Virus impact over each market - telecom operators, government agencies and regulators' responses - revised forecasts for the next 5 years.
Last updated: 14 Jun 2007 Update History
Report Status: Archived
Report Pages: 146
Analyst: Stephen McNamara
This annual report offers a wealth of information on the worldwide fixed broadband industry, and includes analyses, statistics, trends and forecasts. The report also provides a market overview of the various broadband technologies, including DSL, cable modem, fibre, BPL and broadband satellite. Regional information is also included, providing a comprehensive overview of how broadband is progressing around the world.
Subjects covered include:
As the Internet economy, digital media and other telecommunications activities become more established; the need for modern and efficient infrastructure is becoming more critical. Broadband services are becoming an essential commodity, and while some countries like Japan and Korea are leaders in this area, many other countries are failing to keep pace with demand.
For more information, see chapter 1, page 1.
In 2007 we see that fixed broadband is still mainly confined to the developed markets. This is because there are enough good quality fixed networks in place to allow for roll outs of the technology. There are now close to 300 million broadband subscribers worldwide, and DSL is by far the most popular access technology.
For more statistical information, see chapter 2, page 16.
At this stage other technologies, such as fibre and satellite are minor players. DSL has so far been the most effective and economical route to global broadband deployment. The emphasis of the next phase of broadband is on increasing speeds, which via ADSL2+ and VDSL will eventually lead to Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH). The market will need to focus on fibre because in the coming years the use of popular high-bandwidth applications will dramatically strain existing copper-based networks.
For more information, see chapter 3, page 26.
Asia is the one region of the world where FttH has started to emerge as a serious broadband platform. Not unexpectedly, the movement towards fibre is occurring in Asia’s more developed markets where positive government intervention has been playing an important role.
In 2007, Japan continues to lead the world in fibre deployments, and South Korea is also rapidly rolling it out. The US is also focusing on fibre, and will probably catch up to Asia over the next ten years. In Europe, deployments by municipality and property developers have shown the fastest growth, although the telcos still account for a higher proportion of lines installed. On a government level, those of Ireland, The Netherlands and Sweden have been among the more progressive FttH providers, installing extensive fibre connections to neighbourhoods or homes.
For more information, see chapter6, page 52.
The focus of Broadband over Powerline (BPL) has changed within the last year from broadband connectivity to smart meters on broadband infrastructure, which allows householders to reduce energy costs and energy companies to better manage their networks. The next step for BPL is to make the transition from the current trial status to the commercial arena, and this will require the establishment of an appropriate regulatory framework to support the technological developments that are occurring.
For more information, see chapter 7, page 61.
It is a positive sign that this sector is looking at alternatives for broadband use; beyond the usual high-speed Internet access. It is important for the overall industry to realise that Internet access will be just one of many services that will be delivered over broadband infrastructure. There are other important services emerging that will depend on high quality broadband infrastructure, such as e-health, education, e-business, digital media, e-government, smart utility meter reading, etc. In countries where the national telco is lagging behind, we are seeing that local governments have no choice other than to take a leadership role – just as they have done with similar infrastructure over the last 100 years.
Residential broadband (BB) growth predictions – next ten years
|Time frame||User development||BB speeds||Key reasons|
|2003-2005||Early adopter||300-500Kb/s||Always-on Internet|
|2005-2007||Seasoned user||2Mb/s||Internet plus photos|
|2007-2009||BB part of life||6-10Mb/s||Triple-play/video entertainment|
|2010-2015||Fully-integrated BB||25-45Mb/s||Telework, education, healthcare, hobby, entertainment|
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BuddeComm's strategic business reports contain a combination of both primary and secondary research statistics, analyses written by our senior analysts supported by a network of experts, industry contacts and researchers from around the world as well as our own scenario forecasts.
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