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Lithuania - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Publication Overview

This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Lithuania’s telecommunications market. The report analyses the mobile, internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media sectors. Subjects include:

  • Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
  • Facts, figures and statistics;
  • Industry and regulatory issues;
  • Infrastructure;
  • Major Players, Revenues, Subscribers, ARPU, MoU;
  • Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
  • Mobile Voice and Data Markets;
  • Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
  • Convergence and Digital Media;
  • 3G subscriber and mobile ARPU forecasts to 2015;
  • Broadband market forecasts for selective years to 2020.

Key developments:

TeliaSonera makes bid for full ownership of TEO; Lithuanian FttH penetration among world’s highest; TEO fibre networks reach 60% of the population; mobile revenue continues to fall; Omnitel expands LTE network; March 2012 spectrum auction results in 2.6GHz band; regulator’s market data to end-2011; telcos’ financial and operating data to Q1 2012; market developments into mid-2012.

Companies covered in this report include:

Omnitel, Bité Lithuania, Tele2 Lithuania, TEO, Vinita, Tele2, Balticum TV, CSC Telecom, Telekomunikaciju grupa, Cubio, Eurocom SIP, Nacionalinis telekomunikacij tinklas, Norby Telecom.

Researcher:- Henry Lancaster
Current publication date:- May 2012 (11th Edition)

Executive Summary

Lithuania’s FttH reach approaching two-thirds of all households

BuddeComm’s annual publication, Lithuania - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media markets in one of Eastern Europe’s more progressive countries. The report includes the regulator’s market data to the end of 2011, telcos’ financial and operating data to March 2012, and market developments into mid-2012.

Economic background

Lithuania’s recent economic troubles, largely connected with the continuing global financial turmoil, have resulted in some of the more dramatic falls in GDP in Europe. Nevertheless, the economy has shown signs of recovery since 2010, with an anticipated growth of 3% in 2012. This should have a positive knock-on effect for the telecoms market, which has been turbulent in recent years, with revenue falling 7% in 2011 alone and by a further 5% expected for 2012. Returning consumer confidence will encourage growth from 2013, leading to higher spend on telecom services and rejuvenated investment in infrastructure.

Telecom market overview

The broadband market benefits from extensive infrastructure-based competition. The dominant DSL platform has contracted in recent years as consumers have migrated to FttH networks. This trend will become more pronounced in coming years, compounded by greater adoption of mobile broadband offerings as LTE networks depending on fibre backhaul take shape into 2013. Lower revenue from fixed and mobile telephony has been partly offset by increases from the CATV sector.

Mobile market

The mobile sector is now the largest comms market in terms of revenue. High penetration rates have focussed MNOs’ attentions to mobile data services. These are set to develop swiftly in 2013 following the recent auction of spectrum in the 2.6GHz band. LTE services will become a dominant feature of the mobile landscape, supported by operators’ existing experiences in their Scandinavian markets.

Key telecom parameters – 2010; 2013

Sector

2010

2013

Subscribers by sector (thousand):

Fixed broadband subscribers

680

795

Mobile broadband

190

310

Mobile phone

4,890

5,040

Fixed-line telephony

750

650

Penetration by sector:

Fixed broadband

21%

26%

Mobile

157%

151%

Fixed-line

23%

20%

(Source: BuddeComm)

 

Market Highlights

  • By early 2012, 32% of households were connected to cable or MMDS TV, while 86% could receive services, with 44 operators registered to offer cable TV services.
  • TEO’s LTL329 million investment in FttX thus far has pushed availability to more than 100 towns and cities, connecting 705,000 households (59% of the total). The company aims to cover 80% of the country’s corporations and organisations by the end of 2012.
  • The March 2012 auction for spectrum in the 2.6GHz band requires the three licensees to cover 50% of 15 cities within five years. Multi-band spectrum will vastly expand LTE reach nationally in coming years.
  • DTTV programming is accessible by approximately 95% of the population. Two of the four national networks in operation are operated by TEO, with a third operated by Balticum TV.
  • TEO’s FttH network has been scaled up to 300Mb/s, one of the fastest data rates available in Europe.

This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in Lithuania. It provides further information on:

  • Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
  • The impact of the global economic crisis;
  • Telecoms operators – privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
  • Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards;
  • 3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE;
  • Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;
  • Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;
  • ARPU statistics and forecasts.

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Key Statistics
  • 2. Telecommunications Market
    • 2.1 Overview of Lithuania’s telecom market
  • 3. Regulatory Environment
    • 3.1 Background
      • 3.1.1 EU regulatory framework
      • 3.1.2 Revised NFR
    • 3.2 Regulatory authority
      • 3.2.1 Communications Regulatory Authority (RRT)
    • 3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Lithuania
      • 3.3.1 Privatisation
      • 3.3.2 Interconnect
      • 3.3.3 Access
      • 3.3.4 Carrier selection and Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
      • 3.3.5 Number portability (NP)
  • 4. Fixed Network Operators in Lithuania
    • 4.1 Market overview
    • 4.2 Lietuvos Telekomas (TEO)
  • 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
    • 5.1 National telecom network
      • 5.1.1 TEO
      • 5.1.2 Alternative operators
    • 5.2 International infrastructure
    • 5.3 Wholesaling
      • 5.3.1 Overview
  • 6. Fixed Broadband Market
    • 6.1 Overview
      • 6.1.1 Fixed broadband statistics
    • 6.2 Cable modems
    • 6.3 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
    • 6.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
    • 6.5 Wireless broadband
      • 6.5.1 Market overview
      • 6.5.2 WiFi
      • 6.5.3 WiMAX
      • 6.5.4 Mobile broadband
  • 7. Digital Media and Digital Economy
    • 7.1 Digital Media
      • 7.1.1 Business models
      • 7.1.2 Overview of media convergence
      • 7.1.3 Overview of broadcasting market
      • 7.1.4 Digital TV
    • 7.2 Digital Economy
      • 7.2.1 Lithuania’s emerging internet society
      • 7.2.2 E-government
      • 7.2.3 E-health
  • 8. Mobile Communications
    • 8.1 Overview of Lithuania’s mobile market
      • 8.1.1 Mobile statistics
    • 8.2 Regulatory issues
      • 8.2.1 GSM licences
      • 8.2.2 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
      • 8.2.3 Third GSM licence awarded
      • 8.2.4 2.6GHz spectrum
      • 8.2.5 Significant Market Power (SMP)
      • 8.2.6 Mobile Termination Rates (MTR)
    • 8.3 Mobile technologies
      • 8.3.1 Third Generation (3G)
    • 8.4 Major mobile operators
      • 8.4.1 Overview of operators
      • 8.4.2 Omnitel
      • 8.4.3 Bité
      • 8.4.4 Tele2
    • 8.5 Mobile voice services
      • 8.5.1 Prepaid cards
    • 8.6 Mobile messaging
      • 8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
      • 8.6.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
    • 8.7 Mobile data services
      • 8.7.1 Overview
      • 8.7.2 General Packet Radio Services (GPRS)
      • 8.7.3 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
      • 8.7.4 High-speed Packet Access (HSPA)
      • 8.7.5 Long-term Evolution (LTE)
    • 8.8 Mobile content and applications
      • 8.8.1 Portals
      • 8.8.2 Mobile TV
  • 9. Forecasts
    • 9.1 Broadband subscribers – 2010 - 2013; 2020
      • 9.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
      • 9.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
      • 9.1.3 Notes on scenario forecasts
  • 10. Glossary of Abbreviations
  • Table 1 – Country statistics Lithuania – 2011 (e)
  • Table 2 – Telecom revenue and investment statistics – 2011
  • Table 3 – Telephone network statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 4 – Internet user statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 5 – Fixed broadband statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 6 – Mobile statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 7 – National telecommunications authority
  • Table 8 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 9 – Telecom investment annual growth – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 10 – Telecom revenue market share by operator – 2010 - 2011
  • Table 11 – Telecom revenue market share by sector – 2011
  • Table 12 – CS and CPS lines – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 13 – Market share of fixed-line alternative operators – 2003 - 2011
  • Table 14 – Fixed-telephony retail and wholesale revenue – 2010 - 2011
  • Table 15 – TEO group financial data – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 16 – TEO group financial data – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 17 – TEO revenue by sector – 2010 - 2012
  • Table 18 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1995 - 2013
  • Table 19 –VoIP subscribers – 2010 - 2011
  • Table 20 – TEO – fixed-line subscribers – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 21 – Total international internet bandwidth – 2000 - 2012
  • Table 22 – Dark fibre lines – 2008 - 2010
  • Table 23 – Internet users and penetration rates – 1999 - 2013
  • Table 24 – Proportion of fixed-line broadband connections by access type – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 25 – ISP market share by subscribers – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 26 – Internet services market revenue – 2006 - 2013
  • Table 27 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 28 – Internet access market share by access type – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 29 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2001 - 2013
  • Table 30 – Total internet subscribers – 2006 - 2013
  • Table 31 – Internet ARPU – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 32 – Broadband data rates as proportion of subscribers – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 33 – Cable broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2013
  • Table 34 – TEO fixed broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 35 – ADSL subscribers – 2006 - 2013
  • Table 36 – FttH/FttB subscribers – 2008 - 2013
  • Table 37 – TEO FttX subscribers – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 38 – TEO WiFi subscribers – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 39 – Mobile broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 40 – Subscribers to bundled services, by offer – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 41 – Subscribers to bundled services – 2010 - 2011
  • Table 42 – Broadcasting revenue – 2005 - 2011
  • Table 43 – Pay TV subscribers – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 44 – Proportion of pay TV subscribers by platform – 2011
  • Table 45 – Digital TV subscribers by access method – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 46 – Digital TV market share by access method – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 47 – TEO IPTV subscribers – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 48 – Cable TV and MMDS subscribers – 1997 - 2011
  • Table 49 – Viasat subscribers (Lithuania) – 2009 - 2010
  • Table 50 – TEO DTTV subscribers – 2008 - 2012
  • Table 51 – E-education usage by individuals – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 52 – E-education usage by businesses – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 53 – Proportion of population making online purchases – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 54 – Uptake of e-government services by businesses – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 55 – Uptake of e-government services by individuals – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 56 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1998 - 2013
  • Table 57 – Proportion of mobile market revenue by service – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 58 – Revenue from roaming services – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 59 – Mobile market revenue, MNOs and resellers – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 60 – MVNO share of subscribers and revenue – 2003 - 2011
  • Table 61 – Proportion of mobile service revenue to total telecom sector revenue – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 62 – 3G subscriber market share per operator – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 63 – Number of 3G subscribers – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 64 – Market share per operator by revenue – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 65 – Market share per operator by subscriber – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 66 – Cumulative numbers ported – 2006 - 2013
  • Table 67 – Omnitel subscribers – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 68 – Omnitel annualised ARPU – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 69 – Omnitel MOU and churn – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 70 – Omnitel financial data – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 71 – Bité mobile subscribers by type – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 72 – Bité annualised ARPU – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 73 – Bité financial data – 2009 - 2012
  • Table 74 – Tele2 mobile financial data – 2008 - 2012
  • Table 75 – Tele2 mobile subscribers – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 76 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2002 - 2011
  • Table 77 – Prepaid subscribers – 2010 - 2011
  • Table 78 – Total SMS messages sent – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 79 – Total MMS messages sent – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 80 – Mobile data sent on 3G networks (quarterly comparison) – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 81 – Mobile data sent on 3G networks (by year) – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 82 – GPRS, EDGE and UMTS subscribers – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 83 – Mobile data subscriber market share per operator – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 84 – Mobile data revenue – 2010 - 2011
  • Table 85 – HSPA subscribers – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 86 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Table 87 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – lower growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Chart 1 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2005 - 2011
  • Chart 2 – Telecom investment and annual growth – 2006 - 2011
  • Chart 3 – Internet access market share by access type – 2006 - 2011
  • Chart 4 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2003 - 2013
  • Chart 5 – TEO fixed broadband subscribers, total and DSL – 2005 - 2012
  • Chart 6 – TEO FttX subscribers; annual growth – 2006 - 2012
  • Chart 7 – Mobile broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2006 - 2011
  • Chart 8 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2002 - 2013
  • Chart 9 – Revenue from roaming services – 2006 - 2011
  • Chart 10 – Mobile market revenue, MNOs and resellers – 2006 - 2011
  • Chart 11 – Number of 3G subscribers – 2007 - 2011
  • Chart 12 – Omnitel annualised ARPU – 2005 - 2012
  • Chart 13 – Omnitel financial data – 2008 - 2012
  • Chart 14 – Bité financial data – 2009 - 2012
  • Chart 15 – Tele2 mobile financial data – 2008 - 2012
  • Chart 16 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2002 - 2011
  • Exhibit 1 – EU – The New Regulatory Framework (NRF)
  • Exhibit 2 – Access, the local loop and unbundling – an overview
  • Exhibit 3 – The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) annual E-readiness criteria
  • Exhibit 4 – 2G spectrum awarded

Annual Publication profile

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