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Canada - Wireless Communications - Insights, Statistics and Forecasts

Synopsis

The Canadian wireless industry has witnessed relatively strong subscriber growth since the country began to emerge from economic recession in late 2009. Although wireless penetration remains low by OECD standards, the emergence of new entrants in recent years, as well as the proliferation of cheaper voice and data plans, is stimulating multiple-SIM card use. The continuing decline in voice revenues per subscriber is generally offset by data revenues which averaged about 45% growth in 2011 and an anticipated 35-40% for 2012 and 2013.

Data revenues will become even more important for sector in coming years in light of their upgrades to HSPA+ networks and the rapid expansion of 4G LTE platforms: network operators extended their LTE offers to at least half of the population by early 2013, while a number of smaller regional players are also active in the market. The Advanced Wireless Services auction of 2008 overhauled Canada’s wireless market providing a number of new entrants. With the exception of Shaw Communications, which recently opted to pursue a WiFi strategy, all have become players contributing to market competition.

This report provides an overview and analysis of the Canadian wireless market and the major operators, together with key statistics and select forecasts. Currency cited is Canadian dollars.

Key developments:

SaskTel launches LTE service; Bell enhances mobile TV service; Wind Mobile sold to Russia’s Vimpelcom; TELUS’s LTE network reaches 70% population coverage by early 2013; Rogers launches LTE international roaming service; regulator prepares for 700MHz November 2013 auction; VimpelCom seeks to sell Wind Mobile; Mobilicity seeks to restructure finances and raise funds for spectrum bid; regulator’s 2012 market data update; telcos’ operating and financial data to Q1 2013; market developments to May 2013.

Companies covered in this report include:

Rogers Wireless, Bell Mobility, Virgin Mobile Canada, TELUS Mobility, SaskTel Mobility, MTS Allstream, Globalive’s Wind Mobile, Mobilicity, Public Mobile, Vidéotron Wireless, and Shaw Communications.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Synopsis
  • 2. Market analysis
  • 3. Overview of Canada’s Wireless market
    • 3.1 Wireless statistics
    • 3.2 Wireless revenue drivers
  • 4. Regulatory overview
    • 4.1 CRTC and Industry Canada
    • 4.2 Spectrum licensing
      • 4.2.1 Advanced Wireless Services auction
      • 4.2.2 700MHz
      • 4.2.3 2500MHz
      • 4.2.4 2100MHz
  • 5. Wireless technologies
    • 5.1 Personal communications services (PCS)
    • 5.2 GSM
    • 5.3 Third Generation (3G) wireless
    • 5.4 Long-term Evolution (LTE) wireless
      • 5.4.1 Rogers Wireless
      • 5.4.2 Bell Wireless
      • 5.4.3 SaskTel Mobility
      • 5.4.4 Other operators
  • 6. Major wireless operators
    • 6.1 Rogers Wireless
    • 6.2 Bell Wireless
      • 6.2.1 Virgin Mobile Canada
    • 6.3 TELUS Mobility
    • 6.4 SaskTel Mobility
    • 6.5 MTS Allstream
    • 6.6 New entrants
      • 6.6.1 Wind Mobile
      • 6.6.2 Mobilicity
      • 6.6.3 Public Mobile
      • 6.6.4 Vidéotron Wireless
      • 6.6.5 Shaw Communications
  • 7. Wireless services
    • 7.1 Prepaid and postpaid services
    • 7.2 Wireless data services
    • 7.3 Text messaging (SMS)
    • 7.4 Multimedia messaging service (MMS)
    • 7.5 Mobile TV
    • 7.6 Machine-to-machine (M2M)
  • 8. Forecasts
    • 8.1 Wireless penetration and revenue – 2011-2016
    • 8.2 Notes on scenario forecasts
  • 9. Related reports
  • Table 1 – Wireless subscribers and annual change – 2000 - 2014
  • Table 2 – Wireless subscribers by major provider – 2004 - 2012
  • Table 3 – Wireless operator market share of subscribers – 2010 - 2011
  • Table 4 – Wireless provider market share by province – 2011
  • Table 5 – Wireless industry revenue by service type – 2002 - 2012
  • Table 6 – Wireless device penetration by type – 2007 - 2013
  • Table 7 – Rogers Wireless pre and postpaid revenue, operating income – 2002 - 2013
  • Table 8 – Rogers Wireless pre and postpaid subscribers – 2009 - 2013
  • Table 9 – Rogers Wireless churn – 2009 - 2013
  • Table 10 – Rogers Wireless ARPU – 2009 - 2013
  • Table 11 – Bell Wireless operating data – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 12 – Bell Wireless financial data – 2006 - 2012
  • Table 13 – TELUS Mobility revenue, EBITDA – 2003 - 2012
  • Table 14 – TELUS Mobility penetration and coverage – 2003 - 2012
  • Table 15 – TELUS Mobility prepaid and postpaid subscribers – 2009 - 2012
  • Table 16 – TELUS Mobility ARPU and monthly churn rate – 2002 - 2012
  • Table 17 – SaskTel Mobility revenue – 2009 - 2012
  • Table 18 – SaskTel Mobility subscribers – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 19 – MTS Allstream wireless revenue, ARPU – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 20 – MTS Allstream subscribers – 2007 - 2012
  • Table 21 – Videotron cellular subscriber data – 2008 - 2012
  • Table 22 – Prepaid subscribers by major operator – 2004 - 2011
  • Table 23 – Prepaid and post-paid sector revenue – 2004 - 2012
  • Table 24 – Mobile broadband subscribers – 2011
  • Table 25 – Total SMS and MMS sent – 2009 - 2013
  • Table 26 – Text messages sent per month – 2002 - 2012
  • Table 27 – Forecast wireless subscriber, penetration and revenue – lower growth scenario – 2011 - 2016
  • Table 28 – Forecast wireless subscriber, penetration and revenue – higher growth scenario – 2011 - 2016
  • Chart 1 – Wireless subscribers and annual change – 2000 - 2014
  • Chart 2 – Wireless subscribers by major provider – 2004 – 2012
  • Chart 3 – Rogers Wireless pre and postpaid subscribers – 2009 – 2013
  • Chart 4 – Bell Wireless financial data – 2006 – 2012
  • Chart 5 – TELUS Mobility revenue, EBITDA – 2003 – 2012
  • Chart 6 – TELUS Mobility prepaid and postpaid subscribers – 2009 – 2012
  • Chart 7 – SaskTel Mobility subscribers – 2007 – 2012

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