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New Zealand - Telecoms - Market Forecasts 2010, 2015, 2020

Synopsis

The New Zealand telecommunications market is going to change considerably during the next five to ten years. These far-reaching changes will be driven by the fibre backbone that is being deployed under the Ultra-fast broadband network and the Rural Broadband Initiative. Together with government policies and industry cooperation the telecoms industry infrastructure will assist with economic reform across the country.

The fibre-backbone network will become the predominant infrastructure and it will provide its services to the other market sectors including energy, manufacturing, healthcare, education, as well as the rural sector. With these sectors involved we will see the telco businesses morph from the traditional telephony access provider to content service providers. Telcos, ISPs and the other service providers will have an opportunity to become the ICT providers to these market sectors.

The larger sectors, in particular, will create a large demand for value-added infrastructure services. All of this will assist the industry to double its size to around $14 billion by 2020. In this report we provide scenario-based forecast for the mobile sector as well as some market forecasts and background information on the other markets in the economy.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Synopsis
  • 2. Market overview of the industry of the future
    • 2.1 Media market
    • 2.2 Total overhaul of the telecoms industry
    • 2.3 Infrastructure market
    • 2.4 The retail market
    • 2.5 The trans-sector market
  • 3. The fixed broadband market
    • 3.1 Setting the scene
    • 3.2 Fixed broadband market forecasts
  • 4. The mobile market
    • 4.1 Overview of changes
    • 4.2 Mobile market scenarios
  • 5. Forecasting notes
  • 6. Related reports
  • Table 1 – Size of fixed trans-sector market – 2020
  • Table 2 – Size of mobile trans-sector market – 2020
  • Table 3 – Telecommunications services revenue by market – 2010; 2015; 2020
  • Table 4 – Telecommunications services revenue share by market – 2010; 2015; 2020
  • Table 5 – Forecast fixed-broadband subscribers – 2010 - 2012; 2015; 2020
  • Table 6 – Forecast mobile subscribers – 2010 - 2012; 2015; 2020

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