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South Africa - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Forecasts

Publication Overview

This annual report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in South Africa’s telecommunications market. Subjects covered include:

  • Key statistics;
  • Market and industry overviews;
  • Government policies affecting the telecoms industry;
  • Market liberalisation and regulatory environment;
  • Telecoms operators – privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
  • Major players (fixed, mobile and broadband);
  • Infrastructure development;
  • National and municipal fibre rollouts;
  • International submarine fibre optic cables;
  • Mobile voice and data markets, including 3G and 4G;
  • Internet development;
  • Broadband, including 3G mobile;
  • Average Revenue per User (ARPU) and churn;
  • Internet and broadband development and growth;
  • Broadband and mobile data services and pricing trends;
  • Convergence (voice/data, fixed/wireless/mobile);
  • Electronic banking and m-banking services;
  • Digital Media.

Companies covered in this report:

Telkom SA (Heita, 8ta), Neotel, Vodacom, MTN, Cell C, Virgin Mobile, Broadband InfraCo, Transtel, Eskom, SITA, Sentech, Orbicom, Amobia, Dark Fibre Africa, Internet Solutions, Atlantic Internet Services, Business Connexion, Verizon Business, MWEB, Vox Telecom (DataPro), iBurst (WBS, Blue Label), MultiChoice, Goal Technology Solutions (GTS), MTN Business (Verizon Business, UUNet), MWEB, Vox Telecom, Storm Telecom, South African Broadcasting Corporation (SABC), MXit, Naspers, Media24, Standard Bank, First National Bank, ABSA, Nedbank, Barclays Bank.

Researcher:- Peter Lange
Current publication date:- January 2012 (10th Edition)

Executive Summary

The continent’s leading telecoms and digital media market

South Africa’s telecom sector boasts the continent’s most advanced networks in terms of technology deployed and services provided. In a virtually saturated voice market, four mobile networks – Vodacom, MTN, Cell C and Telkom SA – are competing for market share in the next growth wave, mobile broadband. 3G/HSPA mobile broadband services now rival available DSL fixed-line offerings in terms of both speed and price, and have consequently taken the upper hand in terms of subscriber numbers. All four operators are preparing the introduction of the next generation of mobile technology, LTE (also referred to as 4G), but are being held back by delays with suitable frequency spectrum allocations.

While emerging as the country’s leading broadband providers, the major mobile operators are also branching out into fixed-lines, fibre backbone networks, international fibre connectivity, mobile banking and entertainment in a rapidly converging environment. Fixed-line incumbent Telkom SA has reacted by launching its own 3G mobile network and the country’s first commercial WiMAX service, but various competitors are hard on its heels rolling out the same technology, including second national operator Neotel.

Following years of delays with its licensing, second national operator (SNO) Neotel is gaining market share in competition with fixed-line incumbent, Telkom. This, in combination with other sweeping liberalisation measures – also delayed by years – has changed the country’s telecoms landscape fundamentally and brought prices down. In addition, the government has created Broadband InfraCo, a national infrastructure company to provide cheap backbone network capacity to service providers. Despite the significantly increased competition between different service providers, many municipalities in South Africa, including the country’s largest cities, are implementing their own fibre and wireless broadband networks.

Under a converging regulatory regime, hundreds of alternative service providers are pushing into the market with converged services. The legalisation of VoIP Internet telephony in 2005 marked the beginning of a fundamental change in the country’s telecoms landscape. Billions of dollars are being invested into IP-based next-generation networks (NGN) that are capable of delivering converged services more efficiently. Telecom carriers and ISPs are moving into delivering audio and video content over their networks, while in turn the traditional electronic media carriers have discovered the potential of their infrastructure for telecommunications service delivery.

Key regulatory events currently shaping the market are the auctioning of WiMAX and LTE spectrum, the unbundling of the local loop (ULL, or LLU), the staged reduction of interconnect charges, and the new requirement for mobile subscribers to register their personal details with service providers.

All of the major players are involved in various international submarine fibre optic cables that have reached the country in the past three years. Following the end of Telkom’s monopoly on international submarine fibre optic cables, the arrival of Seacom as the second international cable in 2009 has brought down the cost of international bandwidth dramatically. A third international cable, EASSy landed in 2010, followed by ACE and WACS in late 2011.

South Africa’s Internet and Broadband market has finally taken off after years of stagnation due to an expensive operating environment created by Telkom SA’s dominance in the fixed-line and international bandwidth market. The new converged licensing regime has created hundreds of companies licensed to offer Internet services. There has been consolidation in the sector which is expected to continue.

With its relatively well developed and diverse infrastructure, South Africa is also taking a regional lead role in the convergence of telecommunication and information technologies with the media and entertainment sector, promising reductions in telecommunication costs and better availability of information and services. Digital media and social media have reached a level of development to foster an associated advertising and marketing industry. The FIFA World Cup held in the country in 2010 has showcased these developments. While South Africa lags behind other countries on the continent in the development of e-government, e-health and e-learning applications, it is a regional leader in the areas of electronic banking and mobile banking services and social media.

Market highlights:

  • After market disruptions, mobile penetration is back above 100%;
  • 3G mobile broadband continues to surge ahead of DSL;
  • More LTE trials, but commercial service delayed by spectrum allocation;
  • Staged reduction of interconnect charges 2011-2013;
  • Local loop unbundling nearing completion;
  • Two more international fibre links landed in 2011;
  • Forecasts to 2013 and 2016 for the mobile, Internet and broadband market.

Estimated market penetration rates in South Africa's telecoms sector – end-2012

Market

Penetration rate

Mobile

127%

Fixed

8%

Internet

17%

(Source: BuddeComm based on various sources)

Table of Contents

  • 1. Key Statistics
  • 2. Telecommunications Market
    • 2.1 Overview
      • 2.1.1 Fixed-line market
      • 2.1.2 Mobile market
      • 2.1.3 Broadband and Internet market
      • 2.1.4 Convergence and digital media
  • 3. Regulatory Environment
    • 3.1 Historical background
      • 3.1.1 Network rollout obligations
    • 3.2 Regulatory authority
      • 3.2.1 Independent Communications Authority of South Africa (ICASA)
    • 3.3 Telecommunications Amendment Bill
    • 3.4 Regulation of Interception of Communications Act 2002
    • 3.5 Electronic Communications Act and ICASA Amendment Bill
    • 3.6 Converged licensing regime
    • 3.7 New Companies Act
    • 3.8 Universal Service and Access Fund (USAF)
    • 3.9 Interconnection
    • 3.10 Registration of subscriber details
    • 3.11 Telecom sector liberalisation in South Africa
      • 3.11.1 Overview
      • 3.11.2 Privatisation of Telkom SA
      • 3.11.3 Third mobile licence
      • 3.11.4 Analysis of the SNO licensing process
      • 3.11.5 Third fixed-line and fourth mobile licence
      • 3.11.6 PTN licences
      • 3.11.7 The ‘Big Bang’
      • 3.11.8 Under-Serviced Area Licences (USALs)
      • 3.11.9 InfraCo licences
      • 3.11.10 Number Portability (NP)
      • 3.11.11 Carrier pre-selection (CPS)
      • 3.11.12 Local Loop Unbundling (LLU)
      • 3.11.13 International gateways
      • 3.11.14 International submarine cables
      • 3.11.15 Least Cost Routing (LCR)
      • 3.11.16 Broadcasting licences 2007
      • 3.11.17 Mobile TV licences 2010
    • 3.12 Spectrum licensing
      • 3.12.1 WiFi
      • 3.12.2 LTE, WiMAX
  • 4. Fixed Network Market
    • 4.1 Market overview
    • 4.2 Fixed network operators in South Africa
      • 4.2.1 Telkom SA Ltd
      • 4.2.2 Neotel
      • 4.2.3 Broadband InfraCo
      • 4.2.4 Amobia
    • 4.3 National private networks
      • 4.3.1 Overview
      • 4.3.2 Transtel
      • 4.3.3 Eskom
      • 4.3.4 Other electricity utilities
      • 4.3.5 State IT Agency (SITA)
    • 4.4 Sentech
    • 4.5 Mobile operators establishing fixed networks
      • 4.5.1 Vodacom
      • 4.5.2 MTN
  • 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
    • 5.1 Telkom’s national telecom network
      • 5.1.1 Fixed-line statistics
      • 5.1.2 Wireless Local Loop (WLL)
    • 5.2 Neotel’s network infrastructure
    • 5.3 Municipal networks
      • 5.3.1 Knysna – Africa’s first municipal network
      • 5.3.2 City of Tshwane
      • 5.3.3 City of Johannesburg
      • 5.3.4 Ekurhuleni (East Rand)
      • 5.3.5 City of Cape Town
      • 5.3.6 eThekwini (Durban)
      • 5.3.7 Gauteng Link
    • 5.4 Dark Fibre Africa
    • 5.5 Internet Solutions (Dimension Data)
    • 5.6 International infrastructure
      • 5.6.1 Submarine fibre
      • 5.6.2 South African Power Pool
      • 5.6.3 Satellite
  • 6. Internet Market
    • 6.1 Overview
      • 6.1.1 Internet statistics
    • 6.2 Internet demographics
    • 6.3 Community access projects
      • 6.3.1 Microsoft Digital Villages and telecentres
      • 6.3.2 The Smart Cape Access Project
      • 6.3.3 Intel’s ‘World Ahead’ initiative
    • 6.4 South Africa’s ISP market
      • 6.4.1 Internet Service Providers Association (ISPA)
      • 6.4.2 Selected major ISPs
    • 6.5 VoIP telephony
      • 6.5.1 Market overview
      • 6.5.2 VoIP interconnection and peering
      • 6.5.3 Major VoIP providers
      • 6.5.4 Mobile VoIP
      • 6.5.5 Call centres
  • 7. Broadband Market
    • 7.1 Overview
      • 7.1.1 Broadband statistics
    • 7.2 ADSL
      • 7.2.1 Major ADSL providers
      • 7.2.2 ADSL tariffs
      • 7.2.3 ADSL2+
      • 7.2.4 ADSL wholesale
    • 7.3 Wireless broadband
      • 7.3.1 WiFi
      • 7.3.2 WiMAX
      • 7.3.3 EV-DO
      • 7.3.4 Wireless Access Providers Association (WAPA)
      • 7.3.5 MyWireless (Sentech) – decommissioned
      • 7.3.6 iBurst (WBS, Blue Label)
    • 7.4 3G mobile broadband
    • 7.5 Broadband via satellite
    • 7.6 Broadband over powerlines (BPL)
    • 7.7 Next Generation Networks (NGN)
      • 7.7.1 Telkom SA
      • 7.7.2 Neotel
      • 7.7.3 Transtel
      • 7.7.4 Eskom
      • 7.7.5 SITA
  • 8. Digital Media / Digital Economy
    • 8.1 IPTV, triple play
    • 8.2 Broadcasting licences 2007
    • 8.3 Broadcast signal distributors
      • 8.3.1 Background
      • 8.3.2 Sentech
      • 8.3.3 Orbicom
    • 8.4 Digital TV
      • 8.4.1 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
      • 8.4.2 Digital satellite TV
      • 8.4.3 Mobile TV
      • 8.4.4 High Definition TV (HDTV)
    • 8.5 Video-on-Demand (VoD)
    • 8.6 Personal video recorders (PVR)
    • 8.7 Interactive TV (iTV)
      • 8.7.1 MultiChoice iTV
      • 8.7.2 iTV using SMS
      • 8.7.3 Business TV
    • 8.8 Online radio
    • 8.9 Online retail
    • 8.10 Online advertising
    • 8.11 Online media
    • 8.12 Social media
    • 8.13 E-books, Mobizines
    • 8.14 User Generated Content (UGC)
    • 8.15 Blogs
    • 8.16 Search engines
    • 8.17 Digital economy
      • 8.17.1 E-learning
      • 8.17.2 E-government
      • 8.17.3 E-health
      • 8.17.4 Electronic banking
      • 8.17.5 Mobile banking (m-banking)
      • 8.17.6 Online gambling
  • 9. Mobile Communications
    • 9.1 Overview of South Africa’s mobile market
      • 9.1.1 Mobile statistics
      • 9.1.2 Market liberalisation and licence obligations
      • 9.1.3 Community service telephones (CST)
      • 9.1.4 Fixed-mobile convergence (FMC)
    • 9.2 Regulatory issues
      • 9.2.1 Prices
      • 9.2.2 Interconnection
      • 9.2.3 Handset subsidies
      • 9.2.4 International gateways
      • 9.2.5 Fees and obligations for 1800MHz spectrum
      • 9.2.6 Registration of subscriber ID
      • 9.2.7 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
      • 9.2.8 Quality of service (QoS)
    • 9.3 Mobile handsets, smartphones
    • 9.4 Major mobile operators
      • 9.4.1 Vodacom South Africa
      • 9.4.2 MTN South Africa
      • 9.4.3 Cell C
      • 9.4.4 Telkom SA
      • 9.4.5 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNO)
    • 9.5 Mobile data services
      • 9.5.1 Overview
      • 9.5.2 Mobile data revenue
      • 9.5.3 SMS
      • 9.5.4 MMS
      • 9.5.5 WAP
      • 9.5.6 GPRS
      • 9.5.7 EDGE
      • 9.5.8 BlackBerry
    • 9.6 3G and 3.5G (HSPA)
      • 9.6.1 Mobile broadband overview
      • 9.6.2 Vodacom
      • 9.6.3 MTN
      • 9.6.4 Cell C
      • 9.6.5 Telkom SA
    • 9.7 LTE (4G)
    • 9.8 Mobile content and applications
      • 9.8.1 Push-to-Talk (PTT)
      • 9.8.2 Mobile TV
      • 9.8.3 Mobile music
      • 9.8.4 CellBook
      • 9.8.5 M-commerce
      • 9.8.6 Mobile advertising
      • 9.8.7 Location-based services (LBS)
      • 9.8.8 Manobi
      • 9.8.9 Mobile social media
  • 10. Forecasts
    • 10.1 Forecast - Internet users - 2013, 2016
    • 10.2 Forecast - Broadband subscribers - 2013, 2016
    • 10.3 Forecast - mobile subscribers - 2013, 2016
    • 10.4 Notes on scenario forecasts
  • 11. Glossary of Abbreviations
  • Table 1 – Country statistics – 2012
  • Table 2 – Fixed-line network statistics – 2012
  • Table 3 – Internet provider statistics – 2012
  • Table 4 – Internet and broadband statistics – 2012
  • Table 5 – Mobile statistics – 2012
  • Table 6 – National telecommunications authorities
  • Table 7 – Telkom SA top five shareholders – December 2011
  • Table 8 – Telkom SA’s fixed line data revenue and annual change – 2002 - 2011
  • Table 9 – Telkom SA ISDN channels – 2000 - 2011
  • Table 10 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1999 - 2012
  • Table 11 – Internet users and penetration rate – 1999 - 2012
  • Table 12 – Broadband subscribers – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 13 – Telkom ADSL subscribers – 2003 - 2011
  • Table 14 – Telkom SA WiMAX subscribers – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 15 – WAPA industry survey – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 16 – Sentech MyWireless subscribers – 2005 - 2008
  • Table 17 – iBurst subscribers – 2005 - 2011
  • Table 18 – Online advertising revenue and annual change in South Africa – 2003; 2006 - 2010
  • Table 19 – South African unique monthly users of selected websites – June 2010
  • Table 20 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1994 - 2012
  • Table 21 – Vodacom South Africa subscribers and market share – 2002 - 2011
  • Table 22 – Vodacom South Africa key statistics – year ended March 2011
  • Table 23 – MTN South Africa subscribers and market share – 2002 - 2011
  • Table 24 – MTN South Africa key statistics – six months ended June 2011
  • Table 25 – Vodacom broadband subscribers – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 26 – Telkom SA mobile subscribers – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 27 – Forecast Internet users – 2013; 2016
  • Table 28 – Forecast broadband subscribers – 2013; 2016
  • Table 29 – Forecast mobile subscribers – 2013; 2016
  • Chart 1 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2002 - 2012
  • Chart 2 – Internet users and penetration rate – 2002 - 2012
  • Chart 3 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2002 - 2012
  • Exhibit 1 – VANS – to self-provide or not to self-provide
  • Exhibit 2 – Large ISPA members – December 2010
  • Exhibit 3 – Spotlight on Vodacom GSM community payphones

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