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Asia - Telecom Forecasts

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Last updated: 18 Jul 2018 Update History

Report Pages: 432

Analyst: Sebastien De Rosbo

Publication Overview

This BuddeComm annual publication provides country level forecasts for the 34 telecoms markets across Asia for their mobile, mobile broadband and fixed broadband markets.

The countries covered in this report include: Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Georgia, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Laos, Macau, Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar (Burma), Nepal, North Korea, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Timor Leste, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Vietnam.

Researchers:- Phil Harpur
Current publication date:- July 2018 (21st Edition)

Executive Summary

Mobile broadband penetration surges in Indonesia

Asia’s telecoms markets continue to see solid growth, however this growth is predicted to slow down over the next five years to 2023. While the mobile broadband market still has significant room for further strong growth, the mobile subscriber market is already approaching saturation in most Asian markets.

Total mobile subscribers market growth will continue to ease of over the next five years to 2023 as the remaining mobile markets now head toward saturation and their mobile subscriber growth rates ease off as has occurred in the more mature markets such as Japan, Hong Kong Macau and Singapore.

Although the rate of increase of mobile broadband subscribers has subsided as the initial rapid rollout of services has slowed down, the growth rate is still reasonably strong, implying that there is still significant growth opportunity left in the market over the next five years to 2023, especially in some of the less developed Asian markets that are still dependant on voice networks for mobile services.

Asia’s total mobile broadband subscriber base as a proportion of the total mobile subscriber base continues to grow. Mobile broadband subscribers now account for just over half of all mobile subscribers in Asia. This percentage will continue to increase over the next five years to 2023.

Fixed broadband penetration is expected to only increase modestly in these markets over the next five years to 2023, while the growth will come from the less developed markets such as India. However, penetration rates are never expected to reach the high levels seen in the more mature developed nations as developing nations have typically bypassed fixed line access and moved directly to mobile access.

This BuddeComm annual publication provides country level forecasts for the 34 telecoms markets across Asia for their mobile, mobile broadband and fixed broadband markets.

Asia is arguably the world’s most diverse region with regards to its telecoms industry. The region contains a vast array of countries, ranging from those with highly mature and advanced telecommunications markets, that are world leaders in the move towards 5G and next generation fibre networks, such as South Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore and Japan, to some of the poorest and least developed countries such as North Korea and Afghanistan.

The Buddecomm Telecoms Maturity Index, has been devised as a tool to easily and uniformly compare these different markets. BuddeComm’s Asian Telecoms Maturity Index, is an index (on a scale between 0 and 100) that measures and ranks the relative maturity of the telecoms industry in all of the 34 countries in Asia. This report provides a comprehensive comparison of the 34 Asian markets according to a number of parameters such as fixed broadband and mobile broadband.

The countries covered in this report include: Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Georgia, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Laos, Macau, Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar (Burma), Nepal, North Korea, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Timor Leste, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Vietnam.

Phil Harpur
July 2018

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BuddeComm's strategic business reports contain a combination of both primary and secondary research statistics, analyses written by our senior analysts supported by a network of experts, industry contacts and researchers from around the world as well as our own scenario forecasts.

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