Virus impact over each market - telecom operators, government agencies and regulators' responses - revised forecasts for the next 5 years.
Last updated: 12 May 2009 Update History
Report Status: Archived
Report Pages: 113
Analyst: Stephen McNamara
This annual report offers a wealth of information on the worldwide development of advertising and marketing in the digital era. It includes information on both online and mobile advertising and offers analyses, statistics, forecasts and trends. It provides insight into the impact that digital media has had on the traditional media and the changes they are making to evolve in the new landscape. Information on the leaders to date, the Internet Media companies, is included along with a case study on Google. Brief regional information on developments in
Subjects covered include:
· Digital marketing;
· Online advertising and marketing industry including statistics;
· Mobile advertising and marketing industry including statistics;
· Analyses of changes in traditional media ;
· Internet media companies including case study on Google;
· Analyses of open networks;
· Analyses of net neutrality;
· Brief regional overviews.
Researchers:- Paul Budde, Lawrence Baker, Lucia Bibolini, Peter Evans, Dominic Hebert, Lisa Hulme-Jones, Henry Lancaster, Peter Lange, Tine Lewis, Kylie Wansink
Current publication date:- May 2009 (2nd Edition)
Next publication date:- May 2010
Spending on advertising using digital media channels now makes up more than 10% of overall worldwide advertising spending. While the economic downturn is impacting upon advertising spending in 2009, the various advertising channels are being affected differently. There are two key elements which may absorb some of the negative impact however, particularly for digital marketers. Firstly advertisers are migrating from traditional media to new media as the web audience grows, potentially at the expense of the traditional media audience. Secondly the digital platform will enable digital advertisers to employ targeted advertising based on a user’s specific profile. This promises to increase the effectiveness of advertising and as such should enable digital marketers in the future to charge a significant premium relative to traditional advertising forms.
Internet advertising is by far the most prominent digital media platform for advertising, although mobile advertising is beginning to gain traction, driven by advances in multimedia handsets and the increasing use of, and lower costs associated with, mobile data services. Internet advertising linked to keyword searches is the most popular form of online advertising, followed by display ads. This places leading Internet media companies such as Google and Yahoo at an advantage. Google in particular is well positioned; it is the most popular search engine worldwide and its revenue from online advertising is growing both in the US and internationally.
The traditional media companies have made quantum leaps compared with the telcos in terms of advertising and marketing in the digital media era. While the Internet companies like Google have clearly been the leaders to date, media companies are also making great progress, launching events using their traditional media and supplementing them through new media activities. Despite this, the traditional media companies have a new challenge to face as the economic downturn impacts upon advertising spend.
The shift to online news continues to the detriment of print newspaper publishing, and the slowdown in advertising spend is adding further pressure on an already struggling industry. While the business models for online news do not yet stack up, there are many publishers now attempting to increase revenues from online platforms. A recent initiative in the US sees publishers working together to create a model that will include online subscription charges, potentially providing a revenue source beyond advertising.
Marketers must also overcome obstacles such as the vast differences in market sophistication around the world, the current dependence on regional, rather than global media buying habits and an industry-wide reluctance to move from offline pricing models. Marketers will also need to think of better ways to integrate advertising campaigns across different kinds of advertising ‘platforms.’
Mass media forced advertising to take on a form that was irritating to customers, whereas the new media allows the advertisers to be far more engaging with those people for whom a particular advertisement makes sense. People realise that they have a choice – either pay for entertainment or accept advertising – and surveys indicate that people are not averse to information and advertising that is relevant to them. The new media allows people to indicate what they are interested in and advertisers then have an opportunity to communicate with these customers. Niche media will be a win-win for everybody.
This report provides valuable insight into the developments taking place in the marketing and advertising sector in terms of digital media. It includes information on both online and mobile advertising including statistics and analyses. The report explores the impact that digital media has had on the traditional media and the changes they are making to evolve in the new landscape. Information on the leaders to date, the Internet media companies, is also included along with a case study on Google. The report also explores the issues surrounding open networks and net neutrality, as these are important to the continuing success and innovation of online services. Regional information on developments in
· Overall global advertising spend is expected to decline by at least 4-6% in 2009.
· With a slow down in advertising spend in the wake of the financial crisis, print newspaper publishers, which rely heavily on classified advertising, are now also facing further pressure beyond the shift to online news. This added pressure has led to the demise of some publishers around the world and also to a significant change in business models.
· A key long-term goal for participants in the mobile advertising market relates to mobile payments. Telecommunications providers aspire to not only provide the viewer and serve an advertisement but to enable the user to complete a purchasing transaction too. Despite the business models for mobile advertising still being trialled and developed, mobile advertising spend is also expected to flourish in the future.
· While increases in Internet advertising are expected to be very strong in China and India, they account for less than 6% and 2.5% of media spend respectively, pointing to fairly conventional marketing cultures, despite considerable web 2.0 interest in China.
· Online advertising in South Africa grew at one of the fastest rates of all countries in the English-speaking world in 2008 and is likely to repeat this performance in 2009.
· Open networks and Internet neutrality are required for both the Internet media companies to advance further and in general for continuing market innovation, economic growth, social discourse and the free flow of ideas.
Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.
The following notes provide some background to our scenario forecasting methodology:
· This report includes what we term scenario forecasts. By describing long-range scenarios we identify a band within which we expect market growth to occur. The associated text describes what we see as the most likely growth trend within this band.
· The projections shown in the tables in this report are based on our own historical information, as well as on telecommunication sector statistics from official and non-official, national and international sources. We assume a possible deviation of 15-20% around this data.
· All statistics for GDP, revenue, etc are shown in US$, in order to maintain consistency within and between markets. At the same time we acknowledge that this can introduce some irregularities.
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