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2009 Belgium - Telecoms, IP Networks and Digital Media

Publication Overview

BuddeComm’s annual publication, Belgium - Telecoms, IP Networks and Digital Media, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media markets in Belgium.

 

Researcher:- Henry Lancaster

Current publication date:- August 2009 (8th Edition)

Next publication date:- August 2010

Executive Summary

BuddeComm’s annual publication, Belgium - Telecoms, IP Networks and Digital Media, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media markets in Belgium.

 

Belgium’s medium-sized telecom market has seen slower growth since 2007. The fixed-line telephony sector continues to contract while investments in the mobile sector have fallen as the major network builds near completion and MNOs focus on technology upgrades. The country’s population is split between two language groups, Flemish and Walloon, which affects regulatory policies. Its geographic position has also affected digital TV market development, given the influence of the neighbouring French and Dutch markets.

 

Belgium has not kept up with the top European performers for broadband penetration, partly due to high retail prices for Internet access. Nevertheless, strong consumer demand for triple play and converged services has stimulated operators to continue investing in network upgrades. In Flanders, the broadband market is shared between Belgacom and Telenet, while in Wallonia and Brussels the once fragmented competition has gradually consolidated.

 

Belgium – Key telecom parameters – 2004; 2008

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Sector

2004

2008

Fixed-line services:

·         Total subscribers (million)

4.8

4.1

·         Annual change

-6%

-9%

·         Fixed-line penetration (population)

47%

40%

Broadband:

·         Subscribers (million)

1.67

2.93

·         Annual change

30%

13%

·         Broadband penetration (population)

16.2%

27.6%

Mobile services:

·         Total subscribers (million)

8.49

11.34

·         Annual change

5%

7.7%

·         Mobile penetration (population)

78%

108%

(Source: BuddeComm)

 

Key highlights:

·         In early 2009 about 27% of broadband subscribers had data speeds of 10Mb/s or higher – one of the highest proportions in the EU. Some 61% of subscribers had data rates of between 2Mb/s and 10Mb/s.

·         IPTV penetration is considerably higher than most other EU countries. Belgacom is one of the three largest IPTV operators in Europe, with its success partly due to its high spending on broadcast rights for football competitions.

·         Belgium’s market for bundled services remains relatively immature, with only about 5% of the population subscribed to double play services and less than 1% to triple play services. There are only three operators providing triple play, and about 14 providing double play. Given the competition between the main players Telenet, Tele 2, Scarlet and Mobistar there remains much potential growth for converged services, with a consequent price squeeze benefiting consumers.

·         Growth in mobile services revenue has been affected by price reductions resulting from increased competition, as well as several regulatory measures. As a result, about a third of Belgians have dispensed with fixed lines in favour of mobile-only solutions. The widespread availability of HSPA has encouraged consumer take-up of mobile broadband and data services.

 

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

 

The following notes provide some background to our scenario forecasting methodology:

·         This report includes what we term scenario forecasts. By describing long-range scenarios we identify a band within which we expect market growth to occur. The associated text describes what we see as the most likely growth trend within this band.

·         The projections shown in the tables in this report are based on our own historical information, as well as on telecommunication sector statistics from official and non-official, national and international sources. We assume a possible deviation of 15-20% around this data.

·         All statistics for GDP, revenue, etc are shown in US$, in order to maintain consistency within and between markets. At the same time we acknowledge that this can introduce some irregularities.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Key Statistics
  • 2. Telecommunications Market
    • 2.1 Overview of Belgium’s telecom market
  • 3. Regulatory Environment
    • 3.1 History
      • 3.1.1 EU regulatory framework
    • 3.2 Regulatory authority
      • 3.2.1 Belgian Institute for Posts and Telecommunications (BIPT)
    • 3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Belgium
      • 3.3.1 Privatisation of Belgacom
      • 3.3.2 Interconnect
      • 3.3.3 Access
      • 3.3.4 Number Portability (NP)
      • 3.3.5 Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
      • 3.3.6 Wholesale Line Rental (WLR)
  • 4. Fixed Network Operators in Belgium
    • 4.1 Overview of operators
    • 4.2 Belgacom
    • 4.3 COLT Telecom NV
    • 4.4 Mobistar
    • 4.5 Scarlet (formerly KPN Belgium)
    • 4.6 Tele2 Belgium
    • 4.7 Telenet
    • 4.8 Versatel Telecom
  • 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
    • 5.1 National telecom network
    • 5.2 Next Generation Network (NGN)
    • 5.3 International infrastructure
  • 6. Broadband Market
    • 6.1 Overview
      • 6.1.1 Broadband statistics
    • 6.2 Cable modems
      • 6.2.1 Telenet
      • 6.2.2 UPC Broadband
      • 6.2.3 Interkabel
    • 6.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
      • 6.3.1 Belgacom’s DSL services
      • 6.3.2 Versatel/Tele2 Belgium
      • 6.3.3 Mobistar
    • 6.4 Other DSL developments
      • 6.4.1 SDSL
      • 6.4.2 VDSL
      • 6.4.3 G.SHDSL
    • 6.5 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
      • 6.5.1 Regulating fibre
      • 6.5.2 Digital Metropolis Antwerp
    • 6.6 Broadband Powerline (BPL)
    • 6.7 Wireless broadband
      • 6.7.1 Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)
      • 6.7.2 WLAN/WiFi
      • 6.7.3 WiMAX
    • 6.8 Mobile broadband
  • 7. Convergence
    • 7.1 Overview of media convergence
    • 7.2 Key general trends
    • 7.3 Triple play models
    • 7.4 Regulatory issues
    • 7.5 Digital TV (DTV)
      • 7.5.1 Broadband TV (IPTV)
      • 7.5.2 VoIP
      • 7.5.3 Video-on-Demand (VoD)
      • 7.5.4 Cable TV
      • 7.5.5 Satellite TV
      • 7.5.6 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
      • 7.5.7 Free-to-Air (FTA) TV
      • 7.5.8 Interactive TV (iDTV)
  • 8. Mobile Communications
    • 8.1 Overview of Belgium’s mobile market
      • 8.1.1 Mobile statistics
      • 8.1.2 Operator market shares
    • 8.2 Regulatory issues
      • 8.2.1 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions
      • 8.2.2 Roaming
      • 8.2.3 Mobile termination rates (MTRs)
      • 8.2.4 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
    • 8.3 Mobile technologies
      • 8.3.1 Digital
      • 8.3.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile
    • 8.4 Major mobile operators
      • 8.4.1 Proximus
      • 8.4.2 Mobistar
      • 8.4.3 BASE
      • 8.4.4 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
    • 8.5 Mobile voice services
      • 8.5.1 Prepaid cards
    • 8.6 Mobile data services
      • 8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
      • 8.6.2 SMS over fixed networks
      • 8.6.3 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
      • 8.6.4 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
      • 8.6.5 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
      • 8.6.6 High-Speed Downlink Packet Access (HSDPA)
      • 8.6.7 High-Speed Uplink Packet Access (HSUPA)
      • 8.6.8 i-mode
      • 8.6.9 BlackBerry
      • 8.6.10 Mobile TV
    • 8.7 Mobile applications
      • 8.7.1 Location-based services
  • 9. Forecasts
    • 9.1 Forecast – broadband subscribers to 2018
      • 9.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
      • 9.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
    • 9.2 Forecast – UMTS subscribers to 2013
    • 9.3 Forecast – mobile ARPU to 2013
  • 10. Glossary of Abbreviations
  • Table 1 – Country statistics Belgium – 2009
  • Table 2 – Telecom revenue and investment statistics – 2007
  • Table 3 – Telephone network statistics – January 2009
  • Table 4 – Internet user statistics – March 2009
  • Table 5 – Broadband statistics – January 2009
  • Table 6 – Mobile statistics – June 2009
  • Table 7 – National telecommunications authority
  • Table 8 – Telecom market investment by sector – 2006 - 2007
  • Table 9 – Telecom market revenue by sector – 2006 - 2007
  • Table 10 – Market share of households by sector (historic) – 2002 - 2005
  • Table 11 – LLU, shared access price - connection, monthly rental – 2005 - 2008
  • Table 12 – Unbundled loops and access lines – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 13 – Wholesale access lines – 2008 - 2009
  • Table 14 – Analogue access channels - PSTN, ISDN-2, ISDN-30 (historic) – 2000 - 2005
  • Table 15 – BRUO and BROBA monthly access fees – 2008
  • Table 16 – Fixed numbers ported (regulator data) – 2000 - 2005
  • Table 17 – Cumulative fixed number portings (EC data) – 2005 - 2008
  • Table 18 – Carrier preselect numbers and annual change – 2000 - 2005
  • Table 19 – Belgacom residential access channels – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 20 – Belgacom subscribers by sector – 2008
  • Table 21 – Belgacom residential traffic – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 22 – Belgacom financial data – 2003 - 2008
  • Table 23 – Belgacom revenue by sector – 2004 - 2008
  • Table 24 – Belgacom revenue by operating division & annual change – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 25 – Belgacom fixed-line services revenue by sector – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 26 – Belgacom revenue share by sector – 2005 - 2007
  • Table 27 – Belgacom monthly ARPU by sector – 2005 - 2008
  • Table 28 – Mobistar financial data – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 29 – Mobistar financial data by sector – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 30 – Telenet financial data – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 31 – Telenet revenue by sector – 2003 - 2009
  • Table 32 – Telenet subscribers by sector – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 33 – Telenet subscriber monthly ARPU – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 34 – Versatel financial data (historic) – 2005 - 2007
  • Table 35 – Versatel subscriber statistics (historic) – 2005 - 2007
  • Table 36 – Versatel subscribers by type (historic) – 2006 - 2007
  • Table 37 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1995; 1997; 1999 - 2009
  • Table 38 – Internet users and penetration rate – 1995 - 2009
  • Table 39 – Broadband subscribers by technology and penetration rates – 2000 - 2009
  • Table 40 – Broadband market share by sector (historic) – 2002 - 2005
  • Table 41 – Broadband subscribers by access type – 2006; 2008 - 2009
  • Table 42 – Cable modem subscribers – 2000 - 2009
  • Table 43 – Telenet subscribers by sector – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 44 – Telenet financial data – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 45 – UPC Belgium subscriber data (historic) – 2006
  • Table 46 – ADSL subscribers – 2000 - 2009
  • Table 47 – Belgacom ADSL subscribers – 2000 - 2008
  • Table 48 – Bitstream and wholesale subscribers – 2002 - 2009
  • Table 49 – WLL broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 50 – Belgacom TV users, ARPU and revenue – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 51 – Cable TV subscribers and penetration rate – 1995 - 2009
  • Table 52 – Telenet subscribers by sector – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 53 – Telenet ARPU – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 54 – UPC Belgium statistics per market segment (historic) – 2005 - 2006
  • Table 55 – Satellite TV subscribers – 1995 - 2009
  • Table 56 – Mobile service revenue – 2004 - 2007; 2010
  • Table 57 – Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change – June 2009
  • Table 58 – Mobile subscribers and teledensity – 1995; 1997; 1999 - 2009
  • Table 59 – Mobile market share by operator – 2002 - 2008
  • Table 60 – Market share of net adds by operator – 2005 - 2008
  • Table 61 – Maximum mobile roaming charges – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 62 – Mobile termination tariffs by operator – 2006 - 2008
  • Table 63 – Annual mobile numbers ported – 2002 - 2005; 2008
  • Table 64 – Cumulative mobile numbers ported (EC data) – 2005 - 2008
  • Table 65 – Proximus revenue by sector (CBU) – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 66 – Proximus subscribers and prepaid proportion – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 67 – Proximus CBU subscribers – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 68 – Proximus ARPU (consumer) by sector – 2007 - 2009
  • Table 69 – Mobistar subscribers and prepaid proportion – 2003 - 2009
  • Table 70 – Mobistar Group financial data and annualised ARPU – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 71 – BASE financial data – 2005 - 2009
  • Table 72 – BASE subscribers, prepaid proportion & ARPU – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 73 – Proportion of prepaid subscribers by operator – 2004 - 2009
  • Table 74 – Proximus SMS messages (CBU) – 2007 - 2008
  • Table 75 – Premium SMS market overview
  • Table 76 – Forecast broadband subscribers – higher market growth scenario – 2007 - 2012; 2018
  • Table 77 – Forecast broadband subscribers – lower market growth scenario – 2007 - 2012; 2018
  • Table 78 – Forecast UMTS subscribers – 2006 - 2013
  • Table 79 – Forecast mobile ARPU - 2005 - 2010; 2013
  • Exhibit 1 – EU’s New Regulatory Framework (NRF)
  • Exhibit 2 – Key ADSL service providers – 2009
  • Exhibit 3 – WiMAX spectrum licences – 2001 - 2005

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