Netherlands - Broadband Market Insights, Statistics and Forecasts

Synopsis

Dutch broadband penetration is one of the highest in the world, the result of large-scale government and municipal investment in broadband infrastructure. The country has comprehensive DSL and cable networks, and has expanded both ADSL2+ Ethernet capabilities to provide data rates to manage burgeoning customer demand for triple play services. In addition, the number of significant fibre deployments represents one of the most extensive and cost-effective fibre infrastructures in Europe.1

The largely consolidated cable sector, led by Ziggo and UPC Nederland, is countering fibre deployments by introducing EuroDOCSIS 3.0 technology. In this report we profile the Dutch fixed and wireless broadband markets, providing statistics and analysis on technologies including ADSL2+, FttH, powerline broadband, wireless broadband, WiFi and internet via satellite. We also provide broadband forecasts for selective years through to 2020.

Key developments:

KPN DSL base falls in 2012; KPN to upgrade its FttH to 1Gb/s and cover 20% of households by end-2013; smaller cablecos by-passing DOCSIS3.0 for FttH; KPN buys out Reggefiber; average download speed reaches 16Mb/s; KPN launches 500Mb/s FttH service; regulator market data to December 2011; telco operating and financial data to Mar 2012; market developments into 2012.

Companies covered in this report include:

KPN, Reggefiber, Ziggo, UPC.

Table of Contents

• 1. Synopsis
• 2. Fixed broadband market
  • 2.1 Overview
  • 2.2 Wholesale broadband access
  • 2.3 Broadband statistics
  • 2.4 Government support
    • 2.4.1 Historical overview
    • 2.4.2 Broadband Expert Group
    • 2.4.3 Task Force Next Generation Networks
  • 2.5 Broadband and smart grids
• 3. Cable modems
  • 3.1 Market overview
  • 3.2 Ziggo
  • 3.3 UPC Nederland
• 4. Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
  • 4.1 Market overview and statistics
  • 4.2 Leased lines
  • 4.3 ADSL2+
  • 4.4 VDSL
  • 4.5 Rival networks
• 5. Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
  • 5.1 Market overview and statistics
  • 5.2 Regional characteristics
  • 5.3 Regulating fibre
  • 5.4 Helping muni fibre
  • 5.5 Fibre and trans-sector policies
  • 5.6 Needing a national approach
  • 5.7 KPN
    • 5.7.1 Nationwide FttH initiative from KPN
    • 5.7.2 Reggefiber
    • 5.7.3 Glashart
  • 5.8 Other operators
  • 5.9 Government, councils and telcos involved
    • 5.9.1 Co-operation
    • 5.9.2 Other projects
  • 5.10 Ethernet-to-the-Home (EttH)
  • 5.11 Cablecos and fibre
• 6. Broadband Powerline (BPL)
• 7. Wireless broadband
  • 7.1 Wireless Local Loop (WLL)
  • 7.2 Wireless LANS/WiFi
  • 7.3 Brief provider overview
    • 7.3.1 Dutch rail
  • 7.4 WiMAX
  • 7.5 Mobile broadband
  • 7.6 Internet via satellite
    • 7.6.1 New Skies Satellites
• 8. Forecasts
  • 8.1 Forecasts – broadband subscribers – 2010 - 2013; 2020
    • 8.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
    • 8.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
    • 8.1.3 Notes on scenario forecasts
• 9. Related reports

• Table 1 – Unbundled MDF connections by type – 2008 - 2011
• Table 2 – Broadband market share by major ISP – 2009 - 2011
• Table 3 – Broadband household and IP-VPN penetration – 2002 - 2012
• Table 4 – Broadband retail subscribers (cable modem, xDSL, fibre) – 1999 - 2012
• Table 5 – Broadband market share by technology – 2008 - 2012
• Table 6 – Broadband connections by speed, cable and DSL (thousand lines) – 2010 - 2011
• Table 7 – Proportion of broadband retail connections by speed – 2010 - 2011
• Table 8 – Broadband penetration rate – 1999 - 2012
• Table 9 – Broadband penetration by technology – 2007 - 2011
• Table 10 – Netherlands internet bandwidth – 1999 - 2012
• Table 11 – Cable modem subscribers – 2000 - 2013
• Table 12 – Ziggo financial data – 2006 - 2012
• Table 13 – Ziggo financial data – 2006 – 2012
• Table 14 – Ziggo subscriber data – 2007 - 2012
• Table 15 – UPC Nederland subscribers – 2005 - 2012
• Table 16 – UPC Netherlands revenue and annual change– 2005 - 2012
• Table 17 – KPN consumer retail broadband subscribers by ISP – 2007 - 2012
• Table 18 – DSL market share of broadband subscribers – 2004 - 2012
• Table 19 – ADSL subscribers – 2000 - 2013
• Table 20 – Tele2 DSL subscribers – 2006 - 2012
• Table 21 – KPN MDF broadband accesses – 2005 - 2012
• Table 22 – FttH connections and subscribers – 2006 - 2012; 2015
• Table 24 – KPN/Reggefiber FttX connections and homes passed – 2009 - 2012
• Table 25 – Mobile broadband subscribers via laptops – 2009 - 2012
• Table 26 – Forecast broadband subscribers – higher market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
• Table 27 – Forecast broadband subscribers – lower market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020

• Chart 1 – Unbundled MDF connections by type – 2008 – 2011
• Chart 2 – Broadband subscribers (cable modem, xDSL, fibre) – 2002 – 2012
• Chart 3 – Broadband market share by technology – 2009 – 2012
• Chart 4 – Ziggo operating and subscriber data – 2007 – 2012
• Chart 5 – UPC Nederland subscribers – 2005 – 2012

• Exhibit 1 – Plan of action and targets – 2003 - 2015