Last updated: 20 Feb 2008 Update History
Report Status: Archived
Report Pages: 130
Analyst: Stephen McNamara
Publication Overview
For those seeking high level strategic information and objective analysis on this region, this report is essential reading and gives further information on:
Researcher:
Edition: 6th
Current Publication Date: February 2008
Next Publication Date: June 2009
Executive Summary
BuddeComm’s Annual Publication, ‘2008 Telecoms, Wireless and Broadband in
Although
Despite slowing wireless subscriber growth, wireless revenues are being underpinned by strong wireless data revenue growth. The wireless market is expected to receive additional competition in 2008, given the pro-competitive rules proposed for the upcoming Advanced Wireless Services (AWS) auction. In terms of triple play developments, cable companies continue to enjoy robust growth in VoIP in contrast to the relatively tentative moves of the telcos into the broadcasting (IPTV) sector. Finally, further deregulation in telecommunication, broadcasting and new media markets is expected during 2008 and 2009, including possible loosening of
Key highlights:
· For 2006, overall telecom service revenues grew 4.5% to $36 billion. The majority of the growth was accounted for by the wireless (15% growth) and broadband (18% growth) sectors. In contrast, long distance revenues fell by 7%. It is estimated that for 2007, wireless and broadband together accounted for over 50% of total telecom industry revenues.
· Competitors accounted for over 14% of residential local lines by the end of 2006, up from 8% in 2005, and for 16% of business lines. Cable companies in particular made significant inroads into local telephony markets, securing approximately 12% of total residential lines.
· Despite strong growth in wireless revenues, the growth in wireless subscribers continued its downward trend into single figures (9%) for the year to 30 September 2007. Compared to other OECD countries, wireless penetration is a modest 60%, leaving significant room for growth. However, the main revenue drivers are expected to come from data services such as SMS and MMS. For more information, see chapter 8, page 88.
· By mid-2007 more than 85% of Canadian households with Internet access used broadband connections. However, in terms of overall broadband penetration,
· In late 2007, six months after BCE first announced the sale of its satellite subsidiary Telesat
· On 30 June 2007 BCE reached agreement to be acquired by Teachers Private Capital, in an all-cash transaction valued at around $50 billion. Teachers Private Capital is the private investment entity of a group comprising the Ontario Teachers Pension Plan and the US-based private equity investment firms Providence Equity Partners Inc and Madison Dearborn Partners. The transaction is expected to be completed by mid-2008.
· The CRTC proposed rules for the upcoming 2008 AWS auction which are designed to, and expected to, facilitate new entry. For instance, it has been proposed to set aside some spectrum for new entrants only. Ironically, the pro-competitive rules has reignited speculation of a Bell-TELUS merger. For more information, see chapter 8.3.3.6, page 93.
· VoIP continued to grow rapidly during 2006 and 2007. The combined cable digital telephony subscribers of Vidéotron Ltée, Rogers, Shaw Cablesystems and Cogeco increased from around 200,000 at the end of 2005 to around one million by the end of 2006, and to over 1.6 million by September 2007.
· Growth in digital TV services has been slower than initially predicted. Subscriber numbers increased by only 10% per annum in both 2006 and in the nine months to 30 September 2007. Nevertheless, VoD is expected to become an increasingly important source of revenue for many of the major cable operators. By late 2007 around 45% of digital cable subscribers were using VoD, up from around 10% in 2002. For more information, see chapter 7.2, page 73.
Forecast wireless subscribers, penetration and revenue growth – 2008 - 2013
Year
|
Subscribers
|
Penetration
|
Revenue ($ billion)
|
2008 |
21,300,000 |
64% |
16.6 |
2009 |
23,200,000 |
69% |
19.0 |
2010 |
25,300,000 |
74% |
21.6 |
2011 |
27,600,000 |
80% |
24.6 |
2012 |
30,100,000 |
86% |
28.1 |
2013 |
32,800,000 |
93% |
32.0 |
(Source: BuddeComm estimates)
Related Reports
Monitor critical insights with our AI-powered Market Intelligence Platform gathering and analyzing intelligence in real time. With AI trained to spot emerging trends and detect new strategic opportunities, our clients use TMT Intelligence to accelerate their growth.
If you want to know more about it, please see:
BuddeComm's strategic business reports contain a combination of both primary and secondary research statistics, analyses written by our senior analysts supported by a network of experts, industry contacts and researchers from around the world as well as our own scenario forecasts.
For more details, please see:
More than 4,000 customers from 140 countries utilise BuddeComm Research
Are you interested in BuddeComm's Custom Research Service?
Have the latest telecommunications industry news delivered to your inbox by subscribing to BuddeComm's weekly newsletter.