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2009 Norway - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Publication Overview

This annual report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Norway’s telecommunications market. The report analyses trends and developments in telecommunications, mobile, Internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media including VoIP, VoD and IPTV developments.

 

Subjects include:

·         Key statistics;

·         Market and industry overviews;

·         Industry and regulatory issues;

·         Major players (fixed, mobile and broadband);

·         Mobile voice and data markets;

·         Internet and broadband development;

·         Convergence (voice/data, fixed/wireless/mobile);

·         Telecom market forecasts for selective years to 2015 or 2019.

 

Researcher:- Henry Lancaster

Current publication date:- January 2010 (8th Edition)

Next publication date:- January 2011

 

Executive Summary

BuddeComm’s annual publication, Norway - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media markets in Norway.

 

Norway’s telecom market has shown only marginal growth since 2006. The economic downturn which has affected the global economy since 2008 resulted in market revenue having increased by only about 0.2% in 2009, though some recovery is expected in 2010 as consumer confidence returns and as government stimulus investment helps develop fibre infrastructure and greater consumer adoption of bundled services. Fixed-line revenue is expected to fall by about 10% in 2010, while overall revenue will be buttressed by the broadband and mobile data sectors.

 

In the broadband sector, by early 2010 DSL access represented only 63% of all connections, or about 7% less than a year earlier. The decline is partly due to the migration of DSL subscribers to faster cable broadband networks provided by Get and Telenor, as also to the wider availability of fibre networks. The decline should be slowed during 2010 as operator investment in DSL network upgrades come online, but the overall trend to 2015 will be the migration to fibre networks in the major cities and smaller towns, while LTE rollouts in 2010 and 2011 will provide a viable alternative to DSL in rural areas.

 

Mobile broadband services available on HSPA and LTE networks have shown particularly strong growth, with the number of subscribers increasing by about 130% in 2009 and data use doubling in the year. The sector will show exceptional promise in 2010 and 2011 as the two main mobile network operators expand the reach of LTE technology and as competition influences the introduction of cheaper flat rate data contracts.

 

In the broadcasting sector, analogue switch off was completed in December 2009. The share of DTTV and IPTV, largely based on fibre networks, is expected to continue to increase steadily in coming years at the expense of the satellite platform.

 

Norway – key telecom parameters – 2008; 2010

Sector

2008

2010 (e)

Broadband:

 

 

Fixed broadband subscribers (million)

1.58

1.72

Fixed broadband penetration rate

34%

39%

Mobile broadband subscribers (thousand)

266

600

Subscribers to telecoms services:

 

 

Fixed-line telephony (million)

1.90

1.78

SIM cards in service (million)

5.25

5.40

SIM penetration (population)

110%

115%

(Source: BuddeComm)

 

Key highlights:

·         Telecom market investment will be focussed on the broadband and mobile sectors in 2010 as operators upgrade networks and compete for subscribers. Overall telecom sector revenue should recover slightly from the negligible growth shown in 2009.

·         The value of the fixed-line sector will continue to fall during the next few years in response to consumer migration to mobile services. Unlike many other European markets, VoIP has shown little growth.

·         In the fibre sector the government has focussed on developing a sympathetic regulatory regime to reduce the cost of deployment and provide access to ducts for competing players. As a result the number of broadband access facilities provided through fibre has increased significantly since 2003, and fibre-based broadband will increasingly dent the share held by DSL and cable networks.

·         TeliaSonera launched the world’s first commercial LTE network in Oslo in December 2009 (in conjunction with a similar launch in Stockholm). The company’ planned network expansion during 2010 will be complemented by network rollouts from Telenor. The country is at the forefront of these mobile technology developments, and in coming years will set the pace for rural wireless broadband adoption as well as establishing a pattern of migration from fixed-line broadband services.

 

For those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecommunications sector in Norway, this report is essential reading and gives further information on:

·         Developments in the digital broadcast market, IPTV and VoD;

·         Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;

·         The impact of the global economic crisis;

·         Telecoms operators – privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;

·         Internet and broadband development and growth;

·         VoIP, IPTV, VoD, digital TV and DTTV;

·         Historical and current subscriber statistics;

·         Average Revenue per User (ARPU) statistics and forecasts.

 

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Key Statistics
  • 2. Telecommunications Market
    • 2.1 Overview of Norway’s telecom market
      • 2.1.1 Significant market changes
  • 3. Regulatory Environment
    • 3.1 History
    • 3.2 Regulatory authority
      • 3.2.1 Norwegian Post and Telecommunications Authority (NPT)
    • 3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Norway
      • 3.3.1 Privatisation of Telenor
      • 3.3.2 Interconnect
      • 3.3.3 Access
      • 3.3.4 Number portability (NP)
      • 3.3.5 Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
  • 4. Fixed Network Market
    • 4.1 Overview of operators
    • 4.2 Telenor
    • 4.3 TeliaSonera
      • 4.3.1 Wholesaling
    • 4.4 Tele2
    • 4.5 BaneTele
      • 4.5.1 Wholesaling
  • 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
    • 5.1 National telecom network
    • 5.2 Leased lines
    • 5.3 IP migration
    • 5.4 International infrastructure
      • 5.4.1 Submarine cable networks
      • 5.4.2 Satellite networks
  • 6. Broadband Market
    • 6.1 Overview
      • 6.1.1 Broadband statistics
    • 6.2 Cable modems
    • 6.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
      • 6.3.1 Overview
      • 6.3.2 Telenor
      • 6.3.3 NextGenTel
      • 6.3.4 Other DSL developments: SDSL
    • 6.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
      • 6.4.1 Overview
      • 6.4.2 Utilities
      • 6.4.3 Telenor
    • 6.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL)
    • 6.6 Wireless broadband
      • 6.6.1 Overview
      • 6.6.2 Wireless broadband 2.3GHz band
      • 6.6.3 Wireless LANs
      • 6.6.4 WiFi
      • 6.6.5 WiMAX
      • 6.6.6 Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)
      • 6.6.7 Mobile broadband
      • 6.6.8 Internet via satellite
  • 7. Digital Media
    • 7.1 Overview of media convergence
      • 7.1.1 Key general trends
      • 7.1.2 Business models
      • 7.1.3 Regulatory issues
      • 7.1.4 VoIP
    • 7.2 Digital TV
      • 7.2.1 Free-to-Air (FTA) TV
      • 7.2.2 Broadband (IPTV)
      • 7.2.3 Cable TV (CATV)
      • 7.2.4 Satellite TV
      • 7.2.5 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
  • 8. Mobile Communications
    • 8.1 Overview of Norway’s mobile market
      • 8.1.1 Mobile statistics
      • 8.1.2 Operator market shares
    • 8.2 Regulatory issues
      • 8.2.1 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions
      • 8.2.2 Roaming
      • 8.2.3 Number portability
      • 8.2.4 Mobile termination rates (MTRs)
    • 8.3 Mobile technologies
      • 8.3.1 Analogue
      • 8.3.2 Digital
      • 8.3.3 Third Generation (3G) mobile
    • 8.4 Major mobile operators
      • 8.4.1 Telenor Mobile
      • 8.4.2 NetCom
      • 8.4.3 Mobile Norway
      • 8.4.4 Teletopia
      • 8.4.5 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
    • 8.5 Mobile voice services
      • 8.5.1 Prepaid
    • 8.6 Mobile data services
      • 8.6.1 Overview
      • 8.6.2 Short Message Service (SMS)
      • 8.6.3 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
      • 8.6.4 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
      • 8.6.5 High-Speed Downlink Packet Access (HSDPA)
      • 8.6.6 Enhanced data for GSM evolution (EDGE)
      • 8.6.7 Long-term evolution (LTE)
      • 8.6.8 Mobile TV
      • 8.6.9 TETRA (TErrestrial Trunked RAdio)
      • 8.6.10 Mobile broadband
    • 8.7 Mobile content and applications
      • 8.7.1 Location-based services
      • 8.7.2 M-commerce
  • 9. Forecasts
    • 9.1 Broadband subscribers – 2009 - 2012; 2019
      • 9.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
      • 9.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
    • 9.2 Mobile ARPU - 2009 - 2010; 2015
    • 9.3 UMTS subscribers - 2009 - 2010; 2015
  • 10. Glossary of Abbreviations
  • Table 1 – Country statistics Norway – 2009
  • Table 2 – Telecom revenue and investment statistics – H1 2009
  • Table 3 – Telephone network statistics – 2009
  • Table 4 – Internet user statistics – September 2009
  • Table 5 – Broadband statistics – June 2009
  • Table 6 – Mobile statistics – 2009
  • Table 7 – National telecommunications authority
  • Table 8 – Total telecom turnover by sector – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 9 – Fixed-line traffic in minutes – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 10 – Fixed-line turnover in residential / business sectors – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 11 – Turnover by sector – 2003 - 2009
  • Table 12 – Proportion of turnover by sector – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 13 – Number of telecom providers by sector – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 14 – CPS and resale subscribers – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 15 – Operators’ share of fixed-line traffic – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 16 – Cable telephony subscribers – 2002 - 2008
  • Table 17 – Share of turnover by operator – 2002 - 2009
  • Table 18 – Operator share of retail turnover – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 19 – Fixed-telephony revenue – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 20 – Telenor financial data (Norway) – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 21 – Telenor Group financial data – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 22 – Telenor fixed telephony operating statistics (retail) – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 23 – TeliaSonera (Norway) revenue – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 24 – TeliaSonera subscriber statistics – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 25 – Telenor wholesale lines – PSTN, ISDN, DSL, LLU – 2004 - 2007
  • Table 26 – Tele2 (Norway) subscribers by sector – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 27 – Tele2 (Norway) financial data by sector – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 28 – Telenor wholesale lines – PSTN, ISDN, DSL, LLU – 2004 - 2007
  • Table 29 – Fixed lines in service and penetration – 1995; 1997; 1999 - 2010
  • Table 30 – Fixed subscriptions - VoIP, cable – 2001 - 2008
  • Table 31 – Fixed subscriptions - PSTN / ISDN – 2000 - 2008
  • Table 32 – Leased line revenue by capacity – 2005 - 2008
  • Table 33 – Leased lines by capacity – 2005 - 2008
  • Table 34 – Broadband market turnover – 2003 - 2009
  • Table 35 – Internet users and penetration rate – 1995 - 2010
  • Table 36 – Total broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 1999 - 2009
  • Table 37 – Broadband household penetration – 2000 - 2010
  • Table 38 – Broadband penetration by technology – 2004 - 2010
  • Table 39 – Broadband market share by provider – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 40 – Cable subscribers – 1999 - 2009
  • Table 41 – Cable Digital subscribers – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 42 – ADSL subscribers – 2000 - 2009
  • Table 43 – Telenor retail broadband subscribers and local loops – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 44 – NextGenTel broadband subscribers, ARPU and revenue – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 45 – Fibre subscribers – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 46 – WLAN subscribers – 2000 - 2007
  • Table 47 – Operator share of mobile broadband subscribers – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 48 – Mobile broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 49 – Mobile broadband data traffic and revenue – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 50 – Nordisk Mobiltelefon mobile broadband subscribers – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 51 – VoIP share of traffic by sector – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 52 – VoIP revenue and subscribers – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 53 – VoIP traffic and revenue per subscriber – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 54 – VoIP traffic and market share – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 55 – VoIP traffic and revenue market share by operator – 2008
  • Table 56 – VoIP market share of subscribers by provider – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 57 – Telenor VoIP subscribers – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 58 – Telio VoIP subscribers – 2006 - 2007; 2009
  • Table 59 – Broadband telephony, business and residential sectors – 2000 - 2008
  • Table 60 – Proportion of households with VoIP – 2003 - 2009
  • Table 61 – Share of pay TV subscribers by operator – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 62 – Share of pay TV subscribers by platform – June 2009
  • Table 63 – Broadcasting revenue – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 64 – Share of TV reception by type – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 65 – Pay TV subscribers by type – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 66 – Telenor cable TV subscribers (Norway) - 2006 - 2009
  • Table 67 – Canal Digital satellite subscribers – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 68 – Canal Digital Group financial data – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 69 – Telenor satellite home antennae and penetration in Nordic region – 1996 - 2010
  • Table 70 – ViaSat DTH subscriber statistics (Nordics) – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 71 – ViaSat revenue (Nordics) – 2006 - 2007
  • Table 72 – Telenor cable subscribers (Norway) – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 73 – Mobile market turnover by sector – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 74 – Mobile market turnover by sector – H1 2009
  • Table 75 – Mobile revenue – 2002 - 2009
  • Table 76 – Mobile revenue per subscriber and per minute – 2001 - 2009
  • Table 77 – Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change – September 2009
  • Table 78 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1995; 1997; 1999 - 2010
  • Table 79 – Mobile traffic – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 80 – Subscriber, traffic, SMS and turnover market shares by provider – H1 2009
  • Table 81 – European roaming charges – 2007 - 2011
  • Table 82 – Mobile number portings – 2002 - 2007
  • Table 83 – Average mobile number portings – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 84 – Nordisk Mobiltelefon financial data – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 85 – Nordisk Mobiltelefon subscribers (Norway) – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 86 – Telenor Mobil – subscribers, prepaid, SMS and market share – 2000 - 2009
  • Table 87 – Telenor Mobil financial data – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 88 – Telenor Mobil ARPU: blended, contract and prepaid – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 89 – NetCom subscribers and ARPU: blended, contract and prepaid – 2002 - 2009
  • Table 90 – NetCom revenue – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 91 – Mobile Norway subscribers by sector – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 92 – Mobile Norway financial data by sector – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 93 – Prepaid subscribers as share of total – 1999; 2005 - 2008
  • Table 94 – Telenor Mobile (Norway) contract and prepaid subscribers – 2001 - 2009
  • Table 95 – Mobile data traffic – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 96 – Annual SMS sent – 1999 - 2009
  • Table 97 – MMS messages sent and annual change – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 98 – Operator share of mobile broadband subscribers – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 99 – Mobile broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 100 – Mobile broadband revenue – 2006 - 2010
  • Table 101 – Mobile broadband traffic – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 102 – Forecast broadband subscribers – higher market growth scenario – 2009 - 2012; 2019
  • Table 103 – Forecast broadband subscribers – lower market growth scenario – 2009 - 2012; 2019
  • Table 104 – Forecast mobile ARPU - 2009 - 2010; 2015
  • Table 105 – Forecast UMTS subscriber growth – 2009 - 2010; 2015
  • Exhibit 1 – Overview of media convergence
  • Exhibit 2 – 3G beauty contest license results in Norway – 2000; 2003; 2007
  • Exhibit 3 – Premium SMS market overview – 2008

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