2008 Global Wireless Broadband - Next Generation Mobility

Publication Overview

This annual report offers a wealth of information on the worldwide development of Wireless Broadband in terms of Next Generation Mobile Networks. Information at a regional level is provided for the Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific. The report includes analyses, statistics, forecasts and trends. It provides a comprehensive insight into the progress of Wireless Broadband and examines the issues and opportunities for the key technologies including WiMAX, LTE, HSPA, IMS, WiFi, Bluetooth and UWB. Statistics and forecasts are included for the both the overall wireless broadband sector and the key technologies.

 

Subjects covered include:

·         Analyses of Next Generation Mobility;

·         Global wireless broadband statistics and forecasts;

·         WiMAX overview and statistics;

·         LTE overview and statistics;

·         WiFi overview and statistics;

·         HSPA overview and statistics;

·         IMS overview and statistics;

·         Bluetooth overview and statistics;

·         Bluetooth Low Energy/Wibree and Ultra-Wideband (UWB);

·         Regional overviews.

 

Researcher:- Kylie Wansink

Current publication date:- September 2008 (5th Edition)

Next publication date:- August 2009

Executive Summary

The wireless broadband sector continues to evolve as worldwide demand for wireless connectivity increases. For some time there has been an ongoing information war waged around wireless broadband developments and in 2008 it is becoming apparent that WiMAX and Long-term evolution are emerging as the most likely candidates for the Next Generation Mobile Networks. However attitudes towards the two technologies are divided, differing at a regional level and also between the types of service providers vying for this space. 

Both the emerging and developed markets around the world will benefit from wide-spread affordable wireless broadband access as there are now important social, health and economic services provided by such infrastructure such as telehealth, e-education, e-business, digital media and e-government.  

While LTE it is still in the standards process, WiMAX is beginning to be launched after standardisation three years ago. LTE is also gaining industry support however, particularly from the mobile operators, as it offers a migration path to 4G from existing 3G/HSPA technologies. In 2008 it has also become apparent that the Next Generation Mobile Network Alliance is favouring LTE for 4G.  

BuddeComm sees the future of WiMAX remaining in niche and emerging markets. There may be some good fixed wireless opportunities for WiMAX in regional markets and opportunities also exist in the enterprise segment. Operators in well developed telco markets should also be examining the various business models, rather than just appropriating the technology. In the emerging markets, the reason why WiMAX is being deployed is simple and quite basic – in most cases it is the only way to obtain a broadband connection.  

As we wait to see how the WiMAX versus LTE battle unfolds, the road to 4G has seen other technologies firmly establish themselves in the market. Around the world, HSPA systems continue to be deployed with over 200 HSDPA and 51 HSUPA networks now in commercial operation. The question is, will HSPA ever reach its true mass market potential or will 4G (ie, WiMAX, LTE) take that position? Operators around the world are also contemplating and deploying IP Multimedia Subsystem, a mobile platform that makes seamless communications possible between fixed and mobile networks.  

WiFi has been quietly establishing itself since the early part of this decade and in 2008 there are now well over 200,000 hotspots worldwide. It is set to continue to play a key role in new meshed wireless broadband developments. While further standardisation will also see WiFi included in a whole range of devices, eventually there will be competition from other mobile wireless technologies. Security issues also continue to tarnish this sector.  

Bluetooth wireless technology also continues to be widely adopted throughout the telecommunications, IT and home entertainment industries, as well as such diverse areas as automotive and health care, reaching almost all sectors of the economy. Bluetooth has become seamlessly integrated in millions of products. In this process the technology has become more of an enabling technique than a stand-alone development. In 2008 further enhancements to the Bluetooth technology are taking place, with Bluetooth Low Energy and high-speed Bluetooth key areas of focus (integrating WiFi and/or Ultra-Wideband technology).  

In this report we provide insights and analyses into the trends and developments taking place in Wireless Broadband in terms of Next Generation Mobile Networks. We provides analyses of the issues surrounding the deployment of wireless broadband and discuss the various technologies, including WiMAX, LTE, HSPA, IMS, WiFi, Bluetooth and UWB. Statistics and forecasts are included for the global wireless broadband sector, including the various technologies. Developments and statistics are also provided at a regional level for North America, Latin America, Europe, Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific.  

 

Key highlights:

·         In the next decade, service revenue from both HSPA and wireless broadband technologies will reach more than $500 billion.

·         The majority of WiMAX subscribers worldwide are located in developing markets.  

Worldwide wireless broadband and HSPA subscribers – 2008; 2012; 2015

Year

Wireless broadband subscribers (e)

(billion)

20081

0.035

20122

1.1

20152

2.1

(Source: BuddeComm based on various industry sources, 2008)

Notes:

1 Includes HSPA (approx 33 million) and WiMAX (approx 2 million).

2 Number of subscribers to HSPA, HSPA+, WiMAX, LTE.

 

·         The installed base of Bluetooth users will reach 2 billion by 2010.

·         Wireless broadband in Eastern Europe is evolving as more metro-sized networks based on WiMAX are deployed and mobile operators pay more attention to the market.

·         In the USA, by mid-2008 WiFi had become a key technology in wireless broadband, while important WiMAX developments are about to be witnessed through the Sprint-Clearwire ‘merger’. Perhaps more significant is the mobile operators’ commitment to LTE which places it as a major wireless broadband development on the horizon.

 

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

 

 

Table of Contents

  • 1. Wireless Broadband Market 2008
    • 1.1 Analyses of next generation mobility
      • 1.1.1 Introduction: Next Generation Mobile (NGM)
      • 1.1.2 Analysis 2008
      • 1.1.3 Personal wireless broadband
      • 1.1.4 Key developments
      • 1.1.5 Wireless broadband statistics and forecasts
      • 1.1.6 Conclusion
  • 2. Next Generation Mobility: WiMAX Vs LTE
    • 2.1 WiMAX overview and statistics
      • 2.1.1 The future of WiMAX
      • 2.1.2 Recent developments
      • 2.1.3 Industry consortia
      • 2.1.4 WiMAX statistics and forecasts
      • 2.1.5 Conclusion: WiMAX a boon for developing markets
    • 2.2 LTE overview and statistics
      • 2.2.1 Introduction: 4G Long-Term Evolution (LTE)
      • 2.2.2 LTE support intensifies
      • 2.2.3 Key trends and developments
      • 2.2.4 LTE technical information
  • 3. The Road Towards 4G
    • 3.1 HSPA overview and statistics
      • 3.1.1 HSPA, HSDPA, HSUPA
      • 3.1.2 HSDPA developments and deployment
      • 3.1.3 HSUPA developments and deployment
      • 3.1.4 HSPA and wireless broadband
      • 3.1.5 IP Multimedia systems (IMS)
      • 3.1.6 IMS development and deployment
      • 3.1.7 Analysis: complex, ambitious yet promising
    • 3.2 WiFi overview and statistics
      • 3.2.1 Introduction
      • 3.2.2 IEEE 802.11 - WiFi
      • 3.2.3 WLAN/WiFi hotspots
      • 3.2.4 WiFi market in 2008
      • 3.2.5 The Wi-Fi Alliance
      • 3.2.6 Conclusion
    • 3.3 Bluetooth; UWB and Wibree
      • 3.3.1 Introduction: Bluetooth
      • 3.3.2 Bluetooth statistics & forecasts
      • 3.3.3 Bluetooth technology
      • 3.3.4 Application examples
      • 3.3.5 Other developments
      • 3.3.6 Bluetooth low energy/Wibree
      • 3.3.7 UWB
      • 3.3.8 Bluetooth-UWB merger
  • 4. Regional Overviews
    • 4.1 North America
    • 4.2 Latin America
      • 4.2.1 Overview
      • 4.2.2 WiFi
      • 4.2.3 WiMAX
      • 4.2.4 Third Generation mobile
    • 4.3 Europe
      • 4.3.1 Western Europe
      • 4.3.2 Eastern Europe
    • 4.4 Africa/Middle East
      • 4.4.1 Africa
      • 4.4.2 Middle East
    • 4.5 Asia
      • 4.5.1 Overview
      • 4.5.2 China
      • 4.5.3 India
      • 4.5.4 Indonesia
      • 4.5.5 Japan
      • 4.5.6 Singapore
      • 4.5.7 South Korea
      • 4.5.8 Taiwan
    • 4.6 Pacific region
      • 4.6.1 Australia
      • 4.6.2 New Zealand
      • 4.6.3 South Pacific
  • 5. Glossary of Abbreviations
  • Table 1 – Worldwide wireless broadband and HSPA subscribers – 2008; 2012; 2015
  • Table 2 – Worldwide WiMAX, LTE and HSPA market share – 2015
  • Table 3 – Wireless broadband and HSPA service revenue – 2010; 2015
  • Table 4 – Wireless broadband and HSPA market share in developing markets – 2008; 2015
  • Table 5 – Number of WiMAX subscribers worldwide – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 6 – WiMAX deployments worldwide – mid-2008
  • Table 7 – Value of WiMAX equipment sales worldwide – Q1 2008
  • Table 8 – Share of WiMAX deployments by region – Q1 2007
  • Table 9 – PMP for WiMAX spectrum by region – 2007
  • Table 10 – Worldwide LTE subscribers – 2012
  • Table 11 – Number of commercial HSDPA operators by region – mid-2008
  • Table 12 – IMS/LTE based services subscribers – 2007; 2011
  • Table 13 – Number of WiFi Hotspots worldwide – 2005 - 2008
  • Table 14 – Public WiFi hotspots – top 10 countries and cities worldwide – 2008
  • Table 15 – Number of hotspots in the top 10 US states – 2006; 2008
  • Table 16 – Installed base of Bluetooth devices worldwide – 2005; 2007; 2010
  • Table 17 – UWB-enabled devices in use – 2007; 2011
  • Table 18 – Mobile broadband connection types and usage – UK – 2008
  • Table 19 – Orange mobile broadband subscribers in Poland – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 20 – Total mobile broadband subscribers in Slovakia – 2005 - 2007
  • Table 21 – 3G subscribers as a percentage of total subscribers – selected Middle Eastern countries – 2006 - 2007
  • Table 22 – Mobile data revenues – top three countries worldwide – 2006
  • Table 23 – Mobile wireless Internet subscribers by provider in Japan – January 2008
  • Table 24 – Mobile wireless Internet subscribers in Japan – 2000 - 2008
  • Table 25 – Wireless Internet subscribers and market share in South Korea – November 2007
  • Table 26 – Mobile data revenue as proportion of total mobile revenue in Taiwan – 2001 - 2007
  • Table 27 – Mobile Internet subscribers in Taiwan – 2001 - 2007
  • Table 28 – Mobile Internet subscribers by access method in Taiwan – 2007
  • Table 29 – Public WLAN or hotspot users (flawed forecasts) – 2003 - 2008
  • Table 30 – Mobile data revenues by operator – SMS and non-SMS – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 31 – Mobile penetration and number of operators in South Pacific islands – 2008
  • Exhibit 1 – Mobile operators prefer LTE or WiMAX over UMB
  • Exhibit 2 – Personal broadband definition
  • Exhibit 3 – NGMN Alliance objectives
  • Exhibit 4 – WiMAX Forum
  • Exhibit 5 – LTE definition
  • Exhibit 6 – World’s first commercial LTE platform
  • Exhibit 7 – HSPA, HSDPA, HSUPA
  • Exhibit 8 – Examples of selected operators deploying HSUPA – 2007 - 2008
  • Exhibit 9 – What is IMS?
  • Exhibit 10 – Growth inhibitors for IMS
  • Exhibit 11 – Examples of selected operators deploying or trialling IMS – 2007 - 2008
  • Exhibit 12 – Vendors involved in GMI 2006
  • Exhibit 13 – World’s first IMS over WiMAX demonstration
  • Exhibit 14 – IMS in context with NGN, FttH
  • Exhibit 15 – What the numbers mean at IEEE 801.11
  • Exhibit 16 – Top seven US WiFi hotspot operators
  • Exhibit 17 – Municipal WiFi case study
  • Exhibit 18 – Broadband availability by access type in South Pacific islands – 2007 - 2008

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Annual Publication Profile

Technologies

Mobile & Wireless Broadband and Media

Number of pages 172

Status Archived

Last updated 10 Sep 2008
Update History

Analyst: Stephen McNamara

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