Latin America - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband Forecasts

Publication Overview

Providing a series of forecasts for subscriber growth in an extensive range of markets in Latin America, this market report predominantly covers the fixed line, broadband and mobile subscriber market segments. This edition covers 15 countries across the region. 

The countries covered in this report include:

Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Jamaica, Mexico, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Puerto Rico, Uruguay, Venezuela.

Researchers:- Henry Lancaster
Current publication:- March 2017 (14th Edition)

 

Executive Summary

Latin America’s focus on mobile broadband showing dividends

Although the Latin American and Caribbean region covers a wide range of countries, the telecoms sector within the region is broadly similar in terms of penetration of services and market maturity. Some countries, in particular Brazil and Venezuela, are struggling with a prolonged economic downturn which has grievously affected the ability of local telcos to fund network investment. On the whole, though, the size of the overall market in the region, and its potential for ongoing growth, continues to attract investment from international telcos and vendors.

The results of these investments can be seen in upgraded networks, particularly in relation to LTE and FttP infrastructure. Improved mobile network capabilities have stimulated the adoption of smartphones among consumers, which in turn has led to increasing mobile data traffic and consequently the ability of network operators to develop revenue growth. In the fixed-line sector, fibre backhaul networks have proliferated, and while FttP adoption remains low it is the fastest growth area in the fixed-line broadband segment. This has partly been stimulated by regulatory efforts to promote the sharing of network components, but also by the take-up among consumer of bundled packages requiring higher bandwidth. The need to future-proof networks to cope with the demands of digital communities has also encouraged telcos and cablecos to invest in G.fast and DOCSIS3.1 technologies, complementing their FttP efforts.

Much of the stimulus for investment in fibre broadband is provided by competitive pressure, as well as encouragement from governments which, like their European and North American counterparts, have instituted plans to build national broadband networks. These are aimed at closing the digital divide between urban and rural areas, and at enabling all citizens to make greater use of the socio-economic benefits provided by access to fast broadband infrastructure.

Although there is a multiplicity of operators in the region, many countries have a core number of key providers, including the local business units of América Móvil and Telefónica, as also Millicom International (operating in six markets), and AT&T, which has expanded in Mexico and operates the largest pay TV company in the region (DirecTV).

Table of Contents

  • 1. Regional overview
    • 1.1 Mobile market driving growth
    • 1.2 Steady progress made with national broadband policies
    • 1.3 Fixed-line technology breakthroughs
    • 1.4 Mobile subscribers
  • 2. Argentina
    • 2.1 Market analysis
    • 2.2 Forecasts – broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 2.3 Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 3. Bolivia
    • 3.1 Market analysis
    • 3.2 Forecasts – fixed broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 3.3 Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 4. Brazil
    • 4.1 Market analysis
    • 4.2 Forecasts – fixed broadband market 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 4.3 Forecasts – mobile market - 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 5. Chile
    • 5.1 Market analysis
    • 5.2 Forecasts – fixed broadband market – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 5.3 Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 6. Colombia
    • 6.1 Market analysis
    • 6.2 Forecasts – fixed broadband market – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 6.3 Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 7. Dominican Republic
    • 7.1 Market overview
    • 7.2 Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 8. Ecuador
    • 8.1 Market analysis
    • 8.2 Forecasts – fixed broadband subscribers – 2015; 2017; 2020
    • 8.3 Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2015; 2017; 2020
  • 9. Jamaica
    • 9.1 Market overview
    • 9.2 Forecasts – broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 9.3 Forecasts – mobile subscribers 2016; 2018, 2021
  • 10. Mexico
    • 10.1 Market analysis
    • 10.2 Forecasts – broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 10.3 Forecasts – mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 11. Panama
    • 11.1 Market analysis
    • 11.2 Forecasts – fixed broadband market 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 11.3 Forecasts – mobile market 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 12. Paraguay
    • 12.1 Market analysis
    • 12.2 Forecasts – fixed broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 12.3 Forecasts – mobile market – 2016; 2085; 2021
  • 13. Peru
    • 13.1 Market analysis
    • 13.2 Forecasts – fixed broadband market - 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 13.3 Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 14. Puerto Rico
    • 14.1 Market overview
    • 14.2 Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 15. Uruguay
    • 15.1 Market analysis
    • 15.2 Forecasts – broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 15.3 Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
  • 16. Venezuela
    • 16.1 Market analysis
    • 16.2 Forecasts – fixed broadband market – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • 16.3 Forecasts – mobile market – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 1 – LAC countries –broadband subscribers and fixed line connections – 2006 - 2017
    • Table 2 – LAC countries – mobile and mobile broadband subscribers - 2006– 2017
    • Table 3 – Argentina - Forecast broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 4 – Argentina - Forecast mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 5 – Bolivia - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 6 – Bolivia - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 7 – Brazil - Broadband traffic growth per subscriber – 1998 – 2019(e)
    • Table 8 – Brazil - Forecast broadband subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2016; 2018, 2021
    • Table 9 – Brazil - Forecast mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 10 – Chile - Forecast broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 11 – Chile - Forecast mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 12 – Colombia - Forecast broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 13 – Colombia - Forecast mobile subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 14 – Dominican Republic - Forecast mobile subscribers – lower growth scenario – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 15 – Ecuador - Forecast broadband subscribers – 2015; 2017; 2020
    • Table 16 – Ecuador - Forecast mobile subscribers – 2015; 2017; 2020
    • Table 17 – Jamaica - Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration – 2015; 2017; 2020
    • Table 18 – Jamaica - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration – 2015; 2017; 2020
    • Table 19 – Mexico - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 20 – Mexico - Forecast mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 21 – Panama - Forecast broadband growth –– 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 22 – Panama - Forecast mobile subscriber growth – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 23 – Paraguay - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2013; 2015; 2020
    • Table 24 – Paraguay - Forecast mobile subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2015; 2018; 2022
    • Table 25 – Peru - Forecast broadband subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 26 – Peru - Forecast mobile subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 27 – Puerto Rico - Forecast mobile subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 28 – Uruguay - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 29 – Uruguay - Forecast mobile subscribers –– 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 30 – Venezuela - Forecast broadband subscribers –– 2016; 2018; 2021
    • Table 31 – Venezuela - Forecast mobile subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2016; 2018; 2021

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Number of pages 37

Status Current

Last updated 28 Mar 2017
Update History

Analyst: Henry Lancaster

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