Middle East - Mobile Market - Overview & Forecasts

Synopsis

The very dynamic mobile market of the Middle East has very high penetration rates but continues with surprisingly high growth rates as competition continues to increase. All countries now have at least two licensed operators and new licences continue to be auctioned. In addition MVNOs are appearing. Several very large players have grown both by buying new licences and established operators in the Middle East, Africa and West Asia. The increasing pan-regional competition should be an added factor to greater growth. 3G services are operating in the more developed markets, together with HSPA. This report includes five and ten year forecasts for most markets.

Table of Contents

• 1. Synopsis
  
• 2. Mobile market overview
  
  • 2.1 Overview of the Middle East mobile market
    
    • 2.1.1 Mobile statistics
      
• 3. Forecasts – mobile market to 2018
  
  • 3.1 Iran
    
    • 3.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher growth
      
    • 3.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower growth
      
  • 3.2 Iraq
    
    • 3.2.1 Scenario 1 – higher growth
      
    • 3.2.2 Scenario 2 – lower growth
      
  • 3.3 Jordan
    
    • 3.3.1 Scenario 1 – higher growth
      
    • 3.3.2 Scenario 2 – lower growth
      
  • 3.4 Kuwait
    
    • 3.4.1 Scenario 1 – higher growth
      
    • 3.4.2 Scenario 1 – lower growth
      
  • 3.5 Lebanon
    
    • 3.5.1 Scenario 1 – higher growth
      
    • 3.5.2 Scenario 2 – lower growth
      
  • 3.6 Syria
    
    • 3.6.1 Scenario 1 – higher growth
      
    • 3.6.2 Scenario 2 – lower growth
      
  • 3.7 Yemen
    
    • 3.7.1 Scenario 1 – higher growth
      
    • 3.7.2 Scenario 2 – lower growth
      
• 4. Regulatory issues
  
  • 4.1 Background
    
  • 4.2 Telecom sector liberalisation
    
  • 4.3 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
    
  • 4.4 Number portability
    
• 5. Major mobile operators in the Middle East
  
  • 5.1 Overview
    
• 6. Mobile voice services
  
  • 6.1 Prepaid
    
  • 6.2 Satellite mobile
    
• 7. Mobile data services
  
  • 7.1 Overview
    
  • 7.2 3G
    
  • 7.3 High-Speed Packet Access (HSPA)
    
  • 7.4 Mobile TV
    
• 8. Notes on scenario forecasts
  
• 9. Related reports
  

• Table 1 – GDP per capita and population in the Middle East – 2007 - 2008
• Table 2 – Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration in the Middle East – June 2008
• Table 3 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Iran – higher growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 4 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Iran – lower growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 5 – Forecast mobile penetration in Iraq – higher growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 6 – Forecast mobile penetration in Iraq – lower growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 7 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Jordan – higher growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 8 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Jordan – lower growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 9 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Kuwait – higher growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 10 – Forecast mobile subscriber in Kuwait – lower growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 11 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Lebanon – higher growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 12 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Lebanon – lower growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 13 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Syria – higher growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 14 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Syria – lower growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 15 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Yemen – higher growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 16 – Forecast mobile subscribers in Yemen – lower growth scenario – 2008; 2013; 2018
• Table 17 – Major Middle East international operators – revenue and subscribers – 2007
• Table 18 – 3G subscribers as a percentage of total subscribers – selected countries – 2006 – 2008

• Exhibit 1 – Major mobile operators – February 2009