Virus impact over each market - telecom operators, government agencies and regulators' responses - revised forecasts for the next 5 years.
Last updated: 16 Apr 2020 Update History
Report Pages: 103
Analyst: Sebastien De Rosbo
For many years Uzbekistan has been struggling to bring its telecommunications system up to the standard found in developed countries. Over the last two decades the situation has been gradually transforming. Consequently, over the past decade there has been a positive trend in the country’s telecom market, with increased investment in infrastructure, expanding subscriber bases and rising revenues. The support of the government through the “2019-2023 plan” will be key in the development of the needed infrastructure for the country.
The fixed line market in Uzbekistan remains underdeveloped. A major reason for this is the dominance of the mobile segment. The market is predicted to grow moderately to slowly over the next five years to 2024.
Fixed broadband penetration in Uzbekistan remains low mainly due to a limited number of fixed lines and the dominance of the mobile platform. The highly competitive nature of the ISP market had resulted in a fall in access prices and the provision of flexible packages. The introduction of prepaid internet has also contributed to the rise in home internet usage. However, the market has grown exceptionally strongly over the past five years. Over the next five years to 2024 strong growth is expected to continue driven by rising fixed line penetration.
Uzbekistan’s mobile market is relatively underdeveloped on international comparison and has experienced slow to moderate growth over the last five years. Moderate growth is predicted over the next five years to 2024. The market will be constrained from higher growth due to the cost of mobile considering the low revenue of most of the population.
Uzbekistan has seen a very rapid increase in mobile broadband penetration over the past five years with market penetration driven by a rising level of mobile subscribers and mobile data however, the mobile broadband market is still at an early stage of development. Continuous growth is predicted over the next five years to 2024.
BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus in 2020 is having a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure. Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.
On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.
Although it is challenging to predict and interpret the long-term impacts of the crisis as it develops, these have been acknowledged in the industry forecasts contained in this report.
The report also covers the responses of the telecom operators as well as government agencies and regulators as they react to the crisis to ensure that citizens can continue to make optimum use of telecom services. This can be reflected in subsidy schemes and the promotion of tele-health and tele-education, among other solutions.
Uzbektelecom, Uzmobile, Buzton, Buztel, East Telecom, Uzdunrobita, MTS-Uzbekistan, Universal Mobile Systems (UMS), Beeline (Unitel), UCell (Coscom), Vimpelcom.
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