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2009 Ireland - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Publication Overview

This annual report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Ireland’s telecommunications market. The report analyses trends and developments in telecommunications, mobile, Internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media including VoIP, VoD and IPTV developments. Subjects include:

·         Key statistics;

·         Market and industry overviews;

·         Industry and regulatory issues;

·         Major players (fixed, mobile and broadband);

·         Mobile voice and data markets;

·         Internet and broadband development and pricing;

·         Convergence (voice/data, fixed/wireless/mobile);

·         Telecom market forecasts for selective years to 2015 or 2019.

 

Researcher:- Henry Lancaster

Current publication date:- January 2010 (8th Edition)

Next publication date:- January 2011

Executive Summary

BuddeComm’s annual publication, Ireland - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media markets in Ireland.

 

Ireland’s telecom market has suffered from poor broadband take-up, underinvestment and mismanagement among some of the key operators. Falling GDP since the beginning of 2008 has been compounded by the effects of the financial crisis and recession. This has hit the incumbent operator eircom particularly hard, with its parent company facing bankruptcy and eircom itself being sold to STT in January 2010. These factors will continue to have dire implications for the government’s efforts to improve Ireland’s telecom infrastructure into 2010.

 

Overall telecom market revenue fell by about 12% in 2009, year-on-year, dragged down by the poorly performing fixed-line, mobile and broadcasting sectors, the effects of the recession and also the lower consumer cost derived from a plethora of bundled products. There will be little relief for operators in 2010 or 2011 as the continuing effects of the economic crisis dampen consumer spend.

 

Nevertheless, the sector offers some hope of resilience in coming years, aided by government investment as well as the impending auction of 1800MHz and 900MHz spectrum aimed at stimulating the mobile broadband sector. The competitive nature of Ireland’s telecom market – with some 450 licensed operators – also bodes well for consumer pricing.

 

Fixed-line penetration has fallen steadily in recent years while mobile penetration has increased to the degree that by early 2010 about a quarter of households had a mobile but no fixed-line telephone service.

 

The number of broadband subscribers continues to climb steadily, but consumers are hampered by poor delivery and some of the slowest access speeds in Europe. This has also restricted consumer uptake of high-end services such as IPTV and VoD. Few advances are to be expected during the next few years, as little commercial investment has been allocated to fibre networks, leaving the principal fibre infrastructure to lie in backhaul.

 

Ireland – key telecom parameters – 2008, 2010

Sector

2008

2010 (e)

Broadband:

 

 

Fixed broadband subscribers (million)

1.2

1.6

Fixed broadband penetration rate

21%

27%

Mobile broadband subscribers (thousand)

309

510

Subscribers to telecoms services:

 

 

 

Fixed-line telephony (million)

2.0

1.8

Mobile phone (million)

5.3

5.5

Mobile penetration (population)

106%

114%

(Source: BuddeComm)

 

Key Highlights

·         The mobile sector share in overall revenue has fallen steadily in recent years, reaching less than 45% by early 2010. This share is likely to drop further in coming years in response to regulated measures affecting roaming and interconnection tariffs, as well as competition among the triopoly of providers and the small number of MVNOs.

·         LLU for broadband access has grown slowly compared to other markets. Shared access has generally been favoured over full LLU. This trend may reverse during 2010 following the regulator’s decision to cut shared access wholesale line charges to less than a Euro (among the cheapest in Europe).

·         In common with EC policies, the regulator hoped to rejuvenate the mobile data sector by aiming to liberalise the current 900MHz and 1800MHz bands, making them available for 3G or compatible wireless services. Two of the MNOs’ licences expire in 2011 while the third expires in 2015. New licences to be awarded on a liberalised basis will provide operators with greater flexibility in their use of spectrum.

·         Mobile broadband subscribers using operators’ HSPA networks have been the largest contributor to overall broadband growth since the beginning of 2008. By early 2010 about 15% of all mobile subscribers were on HSPA networks. Although mobile broadband has earned a place in promoting broadband access, the pricing structure of mobile data services needs to be reduced in coming years to make them more attractive to consumers.

 

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Key Statistics
  • 2. Telecommunications market
    • 2.1 Overview of Ireland’s telecom market
  • 3. Regulatory environment
    • 3.1 History
    • 3.2 Regulatory authority
      • 3.2.1 Commission for Communications Regulation (ComReg)
    • 3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Ireland
      • 3.3.1 Privatisation of eircom
      • 3.3.2 Interconnect
      • 3.3.3 Access
      • 3.3.4 Fibre access
    • 3.4 Number Portability (NP)
    • 3.5 Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
  • 4. Fixed network market
    • 4.1 Overview
    • 4.2 Operator market shares
    • 4.3 eircom
      • 4.3.1 Difficulties going into 2009
    • 4.4 BT Ireland
    • 4.5 Smart Telecom
    • 4.6 Tele2
    • 4.7 Other operators
  • 5. Telecommunications infrastructure
    • 5.1 National telecom network
    • 5.2 Structural separation issues
    • 5.3 Next Generation Networks (NGNs)
    • 5.4 International
      • 5.4.1 Submarine cable networks
      • 5.4.2 Satellite networks
  • 6. Broadband market
    • 6.1 Overview
      • 6.1.1 Broadband statistics
      • 6.1.2 National Development Plan to 2013
      • 6.1.3 Promoting broadband
      • 6.1.4 Government networks
      • 6.1.5 Other providers
      • 6.1.6 Government support
      • 6.1.7 EU support
      • 6.1.8 Regional infrastructure
      • 6.1.9 Wholesale bitstream
    • 6.2 Cable modems
    • 6.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
      • 6.3.1 Alternative operators
      • 6.3.2 ADSL2+
    • 6.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
    • 6.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL)
    • 6.6 Mobile broadband
    • 6.7 Wireless broadband
      • 6.7.1 1.7GHz band
      • 6.7.2 10.5GHz band
      • 6.7.3 3.5GHz band
      • 6.7.4 Other spectrum
      • 6.7.5 Digiweb
      • 6.7.6 National Fixed Wireless Point to Multipoint Licences (FWPMA)
      • 6.7.7 Other developments
      • 6.7.8 Other bands
      • 6.7.9 WiFi
      • 6.7.10 Worldwide Interoperability of Microwave Access (WiMAX)
      • 6.7.11 WiFibre
      • 6.7.12 Internet via satellite
  • 7. Digital Media
    • 7.1 Key general trends
    • 7.2 Business models
      • 7.2.1 Bundled services
      • 7.2.2 Smart Telecom
      • 7.2.3 Magnet Networks
      • 7.2.4 UPC Ireland
    • 7.3 Regulatory issues
      • 7.3.1 VoIP
      • 7.3.2 Multichannel Multipoint Distribution Systems (MMDS)
    • 7.4 Digital TV
      • 7.4.1 Overview and statistics
      • 7.4.2 Broadband TV (IPTV)
      • 7.4.3 Cable TV
      • 7.4.4 Satellite TV
      • 7.4.5 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
      • 7.4.6 Video-on-Demand (VoD)
      • 7.4.7 VoIP
      • 7.4.8 Digital cinema
      • 7.4.9 Interactive TV (iTV)
  • 8. Mobile communications
    • 8.1 Overview of Ireland’s mobile market
      • 8.1.1 Mobile statistics
    • 8.2 Regulatory issues
      • 8.2.1 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions
      • 8.2.2 Roaming
      • 8.2.3 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
      • 8.2.4 Fixed-to-mobile call charges
      • 8.2.5 Wideband Digital Mobile Data Services (WDMDS)
    • 8.3 Mobile technologies
      • 8.3.1 Digital
      • 8.3.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile
    • 8.4 Major mobile operators
      • 8.4.1 Vodafone Ireland
      • 8.4.2 O2 Ireland
      • 8.4.3 Meteor Mobile Communications
      • 8.4.4 3 Ireland
      • 8.4.5 MVNOs
    • 8.5 Mobile voice services
      • 8.5.1 Prepaid
    • 8.6 Mobile data services
      • 8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
      • 8.6.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
      • 8.6.3 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
      • 8.6.4 High-Speed Circuit-Switched Data (HSCSD)
      • 8.6.5 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
      • 8.6.6 High-Speed Packet Access (HSPA)
      • 8.6.7 i-mode
      • 8.6.8 iPhone
      • 8.6.9 BlackBerry
    • 8.7 Mobile applications
      • 8.7.1 Overview
      • 8.7.2 Mobile TV
  • 9. Forecasts
    • 9.1 Forecasts – broadband subscribers – 2009-2012; 2019
      • 9.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
      • 9.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
    • 9.2 Forecasts – mobile ARPU – 2009-2010; 2015
    • 9.3 Forecasts – UMTS subscribers – 2009-2010; 2015
  • 10. Glossary of Abbreviations
  • Table 1 – Country statistics Ireland – 2009
  • Table 2 – Telecom revenue and investment statistics – 2009
  • Table 3 – Telephone network statistics – June 2009
  • Table 4 – Internet user statistics – September 2009
  • Table 5 – Broadband statistics – June 2009
  • Table 6 – Mobile statistics – June 2009
  • Table 7 – National telecommunications authority
  • Table 8 – Market revenue by fixed, mobile and broadcasting sectors – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 9 – Proportion of market revenue by fixed, mobile and broadcasting sectors – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 10 – Market revenue share by fixed, mobile & broadcasting sectors – 2002 - 2009
  • Table 11 – Subscribers by fixed, mobile and broadcasting sectors – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 12 – Unbundled loops and access lines – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 13 – LLU, shared access price – connection, monthly rental – 2005 - 2008
  • Table 14 – eircom access channels: PSTN, ISDN, ADSL & annual change – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 15 – Access paths by type – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 16 – eircom leased lines by type and annual change – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 17 – Numbers ported – 2003 - 2009
  • Table 18 – Indirect access lines: CPS and WLR – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 19 – Fixed-line and mobile voice traffic in minutes – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 20 – Proportion of fixed-line revenue by service – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 21 – Fixed-line share of revenue by operator (eircom and altnets) – Q2 2009
  • Table 22 – eircom access channels – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 23 – eircom voice traffic minutes by sector and annual change – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 24 – eircom financial data (historic) – 2001 - 2007
  • Table 25 – eircom financial data and annual change – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 26 – eircom revenue by sector – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 27 – eircom voice and data revenue by type and annual change – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 28 – BT Ireland broadband subscribers – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 29 – BT Ireland revenue – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 30 – Smart Telecom financial data (historic) – 2003 - 2005
  • Table 31 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1995; 1997; 1999; 2000 - 2009
  • Table 32 – Direct/indirect access paths – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 33 – Broadband penetration by technology – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 34 – Dial-up Internet subscribers – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 35 – Total Internet users – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 36 – Total broadband subscribers by access type – 2002 - 2010
  • Table 37 – Internet share by platform – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 38 – Broadband and Internet annual change by platform – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 39 – Share of total broadband market by operator platform – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 40 – Market share of fixed broadband subscriptions by operator – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 41 – Proportion of DSL access by type – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 42 – Proportion of broadband connections by data speed – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 43 – UPC Ireland subscribers – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 44 – UPC Ireland revenue – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 45 – DSL access provision by type and operator – 2002 - 2009
  • Table 46 – eircom’s ADSL lines – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 47 – Mobile broadband subscribers – 2007 - 2010
  • Table 48 – Wireless broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 49 – Wireless hotspots and access points - 2007 - 2009
  • Table 50 – Statistical overview of Ireland’s broadcasting market – 2006 - 2010
  • Table 51 – Uptake of broadcasting services, % of total – 2002 - 2009
  • Table 52 – Digital TV: cable and satellite market share – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 53 – Digital pay TV subscribers as percentage of pay TV – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 54 – Cable TV subscribers and penetration rate – 2000 - 2009
  • Table 55 – Digital cable TV subscribers – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 56 – UPC Ireland subscribers – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 57 – UPC Ireland revenue – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 58 – Satellite TV antennae and home penetration – 1992 - 2010
  • Table 59 – BSkyB satellite TV subscribers – 2003 - 2008
  • Table 60 – Operator blended ARPU – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 61 – Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change – September 2009
  • Table 62 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1995; 1997; 1999 - 2010
  • Table 63 – Mobile market revenue, voice and data – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 64 – Mobile traffic volume in minutes – 2007 - 2010
  • Table 65 – Mobile share of subscribers by operator – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 66 – Mobile share of revenue by operator – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 67 – European roaming charges – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 68 – European wholesale voice roaming charges – 2009 - 2011
  • Table 69 – Mobile numbers ported (cumulative) – 2003 - 2009
  • Table 70 – MTRs by operator – 2010 - 2012
  • Table 71 – Vodafone subscribers – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 72 – Vodafone ARPU: blended, prepaid and contract – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 73 – O2 mobile financial data – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 74 – O2 annualised ARPU, blended, prepaid and contract – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 75 – O2 subscribers – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 76 – Meteor Mobile subscribers – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 77 – Meteor Mobile services revenue and annual change – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 78 – Meteor Mobile ARPU - 2006 - 2009
  • Table 79 – 3 Ireland subscribers – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 80 – 3 Ireland financial data – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 81 – Mobile voice minutes – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 82 – Prepaid versus postpaid share of subscribers – 2000 - 2010
  • Table 83 – Proportion of prepaid subscribers by operator – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 84 – Mobile data as proportion of total revenue – 2006 - 2009
  • Table 85 – SMS messages sent – 2000 - 2010
  • Table 86 – MMS messages sent – 2005 - 2010
  • Table 87 – Mobile broadband subscribers – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 88 – HSPA penetration rate – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 89 – Forecast fixed-line broadband subscribers – higher market growth scenario – 2009 - 2012; 2019
  • Table 90 – Forecast fixed-line broadband subscribers – lower market growth scenario – 2009 - 2012; 2019
  • Table 91 – Forecast mobile ARPU – 2005 - 2010; 2015
  • Table 92 – Forecast UMTS subscribers – 2006 - 2010; 2015
  • Exhibit 1 – EU – The New Regulatory Framework (NRF)
  • Exhibit 2 – Access and the local loop
  • Exhibit 3 – Overview of media convergence
  • Exhibit 4 – 3G licence results – June 2002
  • Exhibit 5 – WDMDS licences: operators, spectrum and fees – 2005

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