2015 Global Telecoms Trends for 2016 - Big Data, M2M, Sharing Economy, Wearables, 5G

Publication Overview

This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments for the Global Telecoms sector. The report analyses the global telecom sector with a focus on trends occurring for Big Data, M2M, Collaborative Consumption, Wearable technology, 5G and Cloud Computing. The report offers unique insights supported by case studies, examples, company information and key statistics.

Subjects include:

  • Key global telecoms subscriber data including mobile and broadband;
  • Key global telecoms statistics including global revenue, CAPEX, telecoms traffic, top carriers;
  • M2M, IoT and Big Data developments and analysis;
  • Cloud technology and data centre trends and statistics;
  • Insights in the Sharing Economy (Collaborative Consumption);
  • Insights into 5G development;
  • Wearable technology trends and statistics.

Researchers:- Kylie Wansink, Paul Budde.
Current publication date:- July 2015 (12th Edition)

Executive Summary

Underlying trends propel telecoms sector in 2016

Looking towards 2016 the underlying trends of mobile broadband; M2M; Cloud computing; OTT services and Big Data management will continue to propel the broader telecoms sector ahead. In addition, further advancements in wearable technologies are expected and attention will turn more and more towards 5G infrastructure.

Generally speaking, mobile penetration continues to vary widely throughout the world. In Europe, nearly 80% of the population were unique mobile subscribers at the end of 2014, while in Sub-Saharan Africa the figure was only 39%. But the developing regions are where we will see most growth in the years through to 2020.

Mobile broadband access using the 3G and now the 4G/LTE networks has continued to expand as users add tablets, modems and phones as alternative communication methods and connection to cloud based services. In the longer term, with the increase in connected devices and the growth in availability of mobile devices such as tablets and smartphones, the amount of mobile data downloaded is likely to at least double yearly for the next few years.

5G technology is now well and truly under development. While there are no firm standards in place, the industry is working hard at making that happen. In the meantime, the early movers are testing their own versions of the 5G technology and this is giving us information about what we can expect – what the technology will be able to deliver.

Key developments will include M2M and IoT infrastructure, facilitating the development of smart homes, buildings and cities. Many of these applications will be opened up partly through the use of 4G LTE-Advanced – a halfway house on the way to full 5G. Commercial 5G is not expected to become available in any significant way until around 2020, with full deployment expected towards the end of that decade.

Benefiting from any advancement in infrastructure is the recent ‘sharing economy’ movement which delivers a whole new range of ideas and services. Often utilising our modern digital tools of smart phones, apps, location based technology, near-field communications, fixed broadband, social networks, m-payments etc – the notion is to share excess goods and services with the broader community, sometimes for profit. In particular - mobile apps are being developed in order for consumers to easily access the shared opportunities.

Fixed broadband deployment will continue to make headway in 2016 with the majority of countries now having a national broadband network plan or policy in place. Ever since BuddeComm first became involved in developing policies and strategies for countries relating to what are now known as national broadband networks, we have argued that those taking part in the strategic decision-making processes of designing these networks should look, not at what broadband can do now, but at what high-speed broadband can do to assist countries to create the best opportunities for future developments.

Cloud computing has become one of the fastest growing areas for the IT sector and cloud computing solutions are being adopted by enterprises; government and consumers alike. In 2016 cloud computing will be virtually main-stream in the developed markets for the larger enterprises. Few people realise the enormous impact that cloud computing is already making.

Key developments:

  • Most small and medium-sized businesses still need to start on the road to cloud computing.
  • Large enterprises are allocating a significant proportion of IT budgets towards cloud solutions.
  • The leading cloud technology vendors are now all looking towards new markets to apply their technology. Boosting government uptake of cloud solutions, the emerging markets (particularly China) and mobile cloud computing are all key areas of interest.
  • We will see the rise of mega data centres in the coming years.
  • Interest in 5G is accelerating and the ITU has formalised that the industry name for it will be IMT-2020.
  • The telecommunications sector is the largest user of outsourcing services globally.
  • Wireless devices are soon to overtake wired devices in terms of IP traffic and in 2016 will account for over 50% of Internet traffic.
  • Cyber-physical systems are an emerging area that won’t replace the IoT/M2M backbone of sensor-driven smart infrastructure/cities, but it will build upon it.
  • Thanks to improvements in sensor technology and apps, together with consumer adoption of smart technologies generally – wearable technologies have become a thriving growth area.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Global Telecoms – Big Picture Statistics
    • 1.1 Key Global Telecoms Statistics – Subscribers, Revenue, CAPEX, Traffic, Top Carriers
      • 1.1.1 Key global trends for telcoms industry
      • 1.1.2 Global mobile key statistics
      • 1.1.3 Global Internet key statistics
      • 1.1.4 Global telecommunications expenditure
      • 1.1.5 Global telecoms revenue
      • 1.1.6 Global telecoms traffic
      • 1.1.7 Satellite services
      • 1.1.8 Ranking of top carriers
      • 1.1.9 Conclusion
  • 2. The Internet of Everything – Big Data, M2M, Cloud Computing and Data Centres
    • 2.1 M2M; Internet of Everything and Big Data
      • 2.1.1 Analysis of the M2M and IoT market in 2015
      • 2.1.2 Key issues that will make or break the M2M market
      • 2.1.3 Internet of ‘Things’ (IoT)
      • 2.1.4 Who will dominate the IoT market?
      • 2.1.5 Cyber-physical systems
      • 2.1.6 Telcos and the science of Big Data
      • 2.1.7 From SCaDa to IoT
      • 2.1.8 Sensors
      • 2.1.9 Radio-frequency identification (RFID)
      • 2.1.10 Application examples
    • 2.2 Cloud Computing
      • 2.2.1 The cloud computing revolution
      • 2.2.2 Cloud computing for government
      • 2.2.3 Cloud computing for enterprise
      • 2.2.4 The complexities of cloud computing
      • 2.2.5 Unified Communications (UC) and the cloud
      • 2.2.6 Cloud computing market statistics
      • 2.2.7 How to manage and secure big data
      • 2.2.8 Cloud technology trends and opportunites
      • 2.2.9 China - cloud computing and data centres
      • 2.2.10 Conclusion
    • 2.3 Data Centres
      • 2.3.1 The changing market of data centres - market analysis
      • 2.3.2 Key global data centre trends and statistics
      • 2.3.3 Increasing environmental considerations
      • 2.3.4 Selective outsourcing
      • 2.3.5 Glimpses of the future
  • 3. Key Emerging Trends
    • 3.1 The Sharing Economy
      • 3.1.1 Computer transactions, not people, are driving the need for all-fibre networks
      • 3.1.2 Collaborative consumption
      • 3.1.3 Examples of sharing economy services
      • 3.1.4 Transport a key area for the sharing economy
      • 3.1.5 Crowdsourced WiFi
    • 3.2 LTE-A and Mobile 5G
      • 3.2.1 5G technologies and services
      • 3.2.2 Recent developments
      • 3.2.3 5G platform for M2M and IoT – smart homes and smart cities
      • 3.2.4 Analysis - Moving from 4G to 5G
      • 3.2.5 Conclusion: Will telcos be able to harness the new business opportunities of 5G?
    • 3.3 Wearable Devices
      • 3.3.1 5G technologies and services
      • 3.3.2 Recent developments
      • 3.3.3 5G platform for M2M and IoT – smart homes and smart cities
      • 3.3.4 Analysis - Moving from 4G to 5G
      • 3.3.5 Conclusion: Will telcos be able to harness the new business opportunities of 5G?
      • Table 1 – Global - telecom statistics at a glance – 2013; 2015
      • Table 2 – Global – subscriptions, unique subscribers and annual change – 2009 - 2015
      • Table 3 – Regional - mobile subscribers – 2009 – 2014
      • Table 4 – Global – mobile broadband market share by technology – 2013, 2014, 2018
      • Table 5 – Regional – mobile broadband subscriptions – 2010 - 2014
      • Table 6 –Regional – mobile broadband penetration – 2010 - 2014
      • Table 7 – Top ten OECD countries by wireless broadband subscriptions – 2012; mid 2014
      • Table 8 – Global - Internet users and annual change – 2009 - 2015
      • Table 9 – Global - fixed broadband subscribers and annual change – 2005 - 2015
      • Table 10 – Regional – Market share of fixed broadband subscribers – 2014
      • Table 11 – Global – broadband subscribers by access technology – Q1 2014
      • Table 12 – Global - broadband market share by access technology – Q1 2013; Q1 2014
      • Table 13 – Global – telecoms CAPEX – 2008 - 2015
      • Table 14 – Global – mobile CAPEX – 2011 - 2020
      • Table 15 – Global - telecoms services revenue – 2008 - 2015
      • Table 16 – Global mobile and mobile data revenue – 2012 - 2020
      • Table 17 – Global mobile data traffic – 2000; 2011 - 2015; 2019
      • Table 18 – Regional mobile data traffic growth forecast – 2014 - 2019
      • Table 19 – Global – total satellite industry revenue – 2008 - 2014
      • Table 20 – Global - satellite services revenue – 2003 - 2014
      • Table 21 – Global - satellite broadband revenue – 2009 - 2014
      • Table 22 – Global top 16 mobile parent carriers by subscribers – 2014
      • Table 23 – Major 17 fixed-line parent carriers by subscribers - 2014
      • Table 24 – Global M2M module market– 2011; 2012; 2015; 2018
      • Table 25 – Global M2M connections – 2010 - 2015
      • Table 26 – Global spending on Big Data – 2013; 2018
      • Table 27 – Global Platform as a Service (PaaS) revenue – 2014 - 2018
      • Table 28 – Global Software as a Service (SaaS) revenue – 2014 - 2018
      • Table 29 – Global enterprise spending on cloud services and infrastructure – 2011 - 2017
      • Table 30 – Global investment in green data centres – 2012 - 2015
      • Table 31 – Global – homespots by the major providers – 2014
      • Chart 1 – Global – subscriptions, unique subscribers and annual change – 2009 – 2014
      • Chart 2 – Global – evolution of mobile CAPEX – 2010 - 2015
      • Chart 3 – Global top 16 mobile carriers by subscribers – 2014
      • Chart 4 – Major 17 fixed-line carriers by subscribers - 2014
      • Exhibit 1 – Major global fixed satellite service operators
      • Exhibit 2 – 2nd Generation satellites
      • Exhibit 3 – The first major M2M alliances
      • Exhibit 4 – The OneM2M initiative
      • Exhibit 5 – Amazon Dash Button
      • Exhibit 6 – RFID spectrum frequencies and application examples
      • Exhibit 7 – Smart shopping
      • Exhibit 8 – Lifetime customer relationships
      • Exhibit 9 – Many Eyes – e-science web site example
      • Exhibit 10 – GigaPort3
      • Exhibit 11 – Definition: Cloud computing
      • Exhibit 12 – Amazon Web Services – a public cloud leader
      • Exhibit 13 – Examples of key cloud models
      • Exhibit 14 – Examples of government cloud projects
      • Exhibit 15 – Cloud principles
      • Exhibit 16 – Examples of recent enterprise cloud projects and development
      • Exhibit 17 – Planning Tool for Resource Integration, Synchronization, and Management (PRISM)
      • Exhibit 18 – IBM SmartCloud
      • Exhibit 19 – Real-time processing
      • Exhibit 20 – Examples of large data centres around the world
      • Exhibit 21 – Virtualisation
      • Exhibit 22 – Singapore - Energy rating of data centres
      • Exhibit 23 – Summary of key global trends for data centres
      • Exhibit 24 – Google Data Centres
      • Exhibit 25 – Artificial Intelligence (AI)
      • Exhibit 26 – The Power of 5G
      • Exhibit 27 – The Power of 5G

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