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Estonia - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Publication Overview

This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Estonia’s telecommunications market. The report analyses the mobile, internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media sectors. Subjects include:

  • Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
  • Facts, figures and statistics;
  • Industry and regulatory issues;
  • Infrastructure;
  • Major Players, Revenues, Subscribers, ARPU, MoU;
  • Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
  • Mobile Voice and Data Markets, LTE and HSPA developments;
  • Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
  • Convergence and Digital Media;
  • 3G subscriber and mobile ARPU forecasts to 2015;
  • Broadband market forecasts for selective years to 2020.

Key developments:

EMT aiming for national LTE coverage by end-2014; operator data to end-2011; Analogue cable to cease by September 2012; EstWin NGN opens in several counties; Tele2 buys the telco Televörgu; number portability procedures updated; ICT revenue broaches €3 billion; operator data to end-2011; Statistics Estonia data to end-2011; regulator’s 2010 market data report; ETSA market updates for end-2011; market developments into 2012. 

Companies covered in this report include:

EMT, Tele2 Eesti, Elisa, Elion, Starman, STV, Viasat, Levira, Baltic Broadband.

Researcher:- Henry Lancaster
Current publication date:- May 2012 (11th Edtion)

Executive Summary

Estonia’s ambitious EstWin national fibre network opens for customers

Economic conditions

The Estonian economy has undergone major reforms following independence in 1989 to develop competition and free-market business models. The introduction of regulations and legislation providing for private ownership of businesses and property, reduce inflation, establish exchange rate stability and secure international investment resulted in considerable economic growth – albeit from a relatively low base – through the 19990s and into the new century. The recent financial crisis saw GDP contract in both 2008 and in 2009, mainly due to the collapse in demand for exported goods. However, a second tranch of regulatory measures and fiscal tightening since 2008 has led to solid economic recovery, with GDP growth estimated at 6.5% in 2011 and at a similar level anticipated for 2012.

Telecom revenue overview

The Estonian telecoms market is one of the most developed in Eastern Europe. Joining the EU in mid-2004, its regulatory regime has been determined by the EU’s revised regulatory framework. The first of the Baltic States to liberalise its telecom market, competition in all sectors has led to falling consumer prices. Overall revenue has fallen steadily since 2008, a trend which is likely to continue during the next few years as further regulatory measures affecting interconnection and mobile termination rates offset increases in voice traffic and the growing broadband and mobile subscriber base.

Broadband market

Estonia adopted the internet rapidly, supported by government policies which ensured broadband availability through free WiFi in many areas. The market is dominated by Elion, Starman and STV. Widespread broadband availability has underpinned Estonia’s emerging internet economy, with various e-commerce, e-government, e-education and e-health services available and widely used. The cable-TV market is well developed and hence cable-TV operators have been well-positioned to offer bundled play services.

Mobile market

Estonia’s SIM card penetration is on a par with most Western European countries, though actual mobile user penetration is lower due to multiple SIM card ownership. The three MNOs are divisions of the Scandinavian operators TeliaSonera, Elisa and Tele2, while services are also available from a small number of MVNOs. 3G and HSPA are widely available while LTE, launched in late 2010, should be available from EMT nationally by 2014. LTE has been deployed cost-effectively since the 790-862MHz band was made available in mid-2011.

Key telecom parameters – 2009; 2013

Sector

2009

2013 (e)

Telecom subscribers by sector (thousand):

Fixed-line telephony

481

465

Mobile phone

1,680

1,940

Fixed broadband

555

695

Mobile broadband

70

230

Telecom services penetration by sector

Fixed-telephony

35%

33%

Fixed-line broadband

29%

34%

Mobile SIM penetration (population)

127%

139%

(Source: BuddeComm)

Market Highlights

  • The number of PSTN lines continues to fall as consumers migrate to VoIP and mobile solutions. The incumbent Eesti Telekom, facing falling revenue, has shifted its focus to selling broadband subscriptions and providing IT infrastructure on which services can develop.
  • LTE was launched by EMT in 2010 and its network should provide national coverage by 2014. Current average download speeds are 40Mb/s, with a maximum speed at 70Mb/s. Tele2 and Elisa have adopted a less aggressive LTE rollout, relying on customer satisfaction with their existing HSPA capabilities. Tele2 is obliged to provide 700 LTE base stations by 2016.
  • The government’s support of a nationwide FttX network, providing 100Mb/s broadband access for 90% of the population by 2012 and 100% by 2015, is being developed by an independent entity comprised of all major telcos. The State’s EEK1 billion contribution to the project in rural and underserved areas is among the more ambitious, proportionately, in the EU. Parts of the EstWin network were switched on at the end of 2011.

This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in Estonia. It provides further information on:

  • Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
  • The impact of the global economic crisis;
  • Telecoms operators – privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
  • Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards;
  • 3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA;
  • Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;
  • Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;
  • ARPU statistics and forecasts.

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Key Statistics
  • 2. Telecommunications Market
    • 2.1 Economic background
    • 2.2 Overview of Estonia’s telecom market
  • 3. Regulatory Environment
    • 3.1 Background
      • 3.1.1 EU Regulatory Framework
      • 3.1.2 Revised NFR
    • 3.2 Regulatory authority
    • 3.3 Telecoms sector liberalisation in Estonia
      • 3.3.1 Privatisation
      • 3.3.2 Interconnect
      • 3.3.3 Access
      • 3.3.4 Carrier selection and Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
      • 3.3.5 Number portability (NP)
  • 4. Fixed Network Market
    • 4.1 Overview of operators
    • 4.2 Eesti Telekom (Elion)
      • 4.2.1 Tele2 Eesti
  • 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
    • 5.1 National telecom network
      • 5.1.1 Elion
      • 5.1.2 Alternative operators
    • 5.2 Telecoms and IT
  • 6. Internet Market
    • 6.1 Estonian Information Society Strategy 2013
      • 6.1.1 Legislation
      • 6.1.2 E-government
      • 6.1.3 E-commerce
      • 6.1.4 E-education
      • 6.1.5 E-health
  • 7. Broadband Market
    • 7.1 Overview
      • 7.1.1 Broadband statistics
    • 7.2 Cable modems
    • 7.3 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
    • 7.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
    • 7.5 Wireless broadband
      • 7.5.1 WiFi
      • 7.5.2 WiMAX
      • 7.5.3 Mobile broadband
  • 8. Digital Media
    • 8.1 Overview of digital TV market
      • 8.1.1 Digital TV
  • 9. Mobile Communications
    • 9.1 Overview of Estonia’s mobile market
      • 9.1.1 Mobile statistics
    • 9.2 Regulatory issues
      • 9.2.1 Third Generation (3G) licences
      • 9.2.2 Fourth Generation (4G) licences
      • 9.2.3 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
      • 9.2.4 Mobile Termination Rates (MRT)
    • 9.3 Mobile technologies
      • 9.3.1 Digital
      • 9.3.2 3G mobile
    • 9.4 Major mobile operators
      • 9.4.1 Eesti Mobiltelefon (EMT)
      • 9.4.2 Radiolinja Eesti/Elisa
      • 9.4.3 Tele2 Eesti
      • 9.4.4 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
    • 9.5 Mobile voice services
      • 9.5.1 Prepaid cards
    • 9.6 Mobile data services
      • 9.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
      • 9.6.2 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
      • 9.6.3 Enhanced Data rates for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
      • 9.6.4 High Speed Packet Access (HSPA)
      • 9.6.5 Long-term Evolution (LTE)
      • 9.6.6 Mobile TV
    • 9.7 Mobile content and applications
      • 9.7.1 Location-based services
      • 9.7.2 M-commerce
  • 10. Forecasts
    • 10.1 Forecasts – broadband subscribers 2010-2013; 2020
      • 10.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
      • 10.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
      • 10.1.3 Notes on scenario forecasts
  • 11. Glossary of Abbreviations
  • Table 1 – Country statistics – 2011
  • Table 2 – Telephone network statistics – 2011
  • Table 3 – Internet user statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 4 – Broadband statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 5 – Mobile statistics – 2012 (e)
  • Table 6 – National telecommunications authority
  • Table 7 – ICT financial statistics – 2009 - 2013
  • Table 8 – Telecoms sector revenue – 2008 - 2013
  • Table 9 – Annual fixed-line portings – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 10 – Eesti Telekom Group – revenue breakdown – 2005 - 2011
  • Table 11 – Eesti Telekom subscribers by sector – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 12 – Tele2 financial data by sector – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 13 – Tele2 subscribers by sector – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 14 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1995 - 2012
  • Table 15 – Elion PSTN/ISDN outgoing call minutes – 2006 - 2010
  • Table 16 – Elion PSTN/ISDN subscribers – 2002 - 2010
  • Table 17 – Workplace network usage by network type – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 18 – Take-up of e-government services by businesses – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 19 – Take-up of e-government services by individuals – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 20 – Online purchases by individuals – 2004 - 2012
  • Table 21 – E-education usage by individuals – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 22 – E-education usage by businesses – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 23 – Internet users and penetration rate – 1998 - 2013
  • Table 24 – Fixed-broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2003 - 2013
  • Table 25 – Cable and DSL broadband subscribers – 2003 - 2013
  • Table 26 – Households with internet and broadband; penetration – 2005 - 2012
  • Table 27 – Elion fixed-broadband subscribers – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 28 – Elion fixed-broadband ARPU – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 29 – Mobile broadband subscribers – 2008 - 2012
  • Table 30 – TV access method – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 31 – Elion IPTV subscribers – 2006 - 2011
  • Table 32 – Viasat subscribers – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 33 – Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change – 2011
  • Table 34 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1998 - 2013
  • Table 35 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 36 – EMT subscribers – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 37 – EMT ARPU – 2005 - 2011
  • Table 38 – EMT mobile financial data – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 39 – Elisa financial data – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 40 – Elisa subscribers – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 41 – Tele2 mobile financial data – 2008 - 2011
  • Table 42 – Tele2 mobile subscribers – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 43 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2000 - 2012
  • Table 44 – EMT prepaid subscribers – 2002 - 2010
  • Table 45 – Total SMS messages sent – 2004 - 2012
  • Table 46 – Forecast broadband subscribers – higher market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Table 47 – Forecast broadband penetration – higher market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Table 48 – Forecast broadband subscribers – lower market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Table 49 – Forecast broadband penetration – lower market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Chart 1– Eesti Telekom group – revenue breakdown – 2005 - 2011
  • Chart 2 – Tele2 financial data – 2008 - 2011
  • Chart 3 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2002 - 2012
  • Chart 4 – Internet users, subscribers and penetration rates – 2003 - 2013
  • Chart 5 – Fixed-broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2013 - 2013
  • Chart 6 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2003 - 2013
  • Chart 7 – EMT financial data – 2009 - 2011
  • Chart 8 – Elisa financial data – 2008 - 2011
  • Chart 9 – Tele2 mobile financial data – 2008 - 2011
  • Chart 10 – Forecast broadband subscribers – higher market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Chart 11 – Forecast broadband subscribers – lower market growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  • Exhibit 1 – The EU regulatory framework for communications
  • Exhibit 2 – Access, the local loop and unbundling – an overview

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