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Indonesia - Mobile Communications - Market Overview and Forecasts

Synopsis

This report describes the booming Indonesian mobile telephone market. Indonesia’s mobile market has grown rapidly in recent years, with the number of subscribers passing 260 million by early 2012, up by almost 200 million from just five years earlier. Despite penetration being around 110%, there is still considerable opportunity for expansion in Indonesia’s mobile market when compared with some of its Asian neighbours. With much happening that is positive, a range of structural and economic issues must also be confronted if the local telecom industry is to cope with the expanding market. For strong growth to continue, the sector must take advantage of the government’s regulatory changes and continue to find ways of attracting foreign capital into the market place. Value-added services have become important and the arrival of 3G has seen this technology establish a particularly strong market presence.

Key developments:

Some further rationalisation of the local mobile market took place in 2011 when Mobile 8 merged with Smart Telecom to create SmartFren. Market research indicates that 70% of Indonesia’s teenagers had a mobile phone and that penetration in the 10-14 years group had grown five times in as many years. Blackberry’s RIM announced it was implementing internet filtering in Indonesia in line with government policy; however, the government was opposing RIM’s planned ‘local’ server being located outside of Indonesia; overall 3G penetration in Indonesia jumped to 21% in 2011 (almost 55 million 3G services).

Companies covered in this report include:

PT Telkomsel, PT Telkom; PT Indosat; PT Satelindo, IM3 Indosat, XL Axiata, PT Hutchison CP, SmartFren1, Mobile 8, Smart Telecom, PT Natrindo Telepon Selular (NTS), SingTel, Temasek, QTel.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Synopsis
  • 2. Mobile communications
    • 2.1 Overview of Indonesia’s mobile market
    • 2.2 Forecasts – mobile market: 2015; 2020
    • 2.3 Background to market development
      • 2.3.1 Foreign ownership regulations
      • 2.3.2 Temasek and anti-monopoly ruling
    • 2.4 Mobile technologies
      • 2.4.1 GSM
      • 2.4.2 Code Division Multiple Access (CDMA)
      • 2.4.3 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
    • 2.5 Third Generation (3G) mobile
      • 2.5.1 Initial licensing process
      • 2.5.2 Second 3G auction
      • 2.5.3 Launch of 3G services and beyond
      • 2.5.4 Expansion and marketing of 3G services
    • 2.6 Mobile voice services
      • 2.6.1 Prepaid
      • 2.6.2 Satellite mobile
    • 2.7 Mobile data services
      • 2.7.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
      • 2.7.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
      • 2.7.3 Mobile TV
      • 2.7.4 Blackberry
      • 2.7.5 Mobile advertising
      • 2.7.6 Mobile banking
      • 2.7.7 Village Phone Program (VPP)
  • 3. Notes on scenario forecasts
  • 4. Related reports
  • Table 1 – Mobile subscribers – 1995 - 2012
  • Table 2 – Forecast of mobile subscribers and penetration rates – 2015; 2020
  • Table 3 – CDMA mobile operators and subscribers – March 2011
  • Table 4 – 3G mobile operators and subscribers – March 2009
  • Table 5 – Prepaid subscribers – selected mobile operators –2011
  • Chart 1 - Mobile subscribers and penetration – 2003 - 2012

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