penetration - 2005-2015
      • Chart 30 – South Korea - mobile subscriber growth, population penetration – 2000 - 2014
      • Chart 31 - Sri Lanka - Mobile subscribers and annual change – 2006 – 2015
      • Chart 32 – Taiwan - Mobile subscribers and penetration – 2000 - 2016
      • Chart 33 – Taiwan - Mobile subscribers by technology (PHS, 2G, 3G, LTE) – 2003 - 2016
      • Chart 34 - Tajikistan - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration – 2004 - 2015
      • Chart 35 – Thailand - Mobile subscribers and penetration – 2002 - 2015
      • Chart 36 - Turkmenistan - Mobile subscribers and annual change – 2006 - 2015
      • Chart 37 – Uzbekistan - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2006 - 2015
      • Chart 38 – Vietnam - Mobile subscribers and annual change – 2005 - 2015
      • Exhibit 1 – Awarding of 3G licences – by operator and date – 2012 - 2014
      • Exhibit 2 – Launch of 3G services – by operator and date – 2012 - 2015
      • Exhibit 3 – CDMA 3G commercial deployment in India
      • Exhibit 4 – India - 3G auction results: Service area licences by operator – 2010
      • Exhibit 5 – Singapore - Third Generation (3G) licensees, spectrum and vendors

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Mobile Communications (voice and infrastructure)

Number of pages 144

Status Archived

Last updated 24 Feb 2016
Update History

Lead Analyst: Peter Evans

Contributing Analysts:

Phil Harpur

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