Global - Forecasts - Telecoms Predictions - 2010-2015

Synopsis

Archived report. This report was archived in 2009 and has not been updated. BuddeComm provides its long-term forecasts for the telecoms industry for 2010 and 2015. We describe revenue trends by market segment, the factors that will influence them, and the extent of that influence. Specific fields discussed are the direction of mobile, expansion of broadband infrastructure and services, and the impact of wireless broadband on the existing fixed line services. Also described is BuddeComm’s approach to forecasting, where the uncertainties of short-term forecasting due to fluctuations in markets and economies are met by the use of scenarios, or ‘what-ifs’.

Table of Contents

• 1. Synopsis
• 2. Introduction
• 3. Long-term telecoms revenue trends – 2010 - 2015
  • 3.1 By markets
  • 3.2 By products
  • 3.3 By industry
• 4. Mobile/wireless
• 5. Broadband
• 6. Wireless versus fixed broadband
• 7. Regulation – structural changes in the industry
• 8. So where to go from here?
• 9. and in the year 2020 …
  • 9.1 Machine-to-machine transmission
• 10. Related reports

• Table 1 – Telecommunications services revenue share by market – 2010; 2015
• Table 2 – Telecommunications services revenue share by product – 2010; 2015
• Table 3 – Telecommunications services revenue share by industry group – long term scenarios
• Table 4 – Mobile data revenue as % of total mobile revenue forecast – long term scenarios
• Table 5 – Mobile penetration in developed and developing markets – 2007 - 2015
• Table 6 – Forecasting broadband costs over a 10-year period
• Table 7 – Residential Broadband (BB) – growth predictions – next ten years
• Table 8 – Wireless as % of fixed broadband forecast – 2010; 2015

• Exhibit 1 – Key revenue trends – period to 2015
• Exhibit 2 – A changing industry structure
• Exhibit 3 – Massive restructuring is now overdue
• Exhibit 4 - Machine-to-machine service evolution vision