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Montenegro - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Forecasts

Executive summary

Telecoms fight on in Montenegro

Since independence in 2006 Montenegro has progressed in its quest in joining the EU, signing a Stabilization and Association Agreement which oversees closer integration with the EU and covers commitments to political, economic, trade, or human rights reform in exchange for tariff-free access to some or all EU markets, financial or technical assistance. As part of the EU pre-accession process, Montenegro has received financial aid to build public institutions and improve cross-border co-operation under EU funding mechanism Instrument for Pre-Accession Assistance. Under the funding scheme, Montenegro is expected to receive €34.0 million during 2010, €34.7 million during 2011 and €35.4 million during 2012.

Closer integration with the EU coincided with a period of strong economic growth, with foreign direct investment focused on the construction and finance sectors. The recent global financial crisis significantly impacted Montenegro due to the contraction in the booming real estate industry, concerns about contagion and the stability of its banking system. Real GDP contracted in 2009 by an estimated 6.6%, with a smaller 1.8% contraction forecasted for 2010 by the International Monetary Fund.

The telecoms industry did not entirely escape the effects of the recent global financial turmoil as noted by the contraction in mobile SIM card penetration. However the utility nature of most telecom services means the industry was largely unaffected.

Montenegro’s telecom industry has been liberalised and legislation introduced that adopts regulatory principles found in the EU’s regulatory framework for communications, which promotes competition as the most efficient way to offer communications products and services while ensuring universal access. Despite liberalisation the incumbent continues to dominate the fixed-line market although the situation is likely to change following introduction of legislation giving stronger powers to the regulator to improve competition.

Fixed broadband services are available in Montenegro through a variety of technology platforms including DSL, cable, leased line and wireless. ADSL is a popular choice given the reach of the incumbent’s network coupled with its existing market presence and range of service offerings that include broadband TV.

Mobile penetration levels are among the highest in Eastern Europe although subscriber levels are artificially inflated by the significant number of tourists that visit Montenegro annually. WCDMA/HSDPA networks have been launched, which has formed the basis for new mobile broadband services.

Market highlights:

  • Fixed broadband uptake continues to grow due to improving affordability despite adverse economic conditions. Supporting growth is high levels of PC usage for the region.
  • The transition to digital terrestrial TV is underway, with a tender awarded during 2010 to design the transmission network ahead of analogue switch off by 2013.
  • 3G coverage is widely available with speeds of up to 21.5Mb/s available. Mobile broadband offerings present a new growth opportunity for mobile network operators given existing broadband penetration levels and increasingly affordable tariffs.

Montenegro broadband and telecoms statistics – 2010

Sector
2010
2011
Broadband (thousand)
Fixed broadband penetration
18%
20%
Mobile broadband penetration
190%
170%
Subscribers to telecoms services (million)
Fixed-line telephone subscribers
160
150
Mobile phone subscribers
1,110
1,100

(Source: BuddeComm based on industry data)

This report covers trends and developments in telecommunications, mobile, Internet, broadband, digital TV. Subjects include:

  • Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
  • Facts, figures and statistics;
  • Industry and regulatory issues;
  • Infrastructure;
  • Major players, revenues, subscribers, ARPU, MOU;
  • Mobile voice and data markets;
  • Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
  • Digital media.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Executive summary
  • 2. Key statistics
  • 3. Telecommunications market
    • 3.1 Overview of Montenegro’s telecom market
  • 4. Regulatory environment
    • 4.1 Background
    • 4.2 Regulatory authority
      • 4.2.1 Agency for Electronic Communications and Postal Services (EKIP)
    • 4.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Montenegro
    • 4.4 Privatisation of Telekom Montenegro
    • 4.5 Interconnect
    • 4.6 Carrier selection/Carrier preselection
    • 4.7 Number portability
  • 5. Fixed network operators in Montenegro
    • 5.1 Overview of operators
    • 5.2 Crnogorski Telekom (Telekom Montenegro)
  • 6. Telecommunications infrastructure
    • 6.1 National telecom network
  • 7. Internet market
    • 7.1 Overview
    • 7.2 Internet statistics
  • 8. Fixed broadband market
    • 8.1 Overview
    • 8.2 Broadband statistics
    • 8.3 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
    • 8.4 Fixed wireless broadband
  • 9. Digital media
    • 9.1 Overview of broadcasting market
    • 9.2 Digital TV
      • 9.2.1 Broadband TV (IPTV)
      • 9.2.2 Cable TV
      • 9.2.3 Satellite-based digital pay TV developments
      • 9.2.4 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
  • 10. Mobile communications
    • 10.1 Overview of Montenegro’s mobile market
    • 10.2 Mobile statistics
    • 10.3 Regulatory issues
      • 10.3.1 Third generation (3G) mobile licences awarded
    • 10.4 Mobile technologies
      • 10.4.1 Digital
      • 10.4.2 Third generation (3G) mobile
    • 10.5 Major mobile operators
      • 10.5.1 Telenor
      • 10.5.2 T-Mobile Montenegro
      • 10.5.3 m:tel (MTEL CG)
    • 10.6 Mobile voice services
      • 10.6.1 Prepaid
    • 10.7 Mobile data services
      • 10.7.1 Short Message Service (SMS)/Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
      • 10.7.2 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
      • 10.7.3 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
      • 10.7.4 Mobile broadband
    • 10.8 Mobile content and applications
    • 10.9 Forecasts – fixed broadband subscribers – 2010 - 2013; 2020
      • 10.9.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
      • 10.9.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
    • 10.10 Notes on scenario forecasts
  • 11. Related reports
  • Table 1 – Country statistics Montenegro – 2010
  • Table 2 – Telephone network statistics – 2010
  • Table 3 – Internet user statistics – 2010
  • Table 4 – Broadband statistics – 2010
  • Table 5 – Mobile statistics – 2010
  • Table 6 – National telecommunications authority
  • Table 7 – Call termination on Crnogorski Telekom’s fixed network – October 2009
  • Table 8 – Crnogorski Telekom lines in service – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 9 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 10 – Internet users and penetration rate – 2001 - 2011
  • Table 11 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2006 - 2010
  • Table 12 – T-Com Internet ADSL and leased line subscribers – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 13 – Telekom Montenegro IPTV subscribers – 2007 - 2010
  • Table 14 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 15 – Mobile termination rates – October 2009
  • Table 16 – Telenor subscribers – 2004 - 2010
  • Table 17 – Telenor financial data – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 18 – Telenor monthly ARPU and monthly MOU – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 19 – T-Mobile subscribers – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 20 – T-Mobile MOU and ARPU – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 21 – m:tel mobile subscribers – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 22 – Telenor prepaid users – 2007 - 2010
  • Table 23 – T-Mobile prepaid users – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 24 – m:tel prepaid users – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 25 – SMS messages sent – 2001 - 2010
  • Table 26 – Total mobile broadband capable subscribers – 2007 - 2010
  • Table 27 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Table 28 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – lower growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Exhibit 1 – Cable TV licences awarded by concession area and licence type – January 2007

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