Last updated: 15 Sep 2008 Update History
Report Status: Archived
Report Pages: 192
Analyst: Stephen McNamara
For those needing detailed overviews, statistics and forecasts, as well as objective analysis on all aspects of the New Zealand telecoms industry, this report provides essential reading and gives in-depth information on:
BuddeComm’s 2008 New Zealand - Telecoms - Overview and Analysis publication provides a detailed overview, including statistics, forecasts and analysis, of the regulatory, infrastructure, fixed network voice and VoIP sectors of the New Zealand telecommunications market, as well as an overview of the key market players.
The telecoms industry in New Zealand has undergone significant changes over the last year. While the results of these changes will not have a significant impact on the market in the short term, they will profoundly alter the telecoms market over the next five years. Until late 2007, it was envisaged that the most important and positive development was the change in attitude of the incumbent from one that has historically provided resistance to regulatory change, to one that is prepared to work together with the industry in a more mutually beneficial way. Unfortunately the industry got a rude awakening in late 2007 when Telecom launched its cabinetisation program, without a clear transition plan for the rest of the industry.
The total telecoms market in New Zealand grew by 1.1% in the 12 months to June 2007 to $7.54 billion. BuddeComm predicts that the total New Zealand telco market will grow around 0.9% in 2007/08 and 2.8% in 2008/09. Telecom maintains a stranglehold on the local access market in fixed-line voice and broadband.
The bundling of voice, data and video services (triple play) and mobile services (quadruple play) are likely to develop on a more large scale fashion in New Zealand in 2008 and 2009. We expect the local access voice market to fall further over the next few years, as phone call prices and volumes continue to drop and more people give up their traditional home phone line and move to alternative access networks such as mobile and VoIP as well as products based on data and IP-based solutions.
Over time, the new environment will open up lots of new opportunities for everybody involved. These include the value-added infrastructure opportunities such as data centres, content hosting, network management, etc. But equally a range of innovative customer services can be built on the new wholesale products and perhaps more importantly open networks will create a great new environment for digital media, e-health, tele-education and smart grid applications in which there will now be much wider scope for a variety of organisations to participate.
In the meantime however, the outlook for competition is bleak. There still are no attractive wholesale products and prices here are set to increase. Vodafone/ihug is behaving as yet another monopolist and TelstraClear has retracted to the Trans Tasman and corporate market, showing very little industry leadership.
Annual change of total telecom market revenue by service - 2005 - 2009
|Revenue source||2005||2006||2007||2008 (e)||2009 (e)|
|Data, Internet & value added services||7.4%||8.2%||4.2%||2.5%||8.0%|
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BuddeComm's strategic business reports contain a combination of both primary and secondary research statistics, analyses written by our senior analysts supported by a network of experts, industry contacts and researchers from around the world as well as our own scenario forecasts.
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