Understand and measure the impact of COVID-19 on the telecom industry!

Virus impact over each market - telecom operators, government agencies and regulators' responses - revised forecasts for the next 5 years.

See updated country reports

2008 Asian - Forecasts

Report Cover Image

Last updated: 9 Sep 2008 Update History

Report Status: Archived

Report Pages: 70

Analyst: Stephen McNamara

Publication Overview

This market report provides a series of forecasts for subscriber growth in selected markets in Asia. It predominantly covers the fixed-line, Internet and mobile subscriber market segments in 15 countries across Asia. It is noted that our report has focused on developing economies in the region where the main segments of the markets are still very much in their basic subscriber growth phases. The forecasts cover a range of periods with some commencing in 2006 and most forecasting ending in 2017.

 

Researcher:- Peter Evans

Current publication date:- September 2008 (5th Edition)

Next publication date:- October 2009

 

Executive Summary

This market report provides a series of forecasts for subscriber growth in selected markets in Asia. It predominantly covers the fixed-line, Internet and mobile subscriber market segments in 15 countries across Asia. It is noted that our report has focused on developing economies in the region where the main segments of the markets are still very much in their basic subscriber growth phases. The forecasts cover a range of periods with some commencing in 2006 and most forecasting ending in 2017.

 

The countries covered include:

Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Georgia, Indonesia, India, Kazakhstan, Laos, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Uzbekistan, Vietnam.

 

The report includes what BuddeComm terms scenario forecasts. By describing long-range scenarios we identify a band within which we expect subscriber growth to occur. The associated text describes what we see as the most likely growth trend within the identified band. The actual forecasts are summarised in a series of tables. A set of sample tables are included below, these being the actual scenario forecasts for India to 2017. The projections shown in the tables in this report are based on our own historical information, as well as on telecommunication sector statistics from official and non-official, national and international sources. We assume a possible deviation of 15-20% around this data. All statistics for GDP, revenue, etc, are shown in US$, in order to maintain consistency within and between markets. At the same time we acknowledge that this can introduce some irregularities.

 

India – Forecast fixed-line growth and penetration – lower forecast – 2007; 2012; 2017

Year

Subscribers (million)

Penetration

2007

40

4%

2012

60

6%

2017

85

8%

(Source: BuddeComm forecasts)

 

India – Forecast fixed-line growth and penetration – higher forecast – 2007; 2012; 2017

Year

Subscribers (million)

Penetration

2007

40

4%

2012

80

8%

2017

130

12%

(Source: BuddeComm forecasts)

 

India – Forecast Internet subscriber growth & penetration – lower forecast – 2007; 2012; 2017

Year

Subscribers (million)

Penetration

(subscribers/1000 population)

2007

9

8

2012

26

22

2017

60

50

(Source: BuddeComm forecasts)

 

India – Forecast Internet subscriber growth & penetration – higher forecast – 2007; 2012; 2017

Year

Subscribers (million)

Penetration

(subscribers/1000 population)

2007

9

8

2012

50

42

2017

110

91

(Source: BuddeComm forecasts)

 

India – Forecast mobile growth and penetration – lower forecast – 2007; 2012; 2017

Year

Subscribers (million)

Penetration

2007

220

19%

2012

320

26%

2017

420

33%

(Source: BuddeComm forecasts)

 

India – Forecast mobile growth and penetration – higher forecast – 2007; 2012; 2017

Year

Subscribers (million)

Penetration

2007

220

19%

2012

470

38%

2017

650

52%

(Source: BuddeComm forecasts)

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Related Reports

Share this Report

Purchase with Confidence

Paul has been a relentless advocate and tireless activist for making the world a more connected place.

His passion for broadband and his firm belief in its transformational impact on societies across the globe is unrivalled.

I am honoured to call Paul a friend and I trust he will keep up the fight for better broadband and better access to broadband for all people, wherever they live and whatever their background, into the future.

Senator Stephen Conroy, former Communications Minister and Deputy Leader of the Opposition in the Senate

Research Methodology

BuddeComm's strategic business reports contain a combination of both primary and secondary research statistics, analyses written by our senior analysts supported by a network of experts, industry contacts and researchers from around the world as well as our own scenario forecasts.

For more details, please see:


Research Methodology

Sample Reports

A selection of downloadable samples from our Annual Publications catalogue.


Download a Sample Report

More than 4,000 customers from 140 countries utilise BuddeComm Research

Are you interested in BuddeComm's Custom Research Service?

News & Views

Have the latest telecommunications industry news delivered to your inbox by subscribing to Paul's FREE weekly News & Views.